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mackerel_sky

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Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. I know we can get some ice with low tracks W of the apps, but up through Chicago, meh! We have seen these crazy totals at this range already a few times this year. Still looks interesting from 18th on
  2. Good point on both fronts! But it’s going to be hard for winter to keep sucking as bad as UNC!
  3. And it will not be as cold as modeled, especially on the GFS. If it’s showing 30s/10s now, it’ll be 45/30 at verification
  4. Well the mid Atlantic peeps are getting giddy, that’s usually not good for us! Maybe they can throw us a sleet pellet!?
  5. That was fun! The 17-20th storm, turned into a cutter on 12 z
  6. Winner winner chicken dinner! This is about 3-4 days that there is some “ sort” of cold and moisture lurking very close together! It has legs!
  7. Inside 10 days when it starts to get together in TX! A lot better than day 16 threats! Need to get Euro onboard of course
  8. All in! That’s the best look since 2/2014
  9. Got to believe!! End of January changes are in motion...... Fab Feb
  10. GFS lost the mega cold and gulf coast snow!
  11. Yep, 12z is definitely interesting! The first system around the 16th is our best look at 9-10 days out in awhile! Something lurking around TX/LA and 1050 high sliding East in tandem! Yes it’s along way out and it’s the GFS, but with next weeks heatwave, atleast it’s something to watch
  12. That 17-20th timeframe on 18z GFS, is absolutely amazing!! That’s how I figured we could score a good event this winter! With frequent cold fronts and some redevelopment after it has passed, and we finally get a good shot of cold!
  13. That yellow in NE Ga, is touching my county! Regardless, the frequent heavy rain events, have been great!
  14. The last drought monitor update, most of the upstate was still “ abnormally dry” it was a brutal summer! Loving these 1-3” rain events every 3-5 days!
  15. Yeah, the rain is adding up! I’m only at stage one drought now, that system might make me drought free!
  16. They did pretty much nail the 10+ days of mid 60s highs That are coming at long range , they are only wrong at long range , when it’s 10+ days out cold or snow
  17. The past 3 winters , it has not snowed past early December and after that we spent the rest of the winter chasing 15 day pattern changes. So minus the snow in December, this year is looking worse
  18. Looks like January is toast, literally and figuratively! After a couple of “ normal” days, we skyrocket to 60s the next 10-15 days! These backloaded winters are great!
  19. Grit, good stuff as usual! It’s sad that every year it seems we are hunting long range pattern changes , instead of snow events. I recall some great looking patterns and east coast troughs being modeled in advance for January, only to not pan out and even go the exact opposite to torch and now the torch is gonna verify! Let’s get things hopefully reshuffled and start having some good storms to track/experience, by late January
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