madwx

2 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

@madwx @Geoboy645 Here's hoping for a few rumbles this evening, am I right?

'yeah, looking good.  may head out to find a nice view to the NW and watch them roll in

Hard pass.  also i can't imagine there would be enough dynamic cooling at noon on april 25 to change the column over to snow.

1 minute ago, weatherbo said:

I'm getting grumpy in my old age, I have less and less tolerance for April.  Waiting on the snow to melt and for it to warm up seems endless this year.  When was the last AN April?  

A slight chance of snow showers before 9am, then scattered rain showers after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. West wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tonight

Scattered rain and snow showers before 9pm, then a slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 32. Breezy, with a northwest wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.

Tuesday Night

A 20 percent chance of snow showers after 2am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 17. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight.

Wednesday

A 20 percent chance of snow showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Friday

Mostly sunny, with a high near42.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Saturday

Partly sunny, with a high near 42.

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Sunday

Partly sunny, with a high near 41.

i feel ya.  It seems like the past 3 or 4 aprils have featured tons of NW flow with below normal temps.  it would be nice if we could get some more zonal or sw flow and get some warmer temps and higher dewpoints in the area.

5 minutes ago, WestMichigan said:

What is up with all the name calling in here.  Anyone who doesn't agree with the stay at home order is a moron, idiot, <insert derogatory name here>.  We can disagree buy why all the name calling?

the only person that's been called a moron and idiot in the last 5 pages is the governor of Florida.  I don't see any other name calling recently and everyone seems civil.

30 minutes ago, Snownado said:

It's contagious but most people don't even get any symptoms. So im not sure what the panic is. The death rate is most likely well under 1%. I say open everything up and lets get back to living life again. And since outdoor activities is not very dangerous due to the virus not liking sunlight, im hoping baseball will start back in the next month or so.

its not the number of deaths that's the scary part its how easily it could overwhelm the hospital system, its why we are doing this. 

10 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Has anyone been able to find hand sanitizer?  I seriously think I'd have a much better shot at striking oil in my backyard right now. 

bought 2 bottles on February 23.  Probably the best purchase i made this year

20 minutes ago, Snownado said:

I know it sounds crazy but there are people out there who would be ok with shutting everything down for the next year if it meant saving lives. Of course they don't think about the negative effects it would have, they are just focused on one side of the equation. We would probably all die from starvation by then. At some point you just gotta say screw it. Im going and living my life. If I die then I die. I'd rather die than live in a world of hopelessness and suffering that lasts for the decades.

how about we make some sacrifices for the next year but don't shut everything down.  both the 'shut everything down' and the 'screw it im gonna live my life like i used to' points of view are unrealistic and will cause the most damage.  if we have continued social distancing, good hygeine measures, markedly increased antibody testing, no large gatherings like sporting events and concerts and shorter periods of stricter methods if any areas become hotspots then we don't have to choose from the false dichotomy that you've presented.

4 minutes ago, KokomoWX said:

Those who support the stay at home order, how far are you willing to keep it going?  June 30th? Labor Day? January 2021?  I'm just asking. 

May 15 with a slow phase in after that, then maintaining a baseline of social distancing for around next year.   Any time we can buy to get better treatments/therapeutics more widely available is essential.  We've done a pretty good job flattening this first wave but we need to be prepared for waves to come again later, especially if we relax social distancing too much.

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

i think we're going to get a cool visible sat show later from goes16 when it clears out and the stripe of accums is visible

looking pretty good already.  you can also see some lake effect clouds off the Madison chain of lakes, Lake Winnebago and even the Mississippi River

5 minutes ago, RobertSul said:

Alcohol Withdrawl can be a serious and even life-threatening acute disorder, definitely not something you want tens of thousands of people going through at the same time, which would then lead to an additional strain on our hospitals.

The lottery provides funding for our schools and should be moved to online. 
 

Fast food drive-through is a quick, easy, cheap, efficient way to provide food for people who don’t have cooking at home as an option, especially those working extremely long shifts at hospitals, first-responders, etc.

yeah unfortunately fast food is one of the only options for lower income people who are working extended hours during this time, and agreed on alcohol withdrawal.  I don't think people realize how many americans are physically dependent on alcohol

17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said:

Since I'm less seasoned in winter weather, what do the odds of snow look like for Northern Ohio? I have people going nuts thinking a blizzard is coming in 48-72 hrs.

looking like no snow except for some snow showers possible during the week

been a couple flurry storms so far, 40 mph + gusty winds precede each one and blow the neighbors lawn furniture around a bit.  strongest one of the day about to hit here

Snow showers imminent.  Winds getting very gusty outside

cumulus already developing quickly across southern Wisconsin, this is gonna be a fun ride today

12 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Tomorrow could be a little entertaining from a squall perspective.

yeah the HRRR is hitting the rain/snow shower pretty hard throughout the upper midwest.  Wonder if we could get some graupel with these storms

8 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

Sir are you calling today a bust? Goodness, it may have lacked tornadoes but there was incredible spread of severe weather and a derecho barreling through Ohio

no, he's calling the SPC forecast a bust, especially the day 2 afternoon outlook

16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Not the RAP, the RAP was also horrible.

ECMWF and RGEM win on this one.

Yep, meant to say RGEM but mistyped.

25 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Hoping those cells coming in from the Cedar Rapids area crap out, or veer a bit south.  Don't want any part of golfball size hail.

EDIT:  SPC got a little too cute with their western portion of the storm outlooks.  Numerous severe well west of even the marginal risk area.

Big win for the ECMWF and RGEM with this system.

3" hail with the supercell when it was in Southern Wisconsin

almost full sunshine except for some altocumulus racing northeastward, dews up to 60 and temps near 70.  it feels nice to have spring weather with a legit chance at thunderstorms

not gonna lie these mid level lapse rates are bonkers.  would love to see this more often this spring/summer.

I think there a good chance for some 2"+ hail especially early on in the development from these storms.  

still think there may be a good shot for sfc based convection in Wisconsin tomorrow along the cold front.  Decent signal from about half the CAMs and the forcing and instability is there as long as the cap can be broken.  who knows, maybe i'm being overly optimistic

5 hours ago, madwx said:

Gov. Evers issued an executive order pushing the Wisconsin election back to June 9th.  Great news as I was worried that in person voting tomorrow would cause a great deal of spread in the state

And of course the Supreme Court blocked the order so the election is on again

2 minutes ago, geddyweather said:

That D2 outlook is one of the goofier updates I've seen lately. Went from localized in the OH Valley to almost 5 whole states completely covered in SLGT including basically all of the lower/mid Appalachians... 

yeah not sure why Northern Illinois was basically completely removed.  HREF probs look pretty good for storms in the area and there will be a front moving through at peak heating.

Gov. Evers issued an executive order pushing the Wisconsin election back to June 9th.  Great news as I was worried that in person voting tomorrow would cause a great deal of spread in the state