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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Might be trying to a little. Hopefully that keeps up. Still snowing hard here for now.
  2. jm1220
    The low eventually becomes vertically stacked but lows here would have the 700 low track to the west of the surface low and the 500 low west of that. That’s how the storm strengthens-it’s vertically tilted and air can rise quickly. When it becomes stacked all the lows are on top of each other and it starts weakening since the fast rising air stops. You really would rather the 700mb low go east of you for the best pivot point on the snow. East of it is where the dry air comes in.
  3. jm1220
    The lousy 700 low track is always a red flag to me for a fast dryslot. We should easily make it to 12” but the 15+ amounts aren’t happening east of the city unless radar really regenerates.
  4. jm1220
    The sleet is probably associated with the incoming dry slot-losing heavy precip allows the warm air to come in. Looks like the HRRR will be more correct with the dryslot unless more precip fires up south of here.
  5. jm1220
    Just measured 9.5-10” in a few spots. Light to moderate now but will pick up again soon!
  6. jm1220
    There’s no sleet here-all snow. A bit of a lull at the moment but the next band is coming in hot.
  7. jm1220
    I called for 18” at Central Park....
  8. jm1220
    Wow Long Beach to Captree getting obliterated.
  9. jm1220
    I highly doubt it. 20” could be doable but not 27.5” which is the record.
  10. jm1220
    There will be very little precip left when we get warm enough to change over.
  11. jm1220
    Just dumping outside here.
  12. jm1220
    It’s complete insanity outside right now. It’ll be awesome when it gets to you.
  13. jm1220
    Getting absolutely crushed now. Wow.
  14. jm1220
    Just about the only way something like this can happen in a mid-strong Nina this late in the season. Without it today would have been 55-60 and driving rain and Detroit would be seeing this.
  15. jm1220
    Just about heavy snow outside. Like a snow globe.
  16. jm1220
    Also races the dryslot in for the city and east. The NAM has it being a little delayed and actually has good snow/precip in NYC until dark. Hopefully the NAM's right.
  17. jm1220
    Starting to ramp up here as this death band crawls north.
  18. jm1220
    Up to about 6" now, some places slightly more, some less. Wind's picking up pretty significantly and starting to blow the snow around. Light to borderline moderate I'd say
  19. jm1220
    There must be crazy snow rates moving into southern Nassau and Queens. Wow
  20. jm1220
    Back down to 28 here.
  21. jm1220
    Given how much most already have and the easterly jet moisture still to come in, most are good to end up well over a foot and even places east of the city are in the game for 18”.
  22. jm1220
    The places that have sleet or other mixing right now will go back to snow when the rates pick up. In drier patches there isn’t the lift needed to make good snowflakes which means there can be sleet or graupel instead.
  23. jm1220
    Just measured 5” on average here. Another good burst coming down now.
  24. jm1220
    27-28 degrees here, already 34 in Montauk. That’s unfortunately why amounts will be substantially less out there where it’s already above 32.
  25. jm1220
    Moderate snow and big flakes falling currently. Haven't measured yet but looks like a few inches or so. Fun fun day upcoming. 6z models all have upwards of 17-20" to come for my backyard through NYC.
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