87storms

Still snowing there in Frederick at 18z. The Catoctin’s at 1500’ are gonna get rocked.

Just a bit of a moisture fetch: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G19&band=08&length=24&dim=undefined

The sailing thru winter solstice boats at Carroll Creek are gonna look pretty cool after this event.

It’ll nudge south and colder. I’d put money on it…but I won’t because I actually really don’t know.

I have no doubt our corridor gets 6–10” before the flip…and probably pretty easily. Every flake will count in this airmass.

Frederick airport obs: https://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/wyowx.fcgi?TYPE=sflist&DATE=current&HOUR=current&UNITS=A&STATION=FDK

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfcloop/currobs.html

Skiing in this weather takes dedication.

Yea I’m actually dealing with a sinus cold that came on 2 days ago so I periodically crank up, but overall I’m kinda bullish imby on this event. Battling a sleet line in these temps is objectively dumb, but it’s still gonna snow and not just a wimpy one.

Oh the sleet line is incoming lol (damn near every model has it) but I think we dominate the initial round. This airmass is brutal. I’m not playing basketball outside today and that says something.

I need an iced tea tumbler version.

Idk…I think our areas are gonna get off the schneid (the wizards are another story). Good ratios will save us before the pingers arrive.

Those are pretty minor ticks tho lol. I think that mid level warm air punch could still be over modeled. This is a professional airmass it’s up against. We’ll see soon lol

Gfs looks like 0.75” minimum in Frederick before the sleet line encroaches up 270.

For those that haven’t ventured outside yet (eg, you don’t have a dog), it’s a legitimate ice box. I’m gonna say it now…the nam is full of ish. I’m going with the euro.