87storms

Yea I’m not impressed with the trend here at all. The rest of the guidance has been for more of a coastal impact. Temps are also a problem even more so for that crew. At this point, we gotta start taking the euro seriously.

Gfs seems to be trending slightly east just about every run since yesterday.

Mother Nature > reverse psychology

Cold chasing precip, increasing sun angle, a rapid developing coastal that’s 100 miles east of OC, and a reliance on an IVT/Norlun…just our kinda storm.

Old rag is legit. At least a 1/3 of it is a rock scramble. Plan accordingly.

It’s a bowl with character

Frederick has a snow allergy during La Niña. Chasing is tempting, though.

Some of the model output is wild. 966 lp at our latitude on the Canadian. There will be watches up by tomorrow night for the Eastern shore at this rate.

Only if someone sits next to me when it’s empty

He’s not wrong though lol. At this point I might be able to run errands on Sunday while oc gets a blizzard.

There’s consensus for a coastal but the difference is the gfs wants the impacts to be on land which makes it seem like it’s a lot more different than it is lol

Chase worthy storm to OC. They got rocked.

Still a healthy vort pass, just convoluted like millerwx alluded to.

I’m not sure how much ai would help short term forecasts. Seems like ai has more potential to handle long term chaos. Also, the term ai is so bloated. It’s basically just machine learning that we now have enough computing power to handle big data. When I think of ai I think of robots, not weather models lol.

It was awesome. I stayed up to watch it…it came in like a wall right off the Atlantic. The models were on vacation.