87storms

I actually almost always say that in my head when reading it

Next week’s pattern is looking highly trackable. The models won’t know which shortwave will spark the gulf, but it seems like something is brewing.

Fun looking setup so far with gulf moisture available and cold air incoming, not retreating.

It’s cloudy almost every day here. I actually think the eastern shore and central Va are underrated. They get less of the stratus decks caused by the Great Lakes and mountains, and they seem to get more snow now lol. Current satellite loop really shows the difference between i95 east and west.

It’s waffling from run to run. I’m more interested in what’s getting tee’d up for next weekend. Looks like maybe some stj action?

Very intriguing run.

I just like seeing an actual wave in the south. If it gets suppressed, so be it, but it’s at least something fruitful to track beyond the leftover scraps we’re getting from the northern tier.

Lol

Another round of wind has made an appearance here.

Having the gulf open for business is music to my ears.

That’s actually a pretty weak correlation with the relationship potentially caused by outliers. Not sure where you got the 62.5% from unless you were looking at a sample of data? I only say that because R^2 in that case is 6.25%. I think when looking at these indices, it’s easy to get caught in a chicken/egg loop unless there’s clearly pressure-level signals for snowier winters like with nao/ao, etc.

Slightly different than Sunday's fish storm: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2026011518&fh=72

this is much more inspiring than what we've been working with lately: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2026011518&fh=180

You mean you don’t like it when it’s below freezing, windy, and cloudy with no snow?

Late next week definitely looks like the period to watch.