87storms

Yea, might be bright banding. I’m on the northern edge, but hasn’t been pouring or anything.

That is true. Gfs tried lol

The current radar is making me think I should delete this post.

Was just noticing that lol. Is the gfs the new model overlord?

I’m looking forward to a pattern that actually favors a consistent return of gom moisture. With the nor’easter, the Atlantic finally said, “I’ll do the job”, though that’s not our best path to victory here. The lack of a stj and gulf influence is by far the number 1 reason for the northern md snow drought. I expect that once El Niño settles we won’t have so much of this nickel and dime, hit or miss stuff.

The bias/variance trade-off in ML is probably one of the most important things anyone can learn when building models. I imagine it’s even more of a factor as model resolution improves and training sets get larger. Would be an interesting topic to explore.

This was the gfs yesterday for today’s system: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2026022512&fh=30 Talk to me when the euro shows me a snowstorm.

Gfs was pretty atrocious for today’s system until the last minute. Whatever the euro says is still the gold standard imo. Many will disagree, but for mby at least, it also performed better than the gfs for Sunday’s rainstorm.

After 4 months of a statistically cold winter, you’re ready for spring? Unacceptable. That next week system doesn’t look as wavy as I’d like, but nice to see a cutoff low of sorts out west. They still need precip.

It doesn't even look like it's gonna be cold tomorrow.

Choppy weather most of the day here, but finished in premium fashion. Was kinda mild leaving the gym around 630.

The last storm was a disaster here, but I'm still kinda impressed at how much even snow mounds from the plows have melted. The recent mild temps (albeit not really a torch) and rain has done a number on them.

We actually did decent precip-wise in Frederick on Sunday...the problem was it was mostly rain, whereas most of our true busts are expected to be snow, but just lack any significant precip. Not having a strong high to the north really messed up the first part of that storm imo.

Alright Catoctin cloud factory, I'd like to see some prolonged sun today, please. Places further south and east get more snow and less clouds. I'm bitter. Though it does look like some breaks in the clouds to the west incoming.

Shooting hoops on my lunch break and getting a bike ride in after work was a nice consolation prize to getting roughly one inch of accumulating snow from a nor’easter. And I agree re weekend temps. I’m down for a snowstorm, but I don’t need one. Edit: Thought I was in banter. Oops.