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lee59

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Everything posted by lee59

  1. Looks like the latest euro snow map evened the totals out some what. Big difference as you get right near the water and then a general 6-12 with a few higher amounts.
  2. 31.4 degrees here, hopefully the temp will go down when the snow gets heavier.
  3. Temperatures in New Jersey range from the mid 40s along the south coast to low 20s in the NW area.
  4. 40/70 scenario always best for the coast. This track, especially with some models, concerning for the coast.
  5. It's time for me to check the radar and other observations, more than the models. It's nowcast time.
  6. Look I hope your correct but with ocean temperatures well into the 40s and a low near the coast or even slightly inland, how does Long Island get over a foot of snow. We need the low offshore with a Northeast wind, not an east wind which is what it will be if the GFS is correct. Hopefully the Euro stays more offshore and ends up being correct
  7. If the low is SW of me and it is December with milder water temps., I'm very concerned. I hope the GFS is wrong.
  8. I think if the low is where the GFS places it, the only hope for snow is a quick front end. A low over Delaware is going to give coastal areas a more east wind than Northeast, that means ocean air. Maybe some more snow as it pulls away.
  9. The models like the GFS that have a low pressure over Delaware is not where you want it if you live on Long Island. It would seem to me that would bring in a more easterly wind and onshore ocean air.
  10. The forecast for south shore beaches in Nassau County is about 2-3 inches of snow. The forecast for the north shore of Nassau County is about 12 inches.
  11. Regardless of the mixing potential at the coast, I think the front end snows still look to bring at least 6 plus inches of snow to most of Long Island.
  12. Snow lovers in that area are going to be real happy or real mad. Would not want to make that forecast.
  13. The Philly area has not had an inch of snow in some 650 days. The models are showing areas some 15 miles south of Philly getting almost nothing with this storm and some 15 miles NW of Philly getting near a foot.
  14. With such short distances between areas that get crushed and those that lose out, it should be an interesting storm to watch unfold. There may be a lot of disappointed people and or a lot of very happy people.
  15. At this point in my area, I am expecting a good front end thumping and then a mix or change to sleet, drizzle, freezing rain and so on. Probably 6-10 inches.
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