cbmclean

47 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Cities such as Bradenton and Lakeland also had their warmest September on record, by 0.5° or more. Tampa's margin was a little larger, as the winds were predominantly offshore. Inland locations less affected by the sea breeze had smaller margins.

Some other Florida highlights: Gainesville and Key West had their warmest September on record. Jacksonville and Tallahassee had their 2nd warmest September on record.

 

I'm not sure I understand the part about the winds.  Why did winds predominantly from the east (offshore) make Tampa relatively warmer than cities actually in the center of the peninsula, where I presume there would be the least moderation from the ocean?

29 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Because of the historic nature of its ongoing late-season warm spell. From 9/16 through 10/1, Tampa has set or tied 7 record high temperatures (including setting and then tying a new monthly record high temperature for September) and set or tied 11 record high minimum temperatures (including setting a new monthly record high minimum temperature for September). The 9/16-10/1 period is the city's hottest 16-day period on record.

I have to admit I am curious, are the other Florida stations reporting similar records?

7 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Warmest month ever. The previous warmest month on record was June 1998. September 2018 will beat it. Records for Tampa go back to 1890.

Wow, that is unusual.  Actually, I find it unusual in the first place that its previous record month was a June.  I expect the vast majority of warmest months in the NH temperate zones are either July or August.

Meanwhile, the flipside to our eternal ridge/warmth is eternal trough/cold in the upper Midwest/Canadian prairies.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/weekly-update-on-the-long-range-weather-pattern/70006203

23 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

It’s been remarkable. Speaking of Florida, this September is on track to be Tampa’s warmest month on record.

Do you mean warmest September on record, or warmest month PERIOD.

On 9/16/2018 at 2:21 PM, weaponxreject said:

Born and raised (Aaron Lakes West) in that area. Didn't the town drain HM Lake last week in prep? I'm catching reports it's back up toward full/minor because of the Cape Fear River.

Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
 

Sorry I didn't see this question until today.  I'm not sure if they drained the lake or just lowered the level.  In any event, the dam held, although it was over-topped. 

Barring any future major rain, ended up with 8.28" from my PWS in Wilson.

5 minutes ago, shaggy said:

That's a good thing correct? Tired of the rain and we aren't even flooding like those south of us. 

I think Solak is scarred because his location has apparently replaced wherever Shetley lives as the desert spot of the east.

Seriously though, some folks in my hometown of Hope Mills are at risk of being flooded out for the second time in three years.

My family lives in Hope Mills, in SW Cumberland county.  Many of the houses around then got flooded out in Matthew but they were lucky.  Hoping they make it through this one as well.  One of my cousins's houses got completely flooded out.  Took them months to recover.  I would not be surprised if it happens again.

Meanwhile, in Wilson, "only" 7.10 and a light drizzle now. 

On 9/2/2018 at 3:59 PM, NC_hailstorm said:

Euro has the 594dm death ridge squarely on NC/SC for the next 4-5 days.Charlotte hit 93 yesterday and Columbia hit 96,I think we can match them temps this week.Good news is the heights back off after that but not a cool pattern though,better chance for a front to get closer probably.Euro pushes the 594 death ridge out in the Atlantic and tries to steer a hurricane up the eastern seaboard at day 9-10.

Trying to look on the bright side, think of how miserable it would be if this ridge had set up shop in July.  Likewise I would rather this happen now rather than in October.  Going to the farm to pick out a pumpkin was less fun last year in the mid 80's with high humidity.

Got a nice 0.91" overnight, first rain since 8/22, but it had been so wet before things were still doing okay.  Now at 9.17" for the month, over 21" for July/August.

0.00 Saturday

0.51 Sunday

0.16 today

Had rain 8 of last 9 days.  Actually hoping for a bit of a break to dry out.  Tomatoes in garden suffering from mold.

0.70" Today.  7.87" for the week.  9.86" since the big wet started (Sunday before last).

7 hours ago, Cold Rain said:

We'll do it all over again next year.  Been fun!

Anyone ever hear from Packbacker?

What I can't wait for is December to come around again and the NAO to be nailed positive for three straight months, only for it to go negative in March. 

8 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

Too warm I think.  Mostly rain or snow that melts on contact.  

Yep, still neat to be sniffing the fumes that close.  Can't manage that some Januaries.

2 hours ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

That map looks eerily similar to the one for the last storm about 3 days out.  Saw that one inch further south each run. 

I know that this has been said before, and it adds nothing to the discussion, but where in the f*** was this in February?

9 hours ago, Cold Rain said:

Looks like winter is finally over, in terms of winter weather threats.  Still looks like some chilly periods over the next couple of weeks, but any more snow chances look exceedingly low/non-existent.

I'm interested to see if we can end up with March colder than February.  We are off to a good start.

7 hours ago, calculus1 said:

Can we not have people whining by saying they are ready for spring?  That's a lie, and we all know it.  They would take any little flake they can get whenever they could get it, as would we all.  This board exists because of the eternal hope of snowfall in our backyards.  It is incredibly dead in here during the dog days of summer.  There are a few exceptions, but very few people visit here because of warm weather phenomena.  You're all here for the snow, so stop bittercasting by saying you wish it would just go ahead and be spring.  Come on, man! 

I am even more hard core.  I like cold, period.  I prefer snow of course, but I will even enjoy the dreaded cold rain if that is all I can get.  I am gleefully hoping that we have a cold dreary March to pay back all those who kept going on about how wonderful it was to have upper 70's in Feb.  Does that make me a bad person?

33 minutes ago, Northern Foothills Snowman said:

Saw that myself. We may not by done with winter after this storm 

 

Is there something wrong with me that I relish the thought of all those who were relishing the early spring in February grumping their butts off? 

10 minutes ago, WeatherHawk said:

18z further south than the 12z? 

MA thread is currently pooping their pants at the thought of this being suppressed to the south of them.  I would kind of hate that, though.  Outside the Mountains, it's too late for us to do anything with this except get some cold rain, with maybe some wet flakes mixed in.  I would almost rather throw it to them so they can actually do something with it.

Anyone else up for a group intervention with winter?  I for one am NOT ok with its new practice of taking the whole month of February off then trying to make up for it with "overtime" in March.

The folks in the MA thread are going bonkers right now.  Looks like the potential for a significant event for them.  I am rooting for them.

If this pattern only happened in February.

3 hours ago, jburns said:

I guess it could be worse.  27º above normal for Feb. is just crazy.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/27/weather/arctic-temperatures-record-high-intl/index.html

Calculations from Cape Morris Jessup, the world's northernmost land-based weather station, show that temperatures from February in eastern Greenland and the central Arctic are averaging about 15°C (27°F) warmer than seasonal norms.

This just bums me out.  We could have some historic March bomb that drops 30" on us and I wouldn't be able to fully enjoy it. 

48 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Next years supposed to be a Nino, I'm all in!

Aren't weak Nino's statistically good for us (or at least less bad).