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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. 00z Euro - ratio will probably be lower due to wind
  2. DVN issued a blizzard warning for their entire area. The snow forecast is 4-8", which seems a bit high, plus wind up to 60 mph.
  3. The 12z Euro bumped up the defo zone and is the most robust of the models.
  4. The Euro has low teens across Iowa Monday afternoon, then 70s by Thursday and 80s Friday.
  5. The 12z Euro is a big shift back west with the secondary defo band. The previous two runs had almost nothing in eastern Iowa.
  6. Oddly, I just read the DVN discussion and it talks about a winter storm watch for heavy deformation zone snow, with zero mention of the bone-dry Euro. Other non-GFS models are also trending toward the Euro, so I think DVN will have to start walking back the snow talk.
  7. The Euro continues to trend in the wrong direction for Iowa. At this point it's non-event except for wind. It barely has a flake of snow falling anywhere in the state. I'm expecting the GFS to cave soon.
  8. The Euro is the most progressive of the models. It doesn't have much of anything for Iowa, rain or snow.
  9. Multiple models are hinting at a secondary defo zone blowing up across eastern Iowa and northern Illinois as another piece of energy rounds the base of the trough and lifts ne.
  10. Yeah, potent cold shot, but the Euro has us back in the 70s by Thursday.
  11. It's good we got our soaker yesterday morning, because we did not get a drop from the cold front passage.
  12. I got 1.00" of rain this morning. There was a close lightning strike and huge crack of thunder at the leading edge of the rain, around 3am. It knocked my internet out for a few hours.
  13. It is looking good for an inch of rain here early tomorrow morning, along with some rumbles.
  14. Last night's Euro has a high of 80º+ next Tuesday ahead of a strong cold front, with a few pockets reaching the mid 80s, before the pattern turns much colder.
  15. It looks like a pretty gloomy week, but with very little rain.
  16. Up to 10" fell under that stationary heavy band in far se MN.
  17. I'm still waiting for the 1000-year storm that drops 12" in my yard. That would be peak crazy.
  18. 38" in Providence is insane. I've lived in eastern Iowa for 50 years and not once have I ever measured 12".
  19. A band of heavy snow early this morning (I was asleep) dropped 2.2" of snow here. 0.59" of rain fell before the switch. The main band over-performed to my nw.
  20. 12z Euro has jumped back nw quite a bit. It has really amped up through Iowa, although it's almost all nw of me.
  21. Models continue to sag southeast with the snow event.
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