WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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I also think that when the cold air plunge begins that 0.1” won’t equate to 0.75-1” but rather to close to 2”.
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I got a feeling that there will be some pushback on AI model because it’s going to display the consistency of forecasting that all the rest never have . Taking away the ever changing unpredictability won’t be well received by some because the necessity of deciphering the situation will decrease via the consistency of the AI .
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Can you send this to me again Sunday at 6pm and we will see how it turned out ?
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How much liquid do you think we will have left after temps begin their dramatic drop?
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Because of the warmth preceding.
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Percentage wise for outside the beltway I’ll go 0-2”:10% 2-4”-50% 4-6”-25% 6”+-15%
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The sun is still in the off position and 30-32 with steady snow won’t fritter away
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Think we will go from like 30-32 at 3pm ish Sunday to 20-25 by 6/7 pm so that will boost ratios and I’m even going to throw out some squalliness as possible
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It don’t feel so great do it???
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These high ratios probably result of bitter cold air beginning to pour in
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-7 850s
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CAB
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What does genius AI say?
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Hey Ra**y the Dr King switch is a fine tribute
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
WEATHER53 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
The onset of the cold coincides with the great onslaught if 1994. 8 for a high at DCA and around zero by dark. 1982 and 85 put up impressive numbers same time also How our arctic express looking ? -
Man they have fairy dust on them . 5-0 on last play of game
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And after many more frieds then try a rawbie!
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DP it looks like the snow say after 3pm Sunday would fall in rapidly decreasing temps to around 20 before ending Monday. Thats unusually cold so might not 0.2” lq produce 3”+ rather than our more traditional 1-2”
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We are a snow town. It’s like Garret Co has moved in
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I may now be forever changed. It contains elements I have thought about for years. It may be onto something right now as we are in snow mode until we aren’t. That kind of historical data including even offbeat outcomes will have an effect The joy of me shutting up about models may not be far away.
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I believe
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It’s ability to go back to some analog historic data outcomes and blend that in however is best is real and real good.
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Solid dusting. Not quite 0.25” but not much less than
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Light steady snow began 5:50pm and some decent flake size
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Steady snow in Frederick but not Kemp Mill . 35.5 for a high and 34.5 now KM
