87storms

Just kinda looks like that southern feature runs too far out ahead of the northern stream energy. Maybe the coastal can develop quick enough to throw some moisture overhead as the main ull swings thru.

It’s legitimately windy right now. Just experienced it.

That too, but I think we just really need a return of the stj. Met a friend at Charles Town today and noticed the Potomac and Shenandoah looked pretty low.

Trough is too far north and east…like always now. But at least we get wind.

Saw it roll right off Catoctin. I got skimped, though.

The next weekend thing looks like it has more potential with what seems to be better moisture return from the gulf. Trusting a moisture-starved system without having cold air locked in prior is risky business. We’re better at cold air chasing anafrontal systems, right?

Any thoughts on severe season?

We need the gom to wake up.

Ew lol

The primary theme seems to be that things get going too late due to the trough being too far east.

Yea I remember that vort being a compact fireball at h5 riding up from the southwest.

It’s not on the weekend either.

We’re due for a successful implementation of cold chasing a late phasing Miller B

He lives out towards Ashburn, so kind of in the same microclimate as me. He was a legit aviation met, so I picked his brain a bit when I saw him in the office, but I don't think he tracks these types of storms like we do lol (though does root for snow).

My previous coworker (who I've kept in touch with) was an operational forecaster for years and said it could be a messy mix changing to snow. Likes the potential, but it depends on how much cold air gets wrapped in behind the low.