madwx

11 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

@madwx direct hit on us by Wednesday morning lol

hoping it comes through 12 hours earlier so we can have some convective potential with it.  models are trending that way

Have we ever had tropical remnants go sub 980 in the Lakes?

8 minutes ago, Stebo said:

I am hoping for no phase or even better storm dying down there. If the low does occur it would put us into a cold pattern for at least a week afterwards, some models even longer. Only a solution like the 12z run yesterday would be fine with me, for record purposes.

yeah 12z Euro has below zero 850 temps as far south as northern Illinois by next Friday morning.  woof

38 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

The Euro has a little wet snow mixing in up at Bo's on June 12th lol.

Yeah it has a heavy snowstorm breaking out in western Ontario on the back side of the remnants

4 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

FWA slightly overperformed at 91° with a predicted high 88°. There was no way of coming close to 1934's 99°.

we don't drought like we used to

storms blowing up quickly NE of Rochester, much further east that any CAMs had storms developing at this hour

18 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

I know you guys in Illinois have gotten walloped by rain systems this spring, but we haven't.  We could use a good soaker today.  A week from now, when Cristobal lifts through the central US, we will really need a soaker.

yeah its strange, even though we had a wet May we are teetering on the edge here.  Some areas have flooded fields yet some areas already have cracks in the soil

11 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

HRRR still doesn't want to give southern WI much of anything. Shows Madison remaining nearly dry overnight.

v4 has precip extending further south which seems like a more realistic representation

it's pretty impressive to have temps in the upper 80s, dews in the upper 60s and not a single cloud in the sky

Many Americans have been unhappy for years.  With the leadership gap at the top and the pandemic putting more pressure on the lower and middle class this was inevitable unfortunately.

22 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

early hints at a real nice llj in the mid range

Middle next week through the weekend is gonna be rockin'

19 hours ago, madwx said:

record warm min watch for Madison.  It only got down to 71 here this morning, and the record is 70 set way back in 1875.  Will be a close call later this evening.

Broke the record yesterday.  Might make a run at precip today.  Record is 1.86"

record warm min watch for Madison.  It only got down to 71 here this morning, and the record is 70 set way back in 1875.  Will be a close call later this evening.

dewpoint up to 58 here.  Really feeling the humidity for the first time this year

1 hour ago, nwohweather said:

Either that or it fades out similar to the Spanish Flu. As always the Midwest fear of this ceases to amaze me, and I cannot relate. We've literally had SC open for weeks and no spike has occurred, in fact we are going to open all public attractions as well on Friday. 

This thing just doesn't seem the be as lethal or spread as quickly in the heat, so summer nationally should buy us all time for better medicines to be developed to manage the symptoms

https://www.al.com/news/2020/05/montgomery-running-out-of-icu-beds-as-coronavirus-cases-double-in-may.html

the virus is just withering in the heat 

Even with the filtered sunshine here about to tag 70 for the second day in a row.  Wisconsin finally not socked in total cloud cover while Illinois is.  Usually it is the other way around.

https://www.al.com/news/2020/05/montgomery-running-out-of-icu-beds-as-coronavirus-cases-double-in-may.html

Summer won't save us if we don't keep up social distancing measures of no large gatherings and limited people in group indoor spaces.

should be a legitimate chance of severe weather Sat-Mon in the subforum

Full sun here this morning after days of cloud cover.  Gonna be a beautiful day, even as clouds fill back in the afternoon.

52 minutes ago, King James said:

The Navy flood map that has made the rounds over the internet the last decade doesn’t seem so wild

It's a lot easier to get Gulf of Mexico moisture when the GOM is in your front yard.

hundreds of millions of years ago, the midwest was under a shallow sea.  I always thought it would be cool to see what that would be like, what I didn't know is that I'd get to see it in my lifetime.

It's crazy how much wetter the 30 year climate means will be when the data set changes from 1981-2010 to 1991-2020

For MSN

Jan 1.23" -> 1.46"

Feb 1.45" -> 1.52"

Mar 2.19" -> 2.26"

Apr 3.40" -> 3.78"

May 3.55" -> 4.02" (at least)

Jun 4.54" -> 5.27" (estimated)

Jul 4.18" -> 4.34" (estimated)

Aug 4.26" -> 4.27" (estimated)

Sep 3.13" -> 3.37" (estimated)

Oct 2.40" -> 2.73" (estimated)

Nov 2.39" -> 2.21" (estimated)

Dec 1.75" -> 1.71" (estimated)

Only December and November have seen slight decreases in precip and some months (Apr - Jun, Sep - Oct) have seen significant increases in precip.

Just now, cyclone77 said:

80s with dews pushing 70 by the weekend.  It's about time.

It depends on how the shortwaves eject from the western trough but should have a few chances at thunderstorms starting Friday as well

We've got easterly winds throughout the depth of the troposphere.  Not something you see every day.

Very efficient rain making.  0.92” here so far with 12+ hours of rain to go