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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. Cedar Rapids set its cold record of -29F in 2009, I think. Of course, that's at the airport out south of the city. I don't think we came close to that here in town. I would like to see at least -25F at the local school stations this time.
  2. This run actually puts the low track on the south end of the model range through Iowa.
  3. The latest euro has a snow pack-destroying torch from Feb 1-4. For this week we've been discussing how long the temp might remain below zero. We may go from that straight to the opposite extreme. The euro now shows the temp across a large part of our region remaining above to well-above freezing for four days.
  4. The latest HRRR has come up a bit to 0.25" in Cedar Rapids, which is also what the Euro has stabilized at, so that's probably a pretty good guess. I think the 0.50" GFS and GEM are out to lunch.
  5. UK appears to be about the same as last night
  6. The HRRR continues to be much less of a deal for Cedar Rapids/Iowa City. It still has the low much farther north and only has a 4-hr band of snow moving through here... 0.20" vs 0.50" (hrrr/gfs). Heck, the HRRR only drops 0.10" on Iowa City, almost a non-event.
  7. I would love to see the 0.50" GFS/GEM veryify. However, the meso models show this being only a 6-hr event here before the dry slot shoots in from the west. It would have to snow hard for the entire event to pile up the totals being spit out by the GFS/GEM. I think 0.20-0.30" is more realistic.
  8. Today's clipper perked up nicely as it traversed Iowa. I saw a couple heavy bursts and finished with 1.6".
  9. The UK is still pretty robust with the front-end thump over eastern Iowa.
  10. The Cedar Rapids airport hit -18 yesterday morning and -17 this morning, but the stations here in the city only hit about -8 both mornings. The airport, out in the middle of nowhere south of the city, always gets much colder than we do inside the city.
  11. I picked up a half inch today. The ratio was 50 to 1... real dandelion fluff.
  12. It seems like the problem for Iowa may be up in Canada. The models keep starting the southeast dive farther eastward in Canada. The GFS almost has this thing into Manitoba before it enters the US. Iowa does not get Manitoba Maulers.
  13. 00z euro - thursday morning... of course, we'll have to score with the clipper to have a chance at this.
  14. Thar she blows! That's even more extreme than last night's 00z run.
  15. I finished with 4.6 inches. The core liquid is 0.44". It sucks to end up a relative loser right in the middle of the snow band, but 4.6 isn't too bad. It was worse until the last heavy snow burst.
  16. The Quad Cities seem to do well in every storm. They got 12 inches back in November and seem to be getting 6+ from each of these smaller storms this month.
  17. I got totally screwed by this dud. I only have 3.8 inches. I think I spent more time in dry pockets than in snow bands. This was supposed to be the center of the heavy band. The last two storms were expected to drop 6-8" here, but instead the two combined only dropped about 8".
  18. Wow! This run shows Cedar Rapids at -32 at NOON. This is probably too incredible to not back off significantly in the coming days.
  19. The other models have been in the 0.40-0.50" range for the area.
  20. Cedar Rapids has had pretty good luck with strong clippers in recent years. I'm counting on that to continue. And the euro follows it with a brutal arctic dump.
  21. Oooh. 00z Euro also south to join the GFS/FV3/UK.... and it's strong, too. This could be pretty fun if it pans out like the latest runs.
  22. The UK has shifted south, joining the GFS and FV3 with a good dump through Iowa. It appears this will be a cold cleanup.
  23. I didn't realize it was in the low 30s over there. It appears Moline is reporting 33. We hit 28 earlier, but we're down to 21. I was at 2.1 inches a half hour ago.
  24. This is pretty frustrating. People from Lincoln to Des Moines to Chicago are posting about big flakes and heavy rates while I haven't seen a flake since mid afternoon.
  25. Cedar Rapids kinda ended up in a precip hole this afternoon/evening. Locations both well east and well west are doing better.
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