jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Hopefully coming down decent on the south shore, looks like some good echos there.
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Like it's laughing at us.
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Decent amount. I’d say it’s about what there was at home a week ago. Looks like maybe some good snow on the south shore-Rockaways and Long Beach.
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I’m so sad I’m missing my 1-2” tease on LI.
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Such a waste of a good storm. Could’ve been a HECS. Instead we get the 50 mile wide 1-2” tease on the north edge.
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I’m in Boston and I’ll miss whatever happens. Even here the snow’s starting to look old.
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Such a nice looking storm heading east. Too bad it’ll be a minor graze. Just can’t get amplification in the right spot anymore.
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What’s happened in central PA is definitely not a cycle unless it’s a very long term one. Like Bluewave mentioned the storms that really slam that area have essentially gone extinct.
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The I-88 corridor would be my perfect area as well. They get coastal storms as snow, some lake effect but not feet at a time and overall the best of winter. But other than snow very little to do or going on there.
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Brush your car off expectation, hopefully good. Plowable, will likely be disappointed.
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Well, I locked the thread, some asshole @Rjayunlocked it. I take no responsibility.
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Agonizing crawling our way to average.
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Depends what you’re expecting. If you’re expecting plowable or more, it’ll likely be a bust. If you’re expecting brush off your car, you’ll probably be happy.
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Meh-vent.
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It’ll be a nice refresher hopefully and make the black ice piles white again for a day or two.
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Minor stat padder. Better than nothing.
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12z is a meh-vent. We need more significant trends north at this point. Maybe better for the I-195 to Philly corridor.
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I agree, we need pronounced shifts in all the major guidance at this point toward a phase. We're 48 hours out.
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It's such a fragile setup. Maybe the 10 pieces can assemble themselves this time to make something happen but there's been countless times since 2019 where it didn't or hit somewhere else. But there's the when I'm away rule in place like in Jan 2016.
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I'm in Boston until Monday so it's guaranteed to hit NYC/LI when I'm away. And make for a disaster when I'm driving home. Looks here like it did at home a week ago roughly with the snowcover.
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Maybe maybe maybe. Ugggh if this ends up a bare bones scrape or close miss. Such a fragile setup but you'd think at this point the models are starting to have a clue.
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When other models jump onboard tonight I’ll give it some thought. I wish Jeff B didn’t post it. Of course he knew it would take off like crazy.
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I have that shield thingy next to my name along with IrishRob and Forky. We’re the traitors like on the show. The Monday storm to me is still very low probability until I see other models jump onboard, it’s very fragile and we’ve seen all kinds of possible phasing setups fail over the last few winters so why would this be any different. We’re going to warm up for a while mid to late month but we have to see if the MJO can throw us a bone and allow for colder conditions to return at the end of the month. There can still be snow if we can time that with a storm.
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I can delete posts and pin/lock threads. Guess you can call me a rent-a-moderator.
