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Upstate Tiger

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Everything posted by Upstate Tiger

  1. Upstate Tiger
    I knew this thing would correct back to the SE…oh crap. That’s next weekend.
  2. Upstate Tiger
    After this cluster I am not looking at any models for next weekend until next Thursday...BTW, Do you happen to have a snowfall map of next weekend?
  3. Upstate Tiger
    Given the alternatives, I would prefer what the GFS is showing for NC. More sleet, less freezing rain.
  4. Upstate Tiger
    He's probably taking his talking points from the mets at GSP. I was on a regional call this morning with EM, healthcare, utilities etc and the forecasters at GSP were painting a pretty grim picture for this weekend using words like "memorable storm" and "devastating impacts." They seemed pretty concerned. Maybe after Helene they just want everyone to take the threat serious. We're looking at this as amateurs (except the red tags) but those guys GSP are pros and have to make high stakes forecasts.
  5. Upstate Tiger
    NAM with precip on NC's doorstep at 15Z Saturday. That's faster onset.
  6. Upstate Tiger
    Just went out a couple of hours ago to get one of my LP tanks filled/exchanged, grab a few groceries, and get some gas. Mission was unsuccessful. If you don’t have it by now, you ain’t gettin it.
  7. Upstate Tiger
    Best GFS run in 24 hours. For NC snow on the front, sleet, and then snow on the backend.
  8. Upstate Tiger
    Yeah really hoping to see precip work it's away into the Carolinas earlier than what NAM is showing but there are some positives and we are still at the end of the NAM's range and reliability.
  9. Upstate Tiger
    NAM surface at 75
  10. Upstate Tiger
    Yeah I don’t know what we were thinking. We’re not in Pensacola where they get 8”-10” of all snow.
  11. Upstate Tiger
    Go to Best Buy and buy a StarLink! I went and got one yesterday. That way we can still whine.
  12. Upstate Tiger
    For much of NC, the GFS would provide some epic sledding. A couple inches of snow, couple inches of sleet, and some freezing rain on top and it ain't going anywhere.
  13. Upstate Tiger
    Crazy evlolution of the system on the GFS but definetly a more favorable outcome for NC and SC.
  14. Upstate Tiger
    Models handled the thermals on the 2003 PD2 terribly. We were told for 5 days to prepare for an apocalyptic ice storm but had a sleet storm instead.
  15. Upstate Tiger
    Overnight trends not good. We’ve gone from January 88 to Presidents Day 2003. I do think the 06z GFS has a better handle on the thermals than the NAM or Euro at 84 hours. Still have a 1051 High in NY. The CADs not being represented well IMO.
  16. Upstate Tiger
    Whatever verifies, I have never seen back to back model runs as epic for NC as the GFS runs today. 3 day winter storm. Feb 14 was close but this is nuts.
  17. Upstate Tiger
    KGSP AFD. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Boys and girls...remember these next several days. You will be talking about them and posting maps long after I have gone on...
  18. Upstate Tiger
    Not good for SC but a lot of that would likely be sleet.
  19. Upstate Tiger
    Lot of similarities to the January 88 storm with this setup. https://www.weather.gov/media/gsp/localdat/TechAttachments/ta2001-02.pdf
  20. Upstate Tiger
    Models hinting at another winter storm possibility the following weekend, 30/31st. Interesting period upcoming in the SE. Will have the LP tank refilled this week and test the generator for sure.
  21. Upstate Tiger
  22. Upstate Tiger
    After about 15 minutes of sleet, finally gone over to snow in West Lincoln. Don’t expect it to amount to much but nice seeing it.
  23. Upstate Tiger
    Early NAM run pops the low further west than the 12z. Edit: Not really different. I must be drunk.
  24. Upstate Tiger
    Yeah but you are on here reading this thread like me and grasping away
  25. Upstate Tiger
    Some very interesting solutions on the Euro over the next couple weeks, starting with the end of next week.
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