lee59

Already 1.50 inches of rain here.

Not looking well defined at this point. It has about 12-24 hours over warm water. If it doesn't intensify then, it won't get any stronger. Looks like there could be decent rains west of the storm center as there is good lift to the west of the storm.

Areas west of the center will get NE winds shifting to North.

At this point I am expecting decent rains, probably 1-3 inches and wind gusts in the 40s at my house and probably 50s in exposed locations, like nearby airports. That is with a landfall over eastern Long Island. Of course that can change.

.02 inch of rain here, everything north and west. We just keep missing thunderstorm activity for the most part.

12z GFS puts the Henri right on top of the Nassau-Suffolk border.

Talk about crazy tracks, hurricane Esther in 1961. It came within miles of going ashore in eastern New England, then made a quick eastern turn out to sea, then turned south, then west and then north. It made a complete loop only to go back over the Cape Cod area. So in reality the same storm affected the same area twice.

The hype for Gloria was way up there. So the areas to the west like New Jersey and the city did not get anything like what many expected. However from around eastern Nassau or even central Nassau on east it was pretty bad. I would say in my area we had tree damage very similar in both Sandy and Gloria. There were people without power in both storms for weeks. I had a wind gust in Sandy at my house of 80mph and I would say Gloria was similar. The eye of Gloria when it hit Long Island, not far from the Nassau=Suffolk border, was open and large. I remember the back side of the storm had very strong wind gusts with partly cloudy skies.

Yea Gloria is a good example of that. Folks in New Jersey and NYC were mostly saying it was a bust but not out on Long Island. Good thing Gloria did not hit at high tide or the flooding would have been substantial. Bob held together nicely for being so far north. Really slammed eastern New England. Another 70 miles west and it probably would have been one of the worst hurricanes ever for Long Island.

Yea it is always interesting when tropical systems go well to our west but interact with other weather systems or fronts.

Yes it was on the east side but the storm was out in west-central Pennsylvania. I think there was interaction with other weather systems.

The strongest wind gust in NYC was actually from Hurricane Hazel. The interesting thing with this is that the storm was going thru Pennsylvania. The strongest wind gust at Brookhaven Labs on Long Island is 125mph from Hurricane Carol in 1954. The 1938 hurricane gave Blue Hill Observatory in Massachusetts a wind gust of 186mph.

Yes Sandy certainly was unique and in a bad way for our immediate area. That 1938 hurricane definitely was worse over eastern areas but my stepfather was a cop in Greenwich Ct. when that storm hit. He was in the firehouse on RT.1 and there was an inlet across the street that was connected to Long Island Sound. He said water started to come into the firehouse and when he went outside folks were on top of their cars from a rapidly rising water surge.

Yes 1938-1961 was very active. After some 20-25 years since the 1938 hurricane, weather folks kept saying how overdue we were for another major hurricane. It came, finally, in 2012 with Sandy. The interesting thing is Sandy never crossed Long Island but where it came ashore and the angle it came ashore at, was so unusual and the worst possible scenario for my area and NYC and of course the Jersey shore..

I think things just have been a little unusual since Bob. We had Sandy that was as bad as any hurricane that came ashore on Long Island, even though it did not make landfall here. We have had to tropical systems also in Irene and Isaias. So in the past 30 years we had one major storm and 2 tropical systems. Between 1962 until Bob there was only Gloria as the major storm and Belle as less but still a Cat 1. Of course we always have those close calls or remnants that bring heavy rains or beach erosion.

I think we will find going forward that we may get further into the alphabet before we have our first hurricane. The reason is because we name sub tropical systems and very weak systems. Springtime is when storms like this seem to be named and you have to wait for the water temperatures to warm up properly to support a real hurricane.

I'm now at 90 also

Temperatures are getting warmer than I thought out here on the Island. Many temps now in the upper 80s

I understand bluewave, there are just 2 ways at looking at those stats and to me they are both correct in their own way. For example, lets say you are in a car race with 5 cars, 4 tie for first and then there is the last car. Well you could say the last car was 2nd and if you went by time that is correct. However the actual finishing spot is 5th or last. Now Islip certainly did have the 12th highest temperature this summer but that can be misleading in that you might think it to be the 12th warmest summer ever. Not so, ties now count and Islip had the 17th warmest summer because 16 other years were warmer. That is all I am saying.

The one thing that, as you probably know, bothers me about these stats is the numbers. Yes Islip is the 12th warmest summer in temperature but it is actually the 17th warmest summer.

This doesn't seem right.

After this heat wave, looks like the cooler drier air may come in as kind of a whimper. Some thunderstorm activity but not widespread and severe as you might expect from breaking a heat wave.

Maybe others were having the same problem and that is why no response. Sorry about that, I am not a tech wizard so I'm not sure how to fix it. For some reason it opens for me so I thought all could see it. The picture you show is a good airial shot.

Most of the stations near me on the Davis site, got up to about 94 degrees.

Latest temps I see from around the area are. Newark and LaGuardia the highest at 96 and 95. Farmingdale and Sussex Airport and Kennedy 90 Trenton and White Plains 91 Central Park 92