Jump to content

mackerel_sky

Members
  • Posts

    16,047
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. Someone posted his comments somewhere, he’s all aboard the arctic express coming up, forget how wrong he’s been all of fall and first of winter! Got a little Mississippi leg hound in em, if he ever starts, it’s just better to let him finish!
  2. Well JB threw out winter of 77/78 and 14/15 in analogs to the start of winter and transition now and the Australian heat and fires! So what could go wrong?
  3. Just looked at 12z gfs, now I know why it’s dead in here! Nothing but rain through hour 384! So much for pattern change
  4. That looks workable for a flurry or sleet pellet
  5. Welp, the 19th is all rain for the entire forum! Good news is, bitter cold is about to hammer the Southeast around hour 300
  6. It’s also going to storm this weekend, you know what happens 7-10 days after that in winter!?
  7. Add 10 degrees to all these temps, and that’s what reality will be! Still better than 60s/70s
  8. I think the low N of Maine, is acting as a temporary block, or temporary-NAO, by it bombing out, slowing things down. That could make the storm go more S in future runs , if it’s stronger or furthe S
  9. Also the “ ice storm” next weekend 18th or about, the high almost looks like a big banana high, and the low tracks right into it. That could be a super - wedge, and being underestimated as of now!?
  10. The craziest part of the 18z was, the snow in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico on the 24th
  11. Already losing it North! It’s been shifting N the past 3 days
  12. I know we can get some ice with low tracks W of the apps, but up through Chicago, meh! We have seen these crazy totals at this range already a few times this year. Still looks interesting from 18th on
  13. Good point on both fronts! But it’s going to be hard for winter to keep sucking as bad as UNC!
  14. And it will not be as cold as modeled, especially on the GFS. If it’s showing 30s/10s now, it’ll be 45/30 at verification
  15. Well the mid Atlantic peeps are getting giddy, that’s usually not good for us! Maybe they can throw us a sleet pellet!?
  16. That was fun! The 17-20th storm, turned into a cutter on 12 z
  17. Winner winner chicken dinner! This is about 3-4 days that there is some “ sort” of cold and moisture lurking very close together! It has legs!
  18. Inside 10 days when it starts to get together in TX! A lot better than day 16 threats! Need to get Euro onboard of course
  19. All in! That’s the best look since 2/2014
  20. Got to believe!! End of January changes are in motion...... Fab Feb
  21. GFS lost the mega cold and gulf coast snow!
×
×
  • Create New...