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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. rjvanals
    Some snow mixing in 18 stories above downtown Rockville. Visibility is dropping looking towards VA so snow level is dropping
  2. rjvanals
    Euro is underwhelming from DC to NY vs expectations 24 hrs ago
  3. rjvanals
    It’s still just rain unfortunately
  4. rjvanals
    NAMs don’t look great unfortunately if your looking for a boom scenario
  5. rjvanals
    We need to take advantage of the clear skies for temps and avoid LWX suddenly upgrading us to a warning before the event as that’s usually the kiss of death.
  6. rjvanals
    GFS is about to be 0-4 in predicting major snowstorms for DC this winter
  7. rjvanals
    It wastes .3 of nighttime qpf due to a surface torch
  8. rjvanals
    6z Euro would give most of us low end warning level snow coming mostly from the IVT
  9. rjvanals
    Shocked LWX doesn’t have Winter Storm Watches out for the entire CWA at this point
  10. rjvanals
    RGEM again gives a narrow area a big snow from the IVT and is pretty meager outside that band
  11. rjvanals
    ICON is better
  12. rjvanals
    This is a tough forecast especially for the western suburbs of DC which may be to warm for the coastal snow and may be to far west for much snow from the IVT.
  13. rjvanals
    The St Patrick's day storm?
  14. rjvanals
    The run is fine but we have a torched surface and are on the western edge of the IVT. Super high bust potential
  15. rjvanals
    The surface is also torched for most of the precip
  16. rjvanals
    AI looks snowier
  17. rjvanals
    RGEM has a narrow corridor that the IVT hits pretty hard
  18. rjvanals
    I could definitely see that happening. I still have a strong feeling this storm could end up being a total rug pull.
  19. rjvanals
    The airlines clearly don't believe the GFS or NAM since they haven't offered to waive change fees yet for east coast destinations
  20. rjvanals
    It was more temp related than anything just a bunch of white rain
  21. rjvanals
    It's a very good run if you keep expectations in check and realize the GFS is having ChatGPT like hallucinations for snow totals
  22. rjvanals
    Its got a 993L in a PERFECT spot for us but not sure if the heaviest precip makes it to the i95 corridor
  23. rjvanals
    NAM does have snow here at 54 but not sure if the storm ends up coming together
  24. rjvanals
    The GFS is a embarrassment to this country
  25. rjvanals
    12z Euro ensembles are a bit east but most give us some snow but no real high end potential
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