weathafella

I saw you posted and was thinking...here comes the ICON report.

I think the problem is the virus changes how it spreads. Ultimately it may be no more or much more deadly vs flu. The 1918 pandemic was lights out terrible but it was 1918. I think people with the strongest immune systems may be at pretty high risk because it is precisely this immune system that fills the lungs with fluid risking life. Obviously people with other underlying health issues are at risk from any virus and coronavirus is unknown enough to scare the shit out of the population. We’ve seen that mismanagement resulted in higher morbidity and mortality (early days in China, Italy, Japan, Korea). The US response at the border was good but to have untrained and unprotected workers screening incoming folks is pretty bad. However I think communities have done a good job. That said....how many well carriers in the country are spreading this around? We don’t know.

One thing for certain is that this is the last threat we track in standard time. Everything is an hour later starting Sunday.

My daughter’s last class ends 3pm Friday. I told her I want to leave right at 3 to beat a potential storm with a 3.5 hour drive. There I jinxed it...

I think I discard 4-5 and consider the other eastern solutions possible and seen often enough in phased storms that just miss over the years. That said....I think this one delivers

They’re not near Bermuda but they are east of the mean. It is actually possible to phase but too late for land interaction.

How can you see that?

40% of the solutions are east or well east of the mean.

It’s tryin though in the late stage. Downeast may do ok.

Euro is similar to gfs at 12z.

If we discard icon and other stupid models and just consider the gfs (AAA), CMC (AAA), UKMET (MLB), Euro (MLB) we have our window. Icon is the equivalent of old class D.

Lol...euro/cmc vs icon/gfs. Kind of like when a team disbands and half the roster goes to the Yankees while the other half goes to the Royals.

Pedestrian ray? From Twitter..

Snow climo in SNE in March typically is better or equal to December. You start winter in November

Let’s see if we can hold this. If so, a huge salvage of a ratter.

Lol...not exactly hyped here...

Can we slow anything down this winter?

It does produce a lot of non accumulating snow late in the game...

Ugh. Back to snoozing until Wednesday...

Here we go...

Shit streak needs not impede....

Euro has the cooks cooking....

I’ll be in VT by dinner time Thursday coming back to Boston late Friday afternoon. Interesting drive back?

Go to Syracuse and environs....much snowier.