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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. And maybe big storms. Sometimes we see derechos or big storm complexes on the periphery of these heat dome ridges.
  2. In the winter because the overrunning would be better this would likely be heavy 1-2”/hour snow. We only get these in the summer now on weekends.
  3. That might be a good pattern to get MCS or derechos to track through from the Midwest. Looks like a ring of fire type pattern.
  4. Where I live now it seems like the worst of both worlds-we get the high humidity being somewhat close to the shore but it’s able to heat up a lot before the seabreeze eventually gets here by 4-5pm sometimes. Springs can be brutal in Long Beach but it’s nice to have low 80s there while the city, N Shore and inland are well into the 90s and sweltering. I was in TX a couple weeks ago and felt that kind of heat again-not a fan whatsoever of being soaked in sweat within 5 minutes being outside.
  5. High pressure/confluence to our NE, but the easterly wind might just mean tons of misery mist.
  6. Some of these have to run warm. It’s not 96 in Huntington lol. 90 I can believe.
  7. Must be compressional heating. Upper 80s to 90 showing up in places like East Meadow and Valley Stream but the barrier islands are upper 70s. Seabreeze boundary looks like along the Southern State.
  8. Another washed out weekend? NEVER I tell you!
  9. Might be hazy tomorrow-HRRR shows another smoke plume coming east behind the front.
  10. The lawns are green at least. Nothing worse than staring at endless brown dead grass.
  11. From RadarScope. Darker gray is 0.5-1”, Blue is roughly 1”+, green is 1.5”+. The purple dots are 2”.
  12. Looks like about 1.2-1.4” here. A few 2” pixels SW of me.
  13. Radar estimating almost 2” near West Hills.
  14. I'm sick today anyway with the bug that's been spreading around my office. So whatever. Light steady rain here which is what it looks like we'll have for the next hour or so.
  15. Hopefully. My car could use a wash anyway.
  16. I think the rainy conditions to our west and the tendency once again of over-the-top heat and steep ridge patterns means our summer will probably be humid and hot but not excessively so. We'll hit 95 a few times but outside of Newark once or twice maybe no 100s. With the steep ridge we can't get the warming downslope westerly flow and instead drown in FL-like humidity with S flow. And that means the coast likely goes into summer drought mode stuck in the marine layer while inland gets the T-storms unless we can get a more organized system to drive them to the coast. I'm glad we all had the rainy May so we can stock up before it inevitably dries out for summer. We might already be starting it on the modeling which shows heavy rain inland and relatively dry NYC east.
  17. Heat drives the weather, oceans store enormous amounts of heat and the western Pacific is currently where that stored heat is greatest in our largest ocean basin, so it drives the weather patterns. We may be in a long term -PDO cycle but I’m pretty confident CC is driving it to some degree. Someone who studies this more closely can definitely elaborate more.
  18. Barrier islands in the mid 60s. Might be about as warm as they get since as the day goes on the seabreeze only strengthens.
  19. I’m happy we had the wet May. Bank what we can before we inevitably start drying out during summer. That might be starting-models don’t have much here for the next 10 days.
  20. NWS has 88 here for the high, perhaps first 90 if the seabreeze isn’t too strong early on. Beaches probably won’t make it much over 70.
  21. Seems like highs were around 70-71 on the barrier islands, was 81-82 at my house. I’ve seen much bigger gradients this time of year-20 degrees or more.
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