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Mailman

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Everything posted by Mailman

  1. Some areas down this way have been getting crushed with rain the last couple hours. Surprised not to see any posts from our Chalk Hill poster.
  2. Pretty weak down here, but I'm not complaining.
  3. Still three days away... .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... KEY MESSAGES: - Weekend severe weather potential and flooding potential. - A brief cooldown Monday, with a warmup into mid-week. ------------------------------------------------------------------- There is increasing confidence in the next disturbance passing through this weekend. The most likely timing remains, Saturday for the warm front, with a strong pressure gradient Saturday afternoon with enhanced low level flow in the warm sector. This will need to continue to be monitored for severe development, with ensemble plumes fairly confident on buoyancy, but unsure on just how much. This might suggest a primary threat of damaging winds. The main cold front is most likely to pass late Saturday into early Sunday. Rainfall amounts are quite variable, between 0.5 and 1.5 inches between the 25th and 75th percentile. Marginal flooding conditions are also possible as the cold front slowly moves through. Synoptic winds are also forecast at 20 to 30 mph (25th to 75th percentile). Behind the cold front, a brief cool down to near-normal is expected with moderate confidence, followed by a warm-up back above normal by mid-week.
  4. Didn't know thunderstorms were on the menu for today.
  5. Yeah.. it was coming down at a good clip here about 10 minutes ago.
  6. Gonna have to get lucky with a squall to get some accumulation down here.
  7. Might have a little something in the air in about a week.
  8. A little wind and rain down this way. Nothing too drastic. Friday, however, is looking rather wet. Not looking forward to that at all.
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