The biggest issue has definitely been a lack of precip. I’m starting to realize it’s all a probability game and when the teleconnections are in our favor, it simply increases the odds. That said, I think we may have underestimated the importance of an active stj because precip is usually not our biggest issue. The biggest issue is typically having it be cold enough to snow. Long story short, it hasn’t been a warm/wet, cold/dry winter…it’s been mostly cold/dry.