cbmclean

Got 2.62" from Ophelia.  3.24" for the week. A good rehydration.

A thin line of storms but very slow movement yielded 0.93".  Hoping for some more tomorrow.

Virtually no movement on the radar.  One of those days where a cell has to form on top of you or you get nothing.

0.29" today, for 1.96" over the last three days.  The garden and grass needed that.

1.42" from the storms today.  Much needed.

A disappointing 0.26" in the bucket from the squall line.  The line was too thin and moving too fast.  Hopefully we can get some more later this week. 

Don't normally get too excited about morning rain because it is often light and usually interferes with better convection later in the day.  But this morning delivered a solid 1.16", my first inch-plus day in a while.

Got 0.87 from the line.  Respectable given the fact that the line seemed to be weakening after passing the triangle (some of that may have just been radar artifact) and how speedily the line was moving.  Ended up with 1.48" from the active spell.  Not horrible but wish I could have had a bit more given the abundant moisture throughout the column, the lack of longwave ridging but also plenty of heat to create instability, as well as the constant stream of shortwaves.  This upcoming week looks dry as of now.

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Just 0.22” but it felt nice getting something to wet the yard/garden after 2 weeks of missing everything. .26” for the day 0.43” for July 

I know the feeling.  Have had five separate instances of rain over the last four days but only netted 0.61".  Grateful to have it but still hoping for a good inch plus soaker.  Maybe today is my day.

3 hours ago, WxKnurd said:

A good, sweet watermelon is a summertime must

Coastal plain lurker here: do you mountain folks ever put salt on your watermelon, or is that something my grandad made up?

11 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Complain and you shall receive. Getting a soaking rain finally 

How much did you end up with?

I believe we want a moderate east-based Nino.

Just one of those spells where MBY can't buy a good soaking.  Cells popping up all around me today but only scrounged 0.008".  

Looking at the radar right now the cells have almost no movement.  If one happens to form over top of you it's great, but otherwise forget it.

Serious training going on in Harnett County right now.  Be interesting to see what rain measurements they have down there.

Picked up a token 0.14" from a cell that blew up right as it passed by house.  Only 0.38" so far this month.  Things not too dry yet...

We're having a comically cold, wet Memorial Day weekend down here in NC.  Apparently the Eastern trough that was missing all winter woke up and is trying to make up for lost time.

Ended up yesterday with 1.28" from two separate rounds of storms; one in the afternoon and one in the evening.

Didn't get as much as the Raleigh folks but managed a healthy 0.86".  Enough to keep the annual spring drought at bay another week.

This is the song that will play when the incoming El Nino turns out to be super.

On 3/23/2023 at 3:51 PM, psuhoffman said:

I wish this would be more discussion...instead of simply chalking the SER up to the pac pattern...discuss why is the SER so much stronger than history says it should be at times...including the pac pattern into that equation. 

I'm not sure that there is really much to discuss at the moment.  The clear leading hypothesis is that the gradually warming base state has hit a "tipping point" with a dynamic response that just happens to be associated with increased SER/WAR.  The exact mechanism(s) of the coupling are unclear but could include overly warm waters in the Gulf/West Atlantic, the Pacific warm pool, the expanding Hadley cell, some combination of all three, or maybe something completely different.  Deciphering it all could take years or maybe a decade or more as we observe the new responses through various ENSO/PDO states.  Until then, all we can do is hope some mitigating natural trends weigh in our favor.  

Or else we could all chip in to purchase a ship that just sails around the midlatitudes spewing sulfur particulates into the air.

33 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I heard a rumor they had come up with this nifty invention called a jacket. 

Those are for Members Only.

Mangled flakes in Wilson.

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

I wouldn’t be so sure with the suppressive pattern. this is probably as good of a pattern as possible for you guys to get late season snow

There are still tales told of March 1960, in hushed tones around the fireside.

All I need to know is: is @psuhoffman still in?

And by the way as a SE weenie, I am living vicariously through you guys.  Bring this SSW March Miracle to fruition.  I will be enjoying my cold rain, as a sacrificial lamb.

2 hours ago, jayyy said:

The Sun angle is the same in New York and they’re getting 2 feet between now and Friday. It’s nonsense. Same with the “it’s too warm leading in” notion.

I’ve seen it snow in April (higher “sun angle” than now) and 1 day after it was 60 degrees. Both of those late season excuses are untrue.

It isn’t harder to snow in late march because of the sun angle. It’s harder to snow in late march because it’s generally less cold and we’re out of peak climo.

Longer days could have an effect (more hours of sunlight) but not sun angle. If it’s 30-33 and snowing hard enough, it’ll accumulate, no matter when it happens.

Sun angle is lower (more oblique) the further north you go.  Not a huge difference between you guys and central NY, but not zero difference either.