Indystorm

Just read that INdpls is the wettest to date in 70 yrs per Fox News

Cheers to you and your doctor, Jackstraw, for being proactive. I am one of the seniors on this board and have my next wellness check in May following one in December. Have been ok with no symptoms so far. And Hoosier, I have found it is easier to get toilet paper at CVS than at my local IGA.

A number of trees and branches down in Fortville area and some shingles off roofs from the svr storm last evening. Could have been far worse.

Missed the hail from this afternoon's storms just north of me. Had some rain but nothing as heavy or svr as this evening's storm.

Lost power here briefly during a svr thunderstorm.

Rather large svr warned cell approaching Indpls metro at this time...... 70 mph winds

IKK 63/60 backed se wind.......Lansing IL 60/59 east wind....both just to the ne of the PDS tor watch.

992 surface low in central IA, 550-600 0-3km helicity now spreading over the PDS watch area in IL, 7/75 mid level lapse rates, and mid to upper 60's dew points from the St. Louis area and southern IL up to Champaign Urbana. It ain't over till it's over.

That cell is just on the eastern edge of the insane helicity in Illinois within the PDS watch area.

And that was shown on one of the HRRR runs I saw last evening.

This is certainly not a typical spring low CAPE, high shear event, but I wonder what has transpired with contrasting parameters like this in the past.

PDS Tornado Watch PDS tornado watches are issued when there is a higher than normal risk of multiple strong to violent tornadoes – especially those that are predicted to be long-track in nature, with path lengths of more than 20 miles – in the watch area (usually amounting to damage consistent with EF4 or EF5 tornadoes at maximum), in addition to including significant wind and hail damage. This enhanced wording in a Tornado Watch is meant to alert the public of the potential for very life-threatening severe weather. While there are no set criteria for a PDS watch to be issued, they are usually issued when the potential exists for a major tornado outbreak. These types of tornado watches represent about 90% of PDS watches issued by the Storm Prediction Center. PDS Tornado Watches are often issued on high risk days for severe weather. From SPC

I'd guess a strongly worded tor watch. PDS watches I think are automatic with high risk, and I don't know if high risk will be issued in the latest update. But I think you can have PDS watches without a high risk. Hopefully a met can enlighten us.

Based on that recently issued SPC meso discussion it looks like St. Louis metro area could be in line for some long tracked tornadoes later on today.

Wind has turned north here as well now. And you may have a couple svr cells with quarter hail headed your way.

Champaign 68/66 Effingham 73/68 how far north that WF progresses today is the key....as is the strength of the deepening surface low.

Saved by the lake effect! Perhaps.

I think that initial surge of moisture heading to northern IL may be diminishing somewhat and becoming more cellular in nature. I never discount the power of warm fronts in the spring, particularly with kinematics as strong as what we have today. Parts of se Missouri and Arkansas are clear.

11z RAP also developing a secondary area of concern late afternoon/evening in se MO and southern IL.

Fully agree as I will continue to watch successive HRRR runs and real time observations like a hawk today.

HRRR just won't back off. Now develops tornadic cells ahead of the main line including one nw of LAF area.

Chicago and Calumet region are now in the enhanced outlook with 10% hatched tor, an upgrade from earlier outlook when they were in the slight risk. I can remember Tim Marshall saying if it's May and 10% hatched you chase. And this is only March.

Just keep informed regarding watches and warnings throughout the afternoon and evening and have a safety plan in advance. Welcome to the forum.

I would have thought the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex would have been the costliest. Learn something new everyday.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 1143 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... SOUTHWESTERN MACOUPIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... JERSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... NORTHWESTERN ST. CHARLES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI... SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI... * UNTIL 1230 AM CDT. * AT 1142 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FOUNTAIN N' LAKES, MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM. HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE SEVERELY INJURED. EXPECT SHATTERED WINDOWS, EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND VEHICLES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... GODFREY, TROY, JERSEYVILLE, MOSCOW MILLS, BRIGHTON, WINFIELD, HARDIN, GRAFTON, ELSAH, SHIPMAN, PORTAGE DES SIOUX, FOUNTAIN N' LAKES, CHAIN OF ROCKS, PIASA, FLINT HILL, MEDORA, OLD MONROE, FIELDON, BATCHTOWN AND FOLEY. THIS ALSO INCLUDES CUIVRE RIVER STATE PARK AND PERE MARQUETTE STATE PARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO SHELTER INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING, AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.