WEATHER53

Multiple screen names

I’m getting better understanding now. I kept a 60 page diary of set ups and outcomes . I use that. I don’t use models for predictions of low pressure systems in the winter. If I see a 1030 high on southern Hudson Bay predicted 5-7 days out I know from experience that will mostly come true because it mostly has. Not the same at all for storms. I think we are doing better now by explaining things back and forth and not arguing and we often conclude the same things between us but via different methods. Thanks

Ok so tools for making a prediction but not an actual prediction . I think I finally get it .

That’s why delayed but not denied is mostly incorrect. At least it’s cold because when it isn’t it almost doesn’t matter where the low goes

So you now agree with me that the models DO NOT predict weather but rather provide samples of a wide variety of possible outcomes. Then change that every 6 hours. I would also say the rest of them did not show “nothing”

We have avoided the “delayed but…” pattern so far and hope this is not the beginning

So from 2’ to 0 in less than 24 hours. I would swear to God but too much carnage would fall upon me.

29.8 at 1pm which is coldest temp for time this season on a full sun day

Has it really gone from 24” to 2” in 12 hours?

Is Jason not with CWG now ? it is good to see Walt again

We bestow great crediting to thee

11pm 27.5 nw wind 23

What happened in the following 3 days?

One thing I note is NWS has been too cold during this. Today was to be 27 in the Sat forecast. 28 Sunday and Min. . 31 today I don’t think temps have been colder even during the heavy snow so I’m thinking this 15 degree projection at 1pm during snow will likely be more like 20-23. Still plenty cold though

That was real close to real bad

Will you tent camp in your front yard if it’s 15 or colder and snowing?? You got the gusto to do it!!!

You are 2nd to identify that and 20-25 yesrs ago seems the right length of time to my memory

I’m not sure when but to my memory the coldest I can remember around me where we got more than 3” was 15F

That’s some prime IronTy tent camping weather!!

Yes and my twin 5 year old grandchildren got their first snow they can remember and play in!!! You kinda got short end on the big one but we gotta a lot left as cold is still full on

I’d be delighted if it stays cold. Absent just 3/4 days it’s been a good cold run last 3 weeks

First time I’ve seen blue all season up in the cold spot region. If that holds, 7/8 days later out dominant cold would end

It’s wild down in this valley near north branch as 97% snow cover and not much sun and I topped out at just 42.

I want to make my observation and experiences in peace without the same two twits jumping on it like it’s their way or the highway . You can assist with that. Until I am not harassed then my vigorous response to the chiding will continue. Let’s try to treat this as my response to instigation until the instigation stops because it takes two to tango and not just one

I got a very special message for you. Just keep your control freak shit up. . Your what does the 360 hour gfs say in 8 paragraphs is not the only conversation in here and far far from the best