mackerel_sky
-
Posts
16,047 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by mackerel_sky
-
P02/19 , my bad
-
Is a 3-4” mean on the GEFS good? Asking for a friend!?
-
I’ll take a p2/p14 blend, and never post again!
-
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Winters over! -
Somebody better post some pretty ensembles, quickly!! 12 z gfs was a bigger dumpster fire than 6z! The rain/snow line is around Chicago on the 23rd! Delayed, but not denied, yadda yadda
-
The 19th storm is going to be the tablesetter
-
That has a February of 73 look!
-
When major pattern changes are in the works, the models flip flop a lot, so hopefully just a blip, like Clemsons’ 35 game win streak, that’s about to be ended!
-
6z gfs says, continue to enjoy your rain!
-
It’s just another forecast tool. They can change daily, their forecast. As best as I understand, phases 1,2,8, and now 7, per Webber, are our coldest phases for E and SE in winter months
-
MJO 7, gives CLT a lot of winter storms, so 7 is good
-
I think he may have went above normal for the whole winter in the East, originally, but has flip flopped a bit
-
Anytime AK is red, it’s good for us in the E/SE
-
Someone posted his comments somewhere, he’s all aboard the arctic express coming up, forget how wrong he’s been all of fall and first of winter! Got a little Mississippi leg hound in em, if he ever starts, it’s just better to let him finish!
-
Well JB threw out winter of 77/78 and 14/15 in analogs to the start of winter and transition now and the Australian heat and fires! So what could go wrong?
-
Just looked at 12z gfs, now I know why it’s dead in here! Nothing but rain through hour 384! So much for pattern change
-
That looks workable for a flurry or sleet pellet
-
Welp, the 19th is all rain for the entire forum! Good news is, bitter cold is about to hammer the Southeast around hour 300
-
The 5 in Birmingham, is still chilly
-
It’s also going to storm this weekend, you know what happens 7-10 days after that in winter!?
-
Add 10 degrees to all these temps, and that’s what reality will be! Still better than 60s/70s
-
I think the low N of Maine, is acting as a temporary block, or temporary-NAO, by it bombing out, slowing things down. That could make the storm go more S in future runs , if it’s stronger or furthe S
-
Also the “ ice storm” next weekend 18th or about, the high almost looks like a big banana high, and the low tracks right into it. That could be a super - wedge, and being underestimated as of now!?
-
The craziest part of the 18z was, the snow in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico on the 24th
-
Already losing it North! It’s been shifting N the past 3 days
