AfewUniversesBelowNormal

Yeah man. check out this drought

GFS very dry through the run... surprising. This should not be such a dry time normally.

Regarding ENSO, I think SSTs are so warm right now we would default to +0.5c as the new average, especially in the Spring.

Not really possible. Can I have a job?

The way it's moving now, there is pretty much no way the La Nina holds. Peak season is not passed so there is still some time for a cold push, but subsurface and surface are all moving toward Neutral. Record warm Northern Hemisphere SSTs are the real thing, and I wonder if this will drive weak El Nino in the Spring. It seemed to work last year. Imagine these record SSTs and a developing real El Nino... The jump in certain statistics would be so large I wonder if it's even possible.

How are you doing? Is the blizzard kind of a warm wet snow?

lol the roads are wet.

gravity waves... I bet closer to center of storm it is much different. like the antarctic or something.

Here goes..... I was trying to make money in 2010 to move on, but weird energy stuff started happening and I got real big. This was unexpected eventually by 2013 I met my obstacle to the money piece. So I had to go back home rebuild.... it was surprising the stocks would move against me more than my ability to make money, especially because there was no reason... I began predicting weather in spare time to make use of awesome pattern recognition ability and enhancing, and I think the wrong people got a hold of my December forecast because it has not been warm because of strange cold pattern. Now this storm is dry and there is a line going through Kansas to Canada...

I'd be interested in how Florida does snowwise.

Yeah, precip will likely fill in much more.

NAM is a weird model... GFS too dry for this storm. Something much different probably.

Does it feel like before a storm? The air is dry or sun hot or something.

yeah there's real stuff going on lol

This cold will be hard to do again.

It's kind of it's signature though, GFS does well with S-N storms.

DT in 20 years...

The devil lives in Texas.

I would think the highest snowfall potential of the whole North America is here. Georgia-SC-NC (I guess Florida, that would be cool.)

Probably not a coincidence that there has been so much -EPO since 2013. The NAO has been positive something like 5 years in a row, but if you map 500mb heights, there is a spike positive anomaly over Greenland.

Check it out on the west coast, another reflection of upper atmosphere.

You would have weak cold waves rotating around 500mb high, and will little force anywhere the natural tendency is for gulf moisture to be avaliable.

This is going on at 10mb and -SOI

Because why is a massive High pressure building in? Because there is a warm bubble in Canada at 10mb? The pattern has no support from blocking regions, NAO etc. It shouldn't reload 3-4 times.

Does anyone think it is so strange that the SE ridge isn't popping up in a few days?