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IntenseBlizzard2014

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Everything posted by IntenseBlizzard2014

  1. IntenseBlizzard2014
    This Niño didn't peak yet. It's certainly possible.
  2. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Wow. Fascinating. I can see next winter being a dud. Multi-Year Ninos usually have that one dud.
  3. IntenseBlizzard2014
    In the next several weeks, this is definitely not going to be weak. More like low-end moderate. Very impressive positive anomalies at a depth of 150m at 140*W to 180*W.
  4. IntenseBlizzard2014
    It's already at a moderate threshold.
  5. IntenseBlizzard2014
    What effects will this have down the road?
  6. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Yeah. Light freezing rain and sleet. With power outages.
  7. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Nothing but light rain for the coast.
  8. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Probably not. We just need the SOI to cooperate. Then we are good to go.
  9. IntenseBlizzard2014
    That +SOI is tipping the scales a bit. Although the El Niño is already in Moderate territory. So eventually the +SOI will be overwhelmed.
  10. IntenseBlizzard2014
    The 12Z GFS suggests that we should keep an eye on Christmas.
  11. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Could be confusing that with the cold and dry/warm and wet pattern.
  12. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Oh. I see. Supression. Also, the Euro Weeklies may continue to be erratic until the elongated PV is nearly finished stretching from Eurasia to Canada.
  13. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Hmmmm.....elaborate, please?
  14. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Although this is good. When the transition happens, both streams will be fairly active and provide the coastal storm activity that we desire.
  15. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Millennials were born as early as 1982.
  16. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Until the 23rd.
  17. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Something should pop up by the 24th or so. The transition to more El Niño weather will create some interesting weather for the East Coast.
  18. IntenseBlizzard2014
    The upcoming storm will provide snow for those that live between South Carolina and Pennslyvania. Although after that's over, a slow thaw and then DC to NYC needs to gear up for the possible snowstorm by Christmas Eve. The teleconnections show promise, based on extrapolation.
  19. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Above average, yet hardly. There's some interesting weather coming for the East through the 20th. You'll see. It's the strong MJO burst through Phase 8 that's the culprit.
  20. IntenseBlizzard2014
    DCA: -1.1 NYC: -0.9 BOS: -0.7 ORD: -0.9 ATL: -1.5 IAH: -0.5 DEN: -0.4 PHX: +0.7 SEA: + 0.6
  21. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Thank you. Based on these stats. Both of these cities may experience well above average snowfall.
  22. IntenseBlizzard2014
    What were the records they both broke?
  23. IntenseBlizzard2014
    Still has that Nina look to it. Eventually, it will fade once the effects of the El Nino kick in.
  24. IntenseBlizzard2014
    December 25th, 2018. Seems unusual, yet very possible. The MJO will go for a stronger burst through Phase 7/8/1 through December 20th. Which will make it very favorable for colder and stormier weather a few days later.
  25. IntenseBlizzard2014
    I've learned a few things about this and it's too late. This will reflect into March 2019. Lag effect.
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