Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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I mean it’s basically now or never for this winter for that period. I’m out on anything before that (like the cmc BS run) Mitch any euro Ai fun? .
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…and then at end of the run you have this general look which could work .
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HM is in general agreement with me, pretty much echoed my thoughts. Here is 12z euro right before the time frame I’m talking about, you have cold flow over us, just gotta see if any wave can take advantage? .
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I personally think the March 4-10 time frame has a chance to produce. As long as the -EPO has formed like the ensembles showing by then the tpv is farther SE. just depends if we get hurt by -PNA or not .
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The end of the run is workable though. Not saying it will snow but pattern isn’t horrible if you know what I mean .
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Anyone notice the Ai keeps showing a Jan 25 2000 type phase? Except it’s all rain lol .
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Is the 28th event a miss or just rain? .
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Hm, I’ll take a look at it when it comes on wxbell .
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Any total update from around VA beach? Just tracking vicariously .
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The wave around the 28th is likely a rain event here unless we see a more meridional flow ahead of it which would also take the TPV farther SE like we saw on last nights GFS. I’m not out on the first 2 weeks of March though. .
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What’s going on those higher returns? Mix? .
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Man H5 looks good here just maybe too warm, if we had a better tpv push like last nights run it could have worked .
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Based on the radar I can’t imagine they get less than 8-9”, 10-14” would be final guess .
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Any VA beach totals so far? Hoping someone in that jackpot region can pass a foot but idk .
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12z Nam finally looks like the euro and other models, lesson learned for others, never use this model outside 18 hours. Once the event starts I like to look at it to see last second trends but that’s about it .
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One Difference between gfs and euro is that placement of the TPV by day 6 or so. GFS is farther SE. would like to see the euro trend that way over next few runs, although my $ is on the gfs just being wrong but we’ll see. It’ll just speed up the chances of frozen precip .
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-EPO on steroids .
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The 27-28th time frame is suddenly trending better pattern wise, I think it’s legit if this trend continues we’ll see .
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Check out this -EPO forming beyond this too, wow .
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Never give up! Never surrender! .
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HECS .
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More incoming lol, I know it’s far out, this wave has me intrigued. .
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Might be a big hit this run, watch this wave be the one that gets the job done after everyone has jumped ship lol .
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Hmmmm, this actually looks really good .
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Not sure what it will do, but the tpv might make a farther SE press this run out ahead of any wave day 9-10… .
