madwx

up here looking like two main rounds with the two waves/lows that ride NE.  First is a heavy rain threat Friday afternoon transitioning to scattered severe storms overnight and into the afternoon on Saturday.  The second low will bring more heavy rain and a risk of severe along the triple point on Sunday afternoon and evening.

lol at this warning

have to be getting excited about storm chances starting on Friday for at least a week.  Could see an active and warm pattern linger through at least the 7th of May

A few flurries currently.  Wind is biting 

7 hours ago, rainsucks said:

I'm not even convinced yet that next week's will pan out as currently modeled by guidance. I'm not saying it won't, but the models continue to overdo the intensity of cold shots time and time again, so I'm a bit skeptical.

You are right about that. The Euro AIFS has been trending warmer with each run for next week

After this weekend and the one middle of next week I think we should be done with cold shots after that 

1.31" yesterday and today. Up to 3.74" for the month.

Mostly just gusty winds here. But the lightning and thunder has been impressive.  A constant roar for about the past 25 mins 

big overperformance today, most models had us in the low to mid 50s but we've popped into the low 60s. even a few scattered showers out there

solar radiation bottomed out at 65 w/m2.  temp dropped 4 degrees as the peak passed

yard is mostly bare again, just patches of snow.  Should fully melt away tomorrow

last of the snow showers moved through around 1115.  Maybe the last snow of the year here?

Accumulation was basically 0 today. Shows that in these marginal edge of season situations snowfall rate really determines everything 

Think we got about 3” yesterday and about .5” overnight.  But it’s all turning to slush.  Expecting an inch or maybe 2 today but rates should be much lower. Ready for this to be over 

Roads were bad for a couple hours during peak rates but seem to be clearing up now. Precip has turned into a rain/sleet mix 

accumulating here on all surfaces

GFS Kuchera snow totals.  17.2".

GFS positive snow depth change. 5.5".  I'll let you guess which one is going to be closer to correct

Still rain here for now. Hoping it stays rain as long as possible to cut down on accumulation 

Straight up not having a good time

6 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

So when I got to work this morning the thermometer in my car said 27 degrees, and we had a stiff west-northwesterly breeze. 7-day forecasts from my employer and the NWS are rather depressing, with nothing outside of 40s and 50s. When's the flip back to much AA?

Idk about much AA but wait till the beginning of April, things will start flipping back to average and then slightly above average

Got an inch or maybe 2 on the grass.  A few roads are slushy.  Looks like the snow is sliding south of us now

I'm going to be straight up not having a good time tomorrow

didn't realize how dry the air was currently but dewpoint has been hanging between 2-5 degrees F this afternoon

things look to turn mild once we get into April.  Maybe a few cool days at the beginning of the month but should turn nice after that

0.30” here. Not a bad start to the month. Hoping the upcoming weeks will get us a couple more inches