weathafella

Yeah and so far all the JV models agree so one should expect the euro to follow suit. GFS AI actually has a better event but also a step backwards.

Gfs lost any semblance of an event over the weekend.

I wasn’t here in 1989-90-I arrived in July 1991. But 1989 was cold in November and December but fairly dry.

Through 12/8/2025 monthly departures BOS: -7.7 PVD: -7.8 BDL: -8.8 ORH: -8.3

Me too but I wouldn’t huddle at home for it.

Dinkleshit actually….2-5 gives warnings there. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1013 AM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 VAZ060-061-066>069-079>083-513>516-082300- /O.CON.KAKQ.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-251208T2300Z/ Prince Edward-Cumberland-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan- Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-Charles City-New Kent-Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- 1013 AM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 5 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, and south central Virginia. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Call 511 for road information.

Yeah as much as some of us carp, I’m thankful for my incredible privilege in so many ways. But here we talk snow so why not complain…lol?

Look out your window. What is different for you vs many of us?

We’re getting so badly skunked lately. It was so obvious to me driving from Chicago home Wednesday and Thursday. Snow otg with good coverage for 95+% of the trip. Hit bare ground inside 495.

Yeah Chicago is having a really nice start but their winters of late have been abysmal. I’m starting to weigh the AI versions higher than the regular versions. The fact that AI more or less is a continuous upgrade by machine learning. I think we’ve already seen much better performance vs the early days of the AI models.

It was a nice snow burst whitening the ground earlier but now a memory.

I guess we should be patient. This is kind of similar to how December played out in 2010 before Boxing Day delivered for many of us.

Skynet agrees and both include most of Massachusetts as well. Sky is more areal coverage. I think an inch on Saturday is returning.

I think I speak for most when I say it’s depressing to have favorable snow guidance with the next run pulling the rug. I mean it’s cold so we can’t say December isn’t acting wintry but bare ground doesn’t feel like winter.

Riding through some heavy squall snow about 20 miles east of Syracuse. West of Rochester to Syracuse was dicey.

My preferred date is 12/13 so I’d be happy with a switch

6 muthufukkas!

Hard not to have that feeling actually especially with the way autumn played out.

Getting back to earlier in the thread-in the years I’ve been posting, I’ve never put anyone on ignore. Reading posts I don’t like is part of the fun.

Ensembles (both GEFS and EPS) have a pretty nice pattern by the end of their runs with at most a short period of AOA normal. Time will tell.

Temperatures from late week going forward are solidly below normal. BOS normal is still low to mid 40s. Here in Chicago, it’s been way below normal-Canada is frigid and it’s close to us. Carping about temperatures 5 days out seems silly. If you get a clipper redeveloping under is we’ll do ok. Besides, I’m a snow magnet and I’m heading home starting tomorrow.

The euro vs others is reminiscent of December 2003 albeit with not nearly the potential impact. Euro won but it was the absolute king then.

Yes. But from a practical standpoint with some almost guaranteed mixing the flash freeze post system might make it very difficult.

So…for my home location-do I need to contact my neighbor to clear the sidewalk? Brookline can be dicks and ticket if you don’t clear. We’re not expecting to be home before Thursday night. I was thinking at my location it would be mainly slop.

This looks like a great start! Most areas 20 miles inland should do well and maybe even closer to the coast. I’ll be away for this one but can’t complain given my storm today.