cbmclean

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Ummm I don’t believe that. We maxed out at 93.6. There is not way RDU was almost 5 degrees hotter than here!

Just picked up 0.05” from a quick but heavy shower. This was our first rain in 10 days.

I just mentally deduct 4-5 degrees from their high on warm sunny days.  The gave full-on UHI in effect.

2 hours ago, cptcatz said:

It's an interesting conversation.  Your question of why would models be any good a predicting medium to long range cyclogenesis with accuracy could be answered with "why shouldn't they?"  These models are run on some of the largest supercomputers in the world using so many data points from satelites, balloons, airplanes, bouys, etc., and they still can't figure out what's happening in only a few days?  

Yes.  And it took decades of patient effort and billions of dollars/euros to get that good.  Predicting weather is just inherently difficult.

Picked up 0.64" yesterday afternoon in a nice downpour after just missing the morning stuff.  Then got 1.81" overnight for an excellent 2.45" total in less than 24 hours.  4.31" for the month.

Maybe the SAL will block so much sunlight that it will cause massive cooling along the eastern CONUS.  

0.41" today.  Disappointed in this weekend.  Was hoping to get a good soaking.  Total of 5.25" for the month.  Not too bad compared to May and June.

0.87" yesterday and 0.38" today.  1.25" for the week and 4.51" for the month.  Hoping for a good soaking this weekend 

Total of 1.88" in the bucket.  2.52" for the week/month.  Not a drought buster but progress in the right direction anyway.

Up to 1.56" for the evening.  That's more rain today then I got in entire month of June. 

FINALLY a nice downpour in Wilson.  Don't know how long it'll last, but it is beautiful: 0.45" in just a few minutes.

Edit: radar showing perfect alignment for a good soaking; a long line of storms oriented west to east, moving slowly in a ESE direction.  Hoping to hit the 1" mark (per day) for the first time since early May

The northern half of Wilson County is on a dismal streak.  Cells go here to die.  Picked up 0.10" of scraps.  0.18" for the month.

18

Tons of thunder and lightning, but only 0.05" inthe bucket.  Very disappointing.

MBY is the black scribble.  The big read area to the east was did not hit my house.

The rain is attempting to drive me insane.  After yesterday's rug pull, had a nice cell headed my way which disintegrated at my doorstep and then almost immediately reformed a few miles to the east.  Its infuriating.  

4 hours ago, cbmclean said:

For something like the 47th time this spring/summer there is a nice line of storms heading in from the NW that is melting away as it heads our way.  I don't know if it negative feedback from the dry soils or what but it is happenign over and over again.

Right on cue the line collapsed in the east while remaining strong in the west.  Just for fun after the main line faded a nice litle aftershock cell popped up immediately upstream then instanstly collapsed on my doorstrep.

For something like the 47th time this spring/summer there is a nice line of storms heading in from the NW that is melting away as it heads our way.  I don't know if it negative feedback from the dry soils or what but it is happenign over and over again.

Got an astounding 0.02" out of the storms today.  The line was super lively right up until it got east of Raleigh and then it just fell apart.  Does anyone know why that was?  Was there an area of dry air or something?  Did we have too much cloud cover in the morning?

Got 0.48" in a brief torrential downpour which included some hail.  Got 0.85" yesterday so 1.33" two-day total which was muuuuuuuuch needed.  Sitting at 1.49" for the month.  

An amazing 0.15" in the bucket for today.  Just can't buy a good soaker.  Either get fringed or the remnants of a once powerful cell that dies on my doorstep.  The I-95 corridor needs some wetness.

This afternoon is turning out to be a dud.  Picked up 0.02 this morning.  Looks like that may be it for the day.

Had rain three of the last four days for a grand total of only 0.48".  We can't buy a good soaker.  Sitting at 0.98" for the month.  Hopefully we can moisten up this week.

1.25" for the day.  Needed it.

1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I don’t know why everyone here laments that storm. Except for one batch of model runs, we were never in the game for that.

I think one reason is the way it hit NC (we got ~13" in Wilson NC which is like 3 years' average in one storm), NJ, NY and New England, but managed stiff the heart of this forum.

21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Good…was worried about ya down there. Although that’s still a pretty crazy difference (about 7 here) considering we’re only like 700 yards apart.  The valley I walked to was on the NW side and you’re on the SE of my ridge. Maybe that affected the wind exposure, you would be sheltered by my ridge where the other side was exposed. 

What is your seasonal total?  This should help a bit.

46 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Nah, that was a triple phase. Those storms require 2 very anomalous things and not just one. Can't happen without massive amplification. We can pencil in a check mark there. The next check mark may not happen b4 either of us are gone... you need 3 shortwaves embedded in the STJ, NS, and arctic jet to pull together at just the right time and blow the F up. We can barely get a messy stj/ns phase to work.... triple? Don't set a bar there or life will become pointless lol

I clearly remember @psuhoffman guaranteed a 1993 redux this winter so I am taking to the bank!

2 minutes ago, RDM said:

Randy/all,

Anyone else receive an email about registering the americanwx domain in China?   

Below is the text of the email I just received...   

 

-----  Begin Text --------

(Please kindly forward this to your CEO, because this is urgent. If you believe this has been sent to you in error, please ignore it. Thanks)

Dear CEO,

We are the domain name registration service company in Shanghai, China. On February 18, 2022, we received an application from Hongxiang Ltd requested "americanwx" as their internet keyword and China (CN) domain names (americanwx.cn, americanwx.com.cn, americanwx.net.cn, americanwx.org.cn). But after checking it, we find this name conflict with your company name or trademark. In order to deal with this matter better, it's necessary to send email to you and confirm whether this company is your distributor or business partner in China?

 

Best Regards

Peter Liu | Service & Operations Manager

China Registry (Head Office)

Tel: +86-2161918696

Fax: +86-2161918697

Mob: +86-13816428671

6012, Xingdi Building, No. 1698 Yishan Road, Shanghai 201103, China

-----  End Text --------

 

 

That looks phishy.