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Upstate Tiger

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Everything posted by Upstate Tiger

  1. West Lincoln this morning. 18 degrees. Mostly sleet.
  2. Next weekend’s potential storm is suppressed. As others have said, probably a good thing at this range. The crazy thing on the models long range is one clipper after another after another. We are going to see some frozen bodies of water that haven’t been frozen in decades.
  3. This is some of the stoutest CAD I’ve ever observed. The source cold is insane.
  4. Must have had a little bit of drizzle that coated my truck in the last hour. 24/14 here in West Lincoln.
  5. I remember that happening in the upstate in the late 70s
  6. GSP has issued an Ice Storm Warning for my area in Lincoln County (NC Piedmont).
  7. 06z GFS and Euro seemed honed in on the evolution of the storm with GFS still faster. Both show front end snow for NC and then the fun begins. Didn’t check thermals. Got to get to the hospital for storm prep. NAM…IDK what it’s doing.
  8. Lots of below zero readings forecast for western NC.
  9. Absolutely insane cold temps across the Midwest and Northeast this weekend as this storm is occurring. Lots of below zero readings. Been a long time since I’ve seen this kind of cold and it looks locked in for a few weeks.
  10. Wouldn't that cool and moisten the column and potentially give us a better front end thump of snow? I know I'm grasping...
  11. Euro with a little front end snow at 60 for NC
  12. Euro and GFS surface reflections look very similar at 54 with timing and precip types.
  13. I knew this thing would correct back to the SE…oh crap. That’s next weekend.
  14. After this cluster I am not looking at any models for next weekend until next Thursday...BTW, Do you happen to have a snowfall map of next weekend?
  15. Given the alternatives, I would prefer what the GFS is showing for NC. More sleet, less freezing rain.
  16. He's probably taking his talking points from the mets at GSP. I was on a regional call this morning with EM, healthcare, utilities etc and the forecasters at GSP were painting a pretty grim picture for this weekend using words like "memorable storm" and "devastating impacts." They seemed pretty concerned. Maybe after Helene they just want everyone to take the threat serious. We're looking at this as amateurs (except the red tags) but those guys GSP are pros and have to make high stakes forecasts.
  17. NAM with precip on NC's doorstep at 15Z Saturday. That's faster onset.
  18. Just went out a couple of hours ago to get one of my LP tanks filled/exchanged, grab a few groceries, and get some gas. Mission was unsuccessful. If you don’t have it by now, you ain’t gettin it.
  19. Best GFS run in 24 hours. For NC snow on the front, sleet, and then snow on the backend.
  20. Yeah really hoping to see precip work it's away into the Carolinas earlier than what NAM is showing but there are some positives and we are still at the end of the NAM's range and reliability.
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