WEATHER53

January in April . A lot can happen but almost always has to be dark for it.

I think Friday will be colder than half of the days in January

Living causes dying. Don’t have to accelerate it but this is a soupy rich environment we live in with great wonders and some nasty viruses. Our contaigents is probably what keeps the aliens away. Unless the viruses are the aliens

We are fine and don’t know of any. I was diagnosed with pneumonia 2/22 but no cases in MD until later. 5 days 4 nights real bad with pneumonia. First time scared in decades. Rescue inhaler went to work quick. This is dramatic so apologize but if anyone especially my age or more goes through my type sickness then I know why they die. I thought I might if it didn’t get better quickly. 17 days later had a big steK and salad dinner . In between the hell and being well it was slowly getting better, might pause for a day, never worsening. Well wishes

34 for a low here

From83 to 53 so mega front but too little too late. Watch April and May be like -5 for more misery

7 day make pretend never end.

Go down skyline drive and divert off to a small road and you will quickly see what no money really looks like. At least sw PA has some rafting and resorts and some things to draw in money

Wow. Presuming you have a winter place there and not full time. I was stunned that solid places within 3 miles of 7 Springs rentb for just $800 per month even in the winter. cost of housing and commercial space is really low compared to DC even with the resorts do close by

Gust to 42mpg Loved those Snowshoe pics. What going on out there today?

Gust rain showers and down to 40

Too far away for any legitimate representation 12 hours from now the low will be in Ohio

Well it was s lousy outlook Missed temps on 2 of 3 months and missed the overall. Each month is a 1x and the overall a 3x so I had only one element out of 6 correct snowfall call average as had that at or below average snd it was well below average Matt-what was yours again please?

Truth hurts especially when a cellar dwelling chump like you is powerless to do anything themselves. As always, when you cant contribute nor refute then personally attack the poster.

If so then bingo and exactly. Analogs. We never had said that a dry November “”Causes” a bummer winter but when 80%of the time what you referenced we end up with a bummer winter then you must pay attention to that. Now, what caused the dryness and the bummer that followed can be up to the debating team but this method Is Forecadting instead of throwing a bunch of indexes into s pot and trying to make soup. Forecasting of weather, not all potential examples of it.

In early November the source region of cold air was excellent and in evidence and that continued into mid December. Then abruptly that stopped and never returned. Why? No one knows. Perhaps God or the myriad of alphabet indexes crafted to explain the unexplainable. By just before Christmas the first “return to cold in 10 days” came and went. Now the disaster was underway. History shows that when the very first “return to cold” fails that 80% of the time the colder never re-emerges. Feb 2007 was a big exception but that was 13 years ago so figure the odds on your own. Observation threads are still a delight and discussing 3-5 day leads is worthy but all the multi paragraphs clamoirings over unproven indexes and models really doesn’t lend anything.

Then go play In 5-15 day everything and nothing fantasy land

Nice to have something to follow its High Pressure watching time to see if it can relax to about 30.25 come crunch time

Ok then even better once again

We realize you have to personalize a response when no one spoke to you directly. Reminds me of the Pied Piper JoeB or WxRisk days where those guys felt omnipotent my script is the factual outcomes while you chase 15+ day fantasy pattern changes

My outlook was bad got Feb temps right but missed Dec and Jan and winter as a whole. Had the right idea about less than average snow Think Matt and Isotherm did much better on temps but also think they had at or above average snowfall Truth is I thought we would be cold for Dec thru mid/late Jan and then quite mild We ended up being cold 30 days earlier, November into mid Dec. i dont know if “wasting the cold” is valid or not but this has been a case for it.

Simply must laugh at the touted pattern change for early March that has been offered up since early Jan.

I think championship team was 19-3 at this point but don’t think anyone else better than 19-4

Man that blew thru here big time at 830 42mph gust and .75” in 30 minutes

Yes we know you have appointed yourself the Big Dog here with every 8 paragraph post. Over the last almost 20 years we’ve had a number claim stake for a few years Models are a fraud. They waste taxpayers money trying to solve a riddle they cant No money should be spend on anything past 3 days maybe 5. The reason-models can’t do it. Maybe 10% of the time they stick with a hit and it happens. Otherwise it’s show all sorts of outcomes in the 5-15 day and at 4 per days that’s 20-60 outcomes. Guess what, one will be right so present that to Feds as your success come Federsl funding renewal time. My enjoyment comes from making observations doing the event and following things from 3 days in. I derive no satisfaction from endlessly changing example of possible weather, I want to forecast as to most probable outcome. Models can’t do that and have not tightened things up in last 20 years do let’s tryanother route.