WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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We know all too well how the biggies turn out as we get within 24-72 hours The only manner that works for us now is the rare Miller A. Phase jobs and transfers always had poor results around here yet snowstorms are constantly forecasted from them. They don’t occur. Let’s hope we can get a modest organized rain storm from Atlanta that moves northeast into cold air over us. That does work
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25+ temp drops in 10 hours mega front. Winds picked up last 90 minutes gust to 40. Gotta get a Miller A
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Suns out. It’s so bad now that models can’t even get winter rains correct within 24 hours
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Was this not to be an all day raining?
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Keep in mind the thing about free speech . This is a weather discussion board-all aspects and components of weather. You model worshippers are stuck with no ability to discuss anything other than what models give to you. They are inefficient as far as the One aspect and one aspect only that I identify-wintertime low pressure placements for eastern 1/3 of nation. that needs correction and I will continue to address that reality. Mostly what I do is observations, with models a small segment of what I say, and I’m here 365 unlike the snow bunnies so I will keep talking as I see fit
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Total greatness in cold source region
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Model whiff number one picking right back up where it left off. Sundays snows miss with low being 250 miles off and temps 10-15 degrees milder. Thank goodness NHC is not like this but I imagine far more money and effort is put into them getting it right because of the dire consequences
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But isn’t it hard for remote cabins down a lane?
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But you use it some now? How do you get water and septic and electric?
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And this cabin is new for you this year?
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Talked about this DCA is now 0-2F from others . Strong winds mixes it up so no radiational is necessary. Interesting..
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28. 5 here and still really gusty but sustained a bit more settled now at 20-25. Wind chills 13-19
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5pm wind chill in Hagerstown is 13
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Herb I’m thinking you will be 9F at dark How’s the heat in the cabin ?
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Until Mongolia stops sending down the goods, we stay cold. It’s going to produce most of this month. Specifically, out of the next 25 days, 18/19 will be below average with some -15 or colder. I’ll leave it up to the agency that tries to predict low pressure placements to do so but gotta have the cold to begin with
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If you can video the blizzard stuff please
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Thanks snd I meant out and not out but you knew. Thats big work!!
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How do they get the ability to out these in various properties? It’s a stellar effort
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I think the anti radiational shield got blown off.
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As I thought that area down there has exploded with moisture and has a more northerly move to it now. This source region brings surprises.snd good results I have bagged all models as to low pressure olacement. NWS should try NHC methods and talks of “discreet” problems is just excuse making. Also do not see any blues up in our cold source region so no warm up thru At least 12/15. Radars and satellite and water vapor and no more than 5 days out, three really, is the way to treat the examples. I prefer predictions .
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I’m watching an area near TX/LA coast- when Mongolian cold is helping that area is a great snow producer source region. Looks like it wants to stay south but I’ll watch it.
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I think I’ve been in the 20’s 7 nights in a row . Not sure that happened last winter at all much less late Nov into Dec
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So just a quick run to TN and back in snow?! You got moxie my man!
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SSW is unproven as to effect for us Last years mid Jan Guarantee of a “rocking Feb” was highly predicated on a beneficial SSW -it never happened and in fact the opposite ENSO isn’t even that reliable now. -AO and -NAO still helps. Mongolia is out of blue and that gives me optimism
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39 for the high The cold delivered as predicted and models all over the place for what at one point looked like a good weekend snow
