87storms

The north Frederick rain shield is a force right now as well. Got light rained on while playing basketball, but nothing to write home about, and can see some good stuff to the sw of my locale. Dews have certainly risen, though. Finally feels like summer outside.

Yea, this is an astronomically better weather pattern than the last few weeks. That dry, dusty, smoky nw wind was getting played out. I have low expectations of any imby storms making it up this way, but good to see some popcorn cells showing up.

Noticeable uptick in humidity today...nothing like what this area is capable of, but hopefully the start of a trend towards better storm chances.

LWX mentioned that we may not get any rain until next weekend if the block to the north is strong enough. However, there is some potentially great news... There are indications that the pattern may break down somewhat, or at least re-orient, later in the week as a system moves across Canada. This would center the high closer to or off the east coast, allowing for an increase in temperatures and humidity. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase likewise. However, model spread increases further during this time, so forecast details remain uncertain.

Diddly here with the afternoon round. Was playing some pickup hoops and thought we might get rained on, but nothing materialized. Seeing a northwest wind through Sunday. The drought continues. Looks like high pressure moves off the coast at some point next week. Hopefully, that’s the start of a return flow that can be more productive in the storms department.

Looks like we’re also dealing with more rounds of smoke, too. This season is a battle so far lol

These are basically clippers. Hopefully July brings a more humid pattern to this region.

I could picture some of the imby cells overperforming this afternoon if we can get enough breaks in the clouds/instability.

Getting some light rain here, but radar has the look of a thirsty Blue Ridge.

That line is right on my doorstep. Breeze picking up.

Imo, this pattern is as anomalous as the 09/10 HECS pattern we had. We’ve had stretches of low dews in previous summers, but this is remarkable stuff. The condensation on my beverages has been mostly non-existent all season lol.

I'll take humidity, a southerly breeze component, less wildfire smoke, and no drought.

If the GFS and Euro are correct, it might be unsettled all week next week. I actually don't mind this type of setup, though. Cutoff lows to the northeast are a no-go, but this one (per LWX) would involve the GOM, so we might actually get productive precip out of it (TBD).

I get why people would want cooler weather in the summer, but it seems to involve a drier pattern, at least so far. We need higher PWATS and afternoon storms. This nickel and dime stuff is only going to take us so far. I personally would like to see a return to a more normal summer pattern. I don't even think I've had a single thunderstorm yet this year...certainly not a flush hit.

I endorse the comments regarding the beautiful weather today. It’s milder with a little less wind than I expected…and that’s exactly what I was hoping for.

Up to 0.4”+ at the surrounding weather stations. Should be able to get to 1/2” total by eod.

Around 0.15” here so far, but currently under a puddle producing healthier band. Should get mby to 0.25”+.

Fairly light here in Frederick so far, but the ground is wet and I do like my spot for getting in on actual decent precip. I see some yellows incoming…hoping they hold.

The patches of brown grass is really showing here. It might be at least 50/50 brown/green at this point. We need to get into a thunderstorm pattern or at least find a way to get an upper level low to track further south. This is the same general issue we faced all winter lol.

Getting the light soaking rain is nice, but I'd like to see a downpour or two with the cells moving through later. That's what's really needed to clean up this pollen/dust and everything else that's gathered since the drought pattern began.

Makes sense. Yea, I was gonna say earlier that I think most of our summer rain is from shortwaves or frontal passage swinging through with a return flow or sticky airmass in place. We’ve definitely been missing the latter, for whatever reason. Even today doesn’t feel all that humid…certainly a little less than I expected.

Not really sure if that's new smoke or just the increasing humidity creating more haze with whatever residual stuff is there. Whatever the case, we need a more active southern stream...like asap.

I can feel the slight uptick in humidity and, I must say, it feels pretty amazing. Any chance we can follow this up with a Bermuda High?

It’s still pretty dry outside today and, of course, there’s a breeze because that’s what we do now. This pattern just does not want to allow much in the way of any flow from the south. Maybe tomorrow and Monday will feel more like summer, regardless of precip. .

Someway, somehow…a brief rain shower has moved through here.