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Posts posted by cbmclean

  1. 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

    Ummm I don’t believe that. We maxed out at 93.6. There is not way RDU was almost 5 degrees hotter than here!

    Just picked up 0.05” from a quick but heavy shower. This was our first rain in 10 days.

    I just mentally deduct 4-5 degrees from their high on warm sunny days.  The gave full-on UHI in effect.

    • Like 1
  2. 2 hours ago, cptcatz said:

    It's an interesting conversation.  Your question of why would models be any good a predicting medium to long range cyclogenesis with accuracy could be answered with "why shouldn't they?"  These models are run on some of the largest supercomputers in the world using so many data points from satelites, balloons, airplanes, bouys, etc., and they still can't figure out what's happening in only a few days?  

    Yes.  And it took decades of patient effort and billions of dollars/euros to get that good.  Predicting weather is just inherently difficult.

  3. FINALLY a nice downpour in Wilson.  Don't know how long it'll last, but it is beautiful: 0.45" in just a few minutes.

    Edit: radar showing perfect alignment for a good soaking; a long line of storms oriented west to east, moving slowly in a ESE direction.  Hoping to hit the 1" mark (per day) for the first time since early May

  4. The rain is attempting to drive me insane.  After yesterday's rug pull, had a nice cell headed my way which disintegrated at my doorstep and then almost immediately reformed a few miles to the east.  Its infuriating.  

  5. 4 hours ago, cbmclean said:

    For something like the 47th time this spring/summer there is a nice line of storms heading in from the NW that is melting away as it heads our way.  I don't know if it negative feedback from the dry soils or what but it is happenign over and over again.

    Right on cue the line collapsed in the east while remaining strong in the west.  Just for fun after the main line faded a nice litle aftershock cell popped up immediately upstream then instanstly collapsed on my doorstrep.

  6. For something like the 47th time this spring/summer there is a nice line of storms heading in from the NW that is melting away as it heads our way.  I don't know if it negative feedback from the dry soils or what but it is happenign over and over again.

  7. Got an astounding 0.02" out of the storms today.  The line was super lively right up until it got east of Raleigh and then it just fell apart.  Does anyone know why that was?  Was there an area of dry air or something?  Did we have too much cloud cover in the morning?

  8. 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

    I don’t know why everyone here laments that storm. Except for one batch of model runs, we were never in the game for that.

    I think one reason is the way it hit NC (we got ~13" in Wilson NC which is like 3 years' average in one storm), NJ, NY and New England, but managed stiff the heart of this forum.




    • Like 1
  9. 21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    Good…was worried about ya down there. Although that’s still a pretty crazy difference (about 7 here) considering we’re only like 700 yards apart.  The valley I walked to was on the NW side and you’re on the SE of my ridge. Maybe that affected the wind exposure, you would be sheltered by my ridge where the other side was exposed. 

    What is your seasonal total?  This should help a bit.

  10. 46 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

    Nah, that was a triple phase. Those storms require 2 very anomalous things and not just one. Can't happen without massive amplification. We can pencil in a check mark there. The next check mark may not happen b4 either of us are gone... you need 3 shortwaves embedded in the STJ, NS, and arctic jet to pull together at just the right time and blow the F up. We can barely get a messy stj/ns phase to work.... triple? Don't set a bar there or life will become pointless lol

    I clearly remember @psuhoffman guaranteed a 1993 redux this winter so I am taking to the bank!

    • Haha 1
  11. 2 minutes ago, RDM said:


    Anyone else receive an email about registering the americanwx domain in China?   

    Below is the text of the email I just received...   


    -----  Begin Text --------

    (Please kindly forward this to your CEO, because this is urgent. If you believe this has been sent to you in error, please ignore it. Thanks)
    Dear CEO,
    We are the domain name registration service company in Shanghai, China. On February 18, 2022, we received an application from Hongxiang Ltd requested "americanwx" as their internet keyword and China (CN) domain names (americanwx.cn, americanwx.com.cn, americanwx.net.cn, americanwx.org.cn). But after checking it, we find this name conflict with your company name or trademark. In order to deal with this matter better, it's necessary to send email to you and confirm whether this company is your distributor or business partner in China?
    Best Regards

    Peter Liu | Service & Operations Manager

    China Registry (Head Office)


    Tel: +86-2161918696

    Fax: +86-2161918697

    Mob: +86-13816428671

    6012, Xingdi Building, No. 1698 Yishan Road, Shanghai 201103, China

    -----  End Text --------

    That looks phishy.

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