cbmclean

26 minutes ago, griteater said:

Jan '88 is back bay bee. It's going to trend south right on top of us. This is the one

Hope spring eternal.

4 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Haha sounds awesome.  At least it should feel like winter.

Mr. Rain, I wanted to take this opportunity to thank you for your services to me and the rest of the SE in saving us from the scourge of potential snow.  Your genius was in seeing that the cold stormy signal was too strong to deflect with your snow shields.  So you reversed tachyon polarity and caused the cold HP to blow up so much that it suppressed all the moisture to the south.

Bravo.

Dilly Dilly

31 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

Some have stated that we don't see snow in the SE when there is extreme cold.  That is not entirely true.  In the current case, the trough axis is a little too far east.  Only a small change in the downstream pattern would change the fortunes of many on this board.  In the meantime, I offer you this historical perspective regarding extreme cold and snow in the SE:

Coldest month on record at GSP was January 1977; average temp. was 30.7 degrees F; measurable snow was recorded on the 3rd, 9th and 24th; Freezing rain on the 14th; coldest week was the famous cold snap of the 16th, 17th and 18th; the high temperature recorded for the entire month was 50 F and it occurred briefly on one day; Oddly enough no daily low temp records were broken in January of 77!

I remember coming across the awesome Jan 77 when I was reviewing monthly records for RDU last winter (had to do something to keep my mind off the actual weather).  Mean temp was 26.9 F.  Absolute max was 52 F.  Absolute min was -1 F.  There were six days where the max was at or below 32 F.  Every single day had a min at or below freezing. 

Unfortunately for snowbirds, only had 2.1 inches of snow that month though.

5 minutes ago, griteater said:

OK, I'm a few weeks late, but here's the update for the early Dec storm...

Euro still getting blanked.  Who'd a thunk it?  I guess they need some rededication to their most important job: predicting winter weather in the SE US.

You know, last winter, it was clear what we needed to write on the tombstone: "Here lies the winter of 2015-16: Killed by El Nino".  What are we going to put on this winter's tombstone?  That is was killed by a pathetic La Nina that was so weak that it didn't even meet some of the criteria and barely met others?  I would really love an autopsy to determine the cause of death, if you will.  Anyone feel up to the analysis?

7 hours ago, Moonhowl said:

Greg Fishel at least was hinting at a bust for the Raleigh area the night before; i.e. the warm nose; sleet; little snow.

I wonder if thy just need to quit showing maps of predicted snowfall on a regular basis.  These are basically equivalent to individual ensemble forecasts in that they give an idea of one possible outcome and nothing more.

15 hours ago, WNash said:

I moved from Tennessee to Buffalo about four years ago, and I can tell you that I have seen the snow clouds for epic multi-foot storms, including the Nov 2014 70" storm, just 3-5 miles south and never come any closer. I have to live where I live for work, and in my part of the area we do get some decent snow from time to time, but even up in the Great Lakes you would be amazed at how often you can find yourself in the screwzone.

I know, but its human nature that the grass is always greener somewhere else?  (or in our case the snow is always deeper).

By the way, what do they consider "decent" up there in terms of amount and frequency?

Sometimes I fantasize about living in the snowbelts around the great lakes.  The snow comes with the wind.

12 minutes ago, packbacker said:

This is a venting thread...supposed to be melo dramatic :-)

In that case I'm with ya.

15 minutes ago, packbacker said:

Maybe the hardcore mets are right about the problems posting snowmaps causes.  This is the Euro/EPS from this morning.   For Raleigh, unless we have a favorable Atlantic (50/50 and -NAO) and a 1040+hp located over the lakes extending east to Maine we will not snow, it's just that simple.  

Odds are winter is over, Nina background is still strong and odds favor a torch Feb.  Hopefully next winter we can be in a weak Nino with a neutral QBO so we have a chance at HLB.

I cancelled WB and SV...it's dumb paying money to track snow storms for GSO and the MA.  This isn't enjoyable anymore.   

 

I think you might be going a tad overboard there.

Just now, DopplerWx said:

this was 18hrs ago, just shows what a bust this was

Oh sorry, didn't see the little time stamp.

1 minute ago, DopplerWx said:

ABC11 WTVD with Don Schwenneker WTVD.

18 hrs · 

The latest snow chances for most of the viewing area:

*100% chance of seeing snow 
*90% chance of seeing 2 inches or more
*80% chance of seeing more than 4 inches
*50/50 chance of seeing more than 8 inches in the Triangle!

Jeez, what are they smoking?

Just now, EastNCHeel said:

Gotta love Eastern NC "snow" storms.  In case anyone needs really cold rain drops I've got a 5 gallon bucket full sliding off of my roof right now.  **Disclaimer** It may have bits of shingle in it.

I feel ya man.  Yesterday things looked so good for us.

Just now, LovingGulfLows said:

 

You should take a weekend trip to the mountains with her.

My wife's sister live in Graham.  I thought about suggesting we take a trip over there tomorrow but the roads might not be safe.

Last year we got a little dusting on our deck.  My daughter (1 and a half at the time) had enormous fun building a little snowman and everything.  She has been asking for more snow ever since.  I have been looking forward all week to waking her up on Saturday morning with a white covering and seeing the look on her face.  Man, I am actually embarrassed to be as upset as I am, but I cannot help it.

6 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

That looks pretty dang good.

In the spirit of this thread, I will say that this means it won't happen.