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cstrunk

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Everything posted by cstrunk

  1. cstrunk
    Not quite sure what you're referring to. HRRR has really backed off of convective development in eastern Texas *early this evening, which I would expect given the persistent cloud cover, lower cape, and higher CIN. *Edited... still has the line of storms sweeping through late.
  2. cstrunk
    If storms fire in east Texas, they currently have up to 300-400 ESRH to work with. Foggy/misty currently here in Longview, TX.
  3. cstrunk
    Clouds are socked in pretty thick across east Texas. We'll have to see if that affects what the models are showing with storms firing out this direction.
  4. cstrunk
    Models are showing supercells/convection firing in the warm sector across east Texas... mainly along and north of the US 79 corridor (the hard hit area last Saturday) region later this afternoon. Definitely something to keep an eye on.
  5. cstrunk
    There's a tree blocking the road now, there's already a backhoe on scene working to remove the tree. That's some fast response.
  6. cstrunk
    Numerous reports of large hail and wind in East Texas from those storms. At my house, I woke up sometime after 2 am to the tornado sirens sounding in Longview. I checked the radar and saw it was weak and to my north (I wasn't in the warning polygon) so after the line reached my house without much ooomph, I went back to bed.
  7. cstrunk
    I'd also keep an eye on the storm between Linden and Jefferson, TX.
  8. cstrunk
    Tornado warning just west of Atlanta, TX.
  9. cstrunk
    Severe storms east of DFW approaching the Tyler area look interesting, as far as wind/hail. I think the Athens-Tyler-Bullard area has the most short-term tornado potential.
  10. cstrunk
    It's not over yet, but if doesn't look like there will be any snow here this winter. I'm ready for severe weather season.
  11. cstrunk
    We've had some light/moderate sleet at times this evening in Longview but the temperature is above freezing and it's not enough to stick for long before melting.
  12. cstrunk
    No wintery wx thus far in Longview, TX. Unless you count frost, we've had that. Shreveport has added a 20% chance of snow late Monday night, so we have something to keep an eye on. The neighbors to the north don't seem very optimistic about the rest of winter, from what I gather in the other winter wx thread.
  13. cstrunk
    Well, that's what happens near strong fronts, especially in the spring or fall (or winter in the south).
  14. cstrunk
    Well, I bought a simple, cheap rain gage and mounted it on my mailbox this weekend. It ended up reading 3.8", which I find hard to believe since radar estimates were generally 1.5"-2". A coworker who lives about 5 miles east of me ended up with just under 2". I'm glad that fall has arrived!
  15. cstrunk
    I ended up getting 0.4-0.5" of rain spread out over the weekend. Gordon never made it this far west, so totals were less than expected. Light rain expected today and through much of the upcoming week. These lower temperatures are sure nice.
  16. cstrunk
    Looks like I'll miss out on most of the Gordon rainfall, but the residual tropical moisture combined with a trough of low pressure/cold front moving into the region late this week is forecast to bring some good rains to the area. Hopefully 2"+ like the WPC has shown on their QPF map.
  17. cstrunk
    I ended up with around 0.5" yesterday and today. Definitely needed. We only made it into the mid 80's today which was wonderful for Labor Day in Texas. I'm hoping we can cash in on some of the moisture from Gordon later this week, too. It seems like he might go a bit too far north/east. Something to track at least.
  18. cstrunk
    Well, I missed again on the localized thunderstorms the last two days. Close, but no cigar. Frustrating. NWS gives us a 20% chance today, followed by a dry day or two before 40-50% chances return Sunday through Tuesday. Crossing my fingers.
  19. cstrunk
    Hot and dry. Slight chances for thunderstorms during mid-week coming up, but that's it.
  20. cstrunk
    I ended up with around 0.75" over the weekend. Picked up a little more on Sunday, we definitely needed it. One of these days I'm going to invest in a personal weather station...
  21. cstrunk
    We only have ended up with sprinkles the last couple of days, but finally managed to get about 0.5" or so with a nice shield of rain showers/embedded thunderstorms this morning. Maybe I can get greedy with another round this evening... We'll see!
  22. cstrunk
    Finally able to "cash in" on about 0.3" or so this morning. Not much but it helps. Dry weather for the rest of the week is in my forecast.
  23. cstrunk
    We have returned to basically completely dry weather conditions for the foreseeable future in East TX. Highs are reaching the upper 90's with low-mid 100's forecast by the end of this week. 104F on Friday and Saturday. Hot hot hot!
  24. cstrunk
    Moderate to occasionally heavy downpours have been frequent across the area for the past week or so. Well, frequent everywhere but IMBY, as they're still too scattered in nature. Just can't catch a break. NWS Shreveport mentions a NW-flow pattern setting up by mid-week next week that may bring some organized convection into the region overnight into early morning hours. I sure hope that pans out better than the spitting match mother nature is currently competing in around here.
  25. cstrunk
    A TUTT is moving west along the gulf coast, which is expected to provide increased rain chances over the next week. WPC currently has my location at about 1-1.25" over the next 7 days, with 4-5" possible farther south over the LA/TX coastal areas. Crossing my fingers.
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