lee59
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Everything posted by lee59
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Getting a little concerned about the rain/snow line in coastal areas.
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- heavy snow
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Yea the strong high to the north should help create good gradient winds.
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Ok. I'm just thinking a good Nor'easter has a barometric pressure dropping through the 990s to the 980s.
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One thing that has me wondering, if this is a good nor'easter. Why do some models have the storm weakening as it moves off the coast.
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I wouldn't really call it a bust because the high snow totals were some 4-5 days out. If you get your hopes to high that far out, you will bust a lot. Even now there is still so much time to do most anything. We still have a good storm to track and the uncertainty is what makes it so interesting.
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I think some front end decent snow totals are likely even with a change to rain at the coast.
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I agree. There is no doubt the models have been looking good and it is fine to make predictions on sites like this but a little early when talking to hundreds of thousands or millions of people. After all a 50 mile move north or south with the storm can make a huge difference and were still some 4 or 5 days out.
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Channel 4 NBC really going out on a limb. Already mentioning a foot of snow for city and surrounding area.
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I would say one concern is that the high weakens some or moves further east, allowing the low to be more Northwest. Gfs latest run seems to be a little to far northwest for a big coastal snow. Wouldn't take much to change that.
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I also like to hear your thoughts, knowledgeable and keeping things in perspective.
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I'm just happy there is something ligit to track. To early to say for sure, who gets what.
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
lee59 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Caribou has a very long winter. To long for me. We were so over due for snow less seasons like the last 2. NYC Central Park actually averaged some 5-6 inches more snow the last 30 year climate period (1990-2020) as compared to the previous period of 1960-1990. The slightly milder temperatures seem to have given our area more precipitation and in the winter that can mean more snow. -
For the first time since early this morning, the wind has calmed down here.
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1.04 inches of rain here. Davis weather station in Gilgo Beach and Long Beach (both south shore) reporting peak gusts of 61 and 59mph.
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49mph wind gust here, .84 inch of rain.
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Peak gust at my house now up to 41mph. Rainfall up to .60.
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November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
lee59 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
.97 of an inch of rain here -
November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
lee59 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
23 was my low. -
November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
lee59 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I believe it hit 32 in Central Park on October 31 -
Pockets damaging wind-power outage potential 4P-10P Sunday Nov 15, 2020
lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Impressive squall line, heavy rain and winds in the 40s, peak gust 46mph. -
Pockets damaging wind-power outage potential 4P-10P Sunday Nov 15, 2020
lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
39mph peak gust here so far -
November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
lee59 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Even here on Long Island some big differences between daytime high and nighttime low. Yesterday 78-42 and today 77-41. Temperature drops fast, already down to 64.
