mahantango#1

NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center rsooendptS93ll8l6h0ia7ih8m02l1ft471839mg0lah48h73ghu4fhflf88 · 6/19 2:40 AM EDT: Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms appear likely today across much of the Mid-Atlantic region, and also parts of the Carolinas and New England. The severe risk should peak this afternoon and evening, before convection moves offshore or weakens. Scattered to numerous severe/damaging winds will likely be the primary risk with these thunderstorms, but isolated hail and perhaps a tornado or two may also occur.

571 FXUS61 KCTP 190813 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 413 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025 .SYNOPSIS... -- Changed Discussion -- * Strong to severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening particularly across the southeast half of central PA * Not as humid for the first day of summer on Friday with a couple of passing rain showers/isolated gusty thunderstorm * Trending warmer to start the weekend with a major to extreme heat risk Sunday through next Wednesday -- End Changed Discussion -- && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- Muggy start today with sunrise temps in the 65-70F range and fog in the central and eastern ridge/valley region. High PW axis aligned with strong isentropic lift/WAA pattern on nose of 40-50kt 850mb jet will likely keep a few showers going across the western Alleghenies early this morning. Focus will shift to severe t-storm risk for later this afternoon/evening. Seasonally strong upper trough located over IL at 06Z will advance into the Upper OH Valley by 18z as stronger 500mb flow develops across western PA/NY. Convection should readily develop along and just ahead of an eastward advancing cold front or prefrontal trough within a very moist/unstable environment particularly near max PWAT/CAPE bullseye over the southeastern half to 1/3 of central PA. SPC has maintained a level 2 out of 5 risk over most of this area, but did increase the severe threat to level 3 of 5 (ENH) along the I95 corridor which does clip York and Lancaster Counties. Severe wind gusts remain the primary concern with deep shear profiles favoring organized line segments and clusters. HREF data indicates storms exit the Lower Susq Valley after 00Z with any lingering shower activity fading by late tonight/06Z Fri. Flash flood risk should be reduced to some extent today with more progressive storm motions perpendicular to the front. However, with high PWs 1-2 inches, extremely sensitive/primed soils, and significantly reduced 1hr FFG as low as 0.5" (thanks to 7-day rainfall 200-400 percent of normal) an isolated flash flood is possible particularly in the most vulnerable/wettest locations across the Laurel Highlands and south central Alleghenies. Post frontal WNW flow will direct drier air (lower Td/PW) into CPA overnight with low temps falling back into a more comfortable mid 50s to low 60s range or 5-10 degrees cooler than last night. This flow may also bank low clouds along the Allegheny Front beneath subsidence inversion associated with sfc ridge axis extending northward from 1020mb high pressure over the Central Appalachians.

I'm thinking the same thing.

.34 rain last night. Monthly total so far for June 3.94. Definitely need a drying out period to commence soon. Grass is so high and lots of weed wacking needs to be done too to get caught back up.

The standing water in the garden finally disappeared yesterday evening. Now that it's raining again and I received .12 so far this evening, the water is standing in the garden again. That tells me the ground is totally saturated.

It is definitely getting warmer and more humid out 77/68 skies are brightening up.

picked up .28 rain this morning. total for June so far 3.52. 19.49 for the year.

Wxrisk.com updated their profile picture. entsodopSr1fil9mf0337l46l03cm00l2hai8ahh70i7433u207455185th4 · LOW MID 90s a good bet JUNE 22-28 east of the mountains

1.10 rain this weekend. 3.24 for the month so far. Please no more for at least a week.

looks like another gloomy day on tap.

.57 here.

.09 rain overnight here. A cool 59 cloudy gloomy kind of day so far. Hopefully there will be some improvement throughout the day. And keep that heavier rain away from me. I rototilled the garden yesterday. I hilled up my potatoes yesterday. That ground was heavy to move up against the potato plants. They should have been hilled up several weeks ago. But the constant rain and water laying in the garden made it impossible to do.

Flood Watch National Weather Service State College PA 241 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025 PAZ010>012-017>019-045-046-049>053-142000- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0012.250614T0641Z-250614T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia- Including the cities of Sunbury, Renovo, Ridgway, St. Marys, DuBois, Lewisburg, Bloomsburg, Philipsburg, Williamsport, Lock Haven, Clearfield, Berwick, Selinsgrove, Shamokin, Danville, State College, and Emporium 241 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Cameron, Clearfield, Columbia, Elk, Montour, Northern Centre, Northern Clinton, Northumberland, Snyder, Southern Centre, Southern Clinton, Southern Lycoming and Union. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - A several hour period of moderate to heavy rainfall and possible embedded thunderstorms this morning could produce widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches in the Watch area with local amounts exceeding 3 inches. Rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour could produce flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

You could be very well right on that.

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service State College PA 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025 PAZ017>019-024>028-033>036-056-057-059-063>066-140830- Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon- Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin- Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Showers will become numerous later this afternoon and tonight along with isolated thunderstorms, that will bring up to one inch of rain in some places by sunrise Saturday. The main impact of the rain later today and tonight will be to prime the ground for potential flooding from additional showers and storms this weekend into early next week. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Several rounds of locally heavy rainfall could result in an increasing threat for short duration flooding Saturday and Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

Was talking to the farmer yesterday that farms our land. He said they are behind on planting. He said they couldn't plant our neighbors 1.5 acre section because of it being too wet. They are a month behind on planting our farm. Now our farm was the last to be planted. He also said they might have to replant soybeans that were planted this year in cornfields from last year, I asked why, he said slugs eat the seed because it was so wet and cold. The perfect weather for slugs to thrive.