87storms

The Chesapeake Bay nor’easter.

Breezes have kicked up here in the last 15 mins, which is a good thing. This airmass was getting stagnant.

My hope is that this becomes a Feb 10, 2010 type of a pivot, but from hobbyist experience I will say this is definitely a setup in which you want to temper celebrations until it’s actually snowing. Miller Bs are a mortal enemy for central md. We’re generally not good at them.

Aka the snowstorm from the meh lol.

I like that look more than any other model I’ve seen. Most of them have Frederick on the western envelope of the goods.

It’s gonna take the battle of the century, but it appears Frederick might actually get peeks of sun before the day is out.

Yea I’m not impressed with the trend here at all. The rest of the guidance has been for more of a coastal impact. Temps are also a problem even more so for that crew. At this point, we gotta start taking the euro seriously.

Gfs seems to be trending slightly east just about every run since yesterday.

Mother Nature > reverse psychology

Cold chasing precip, increasing sun angle, a rapid developing coastal that’s 100 miles east of OC, and a reliance on an IVT/Norlun…just our kinda storm.

Old rag is legit. At least a 1/3 of it is a rock scramble. Plan accordingly.

It’s a bowl with character

Frederick has a snow allergy during La Niña. Chasing is tempting, though.

Some of the model output is wild. 966 lp at our latitude on the Canadian. There will be watches up by tomorrow night for the Eastern shore at this rate.

Only if someone sits next to me when it’s empty