mahantango#1

.DISCUSSION... -- Changed Discussion -- KEY MESSAGE 1: Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and heavy rainfall are possible from mid-day into late evening. Tornadoes also possible. SPC has kept the Enhanced risk of severe weather expectation for all of Central PA today. They have also added a special (conditional intensity group or CIG) hatching to SErn PA (including areas S & E of Harrisburg. The CIG designation means that tornadoes that do develop in that area could be stronger than just EF0/1. A reasonable maximum intensity of EF2-strength tornadoes is possible today - again, mainly in SE PA. Early showers and even a thunderstorm or two will occur near/along a pair of warm fronts moving north and east through the area this morning and early afternoon. The vort max moving into western PA at 07Z is expected to continue to touch off showers this morning. Some lightning is possible, mainly across the S. There should not be a threat for severe weather until at least late this morning after we can get the clouds and showers away and get some heating/pump up the CAPE. The timing of that vort max and the SHRA/TSRA it helps generate look like they will be early enough in the day that ample heating should then occur as the main warm front pushes into the srn counties and across the CWA late this morning and early this afternoon. As the CAPEs climb, and the wind profiles/hodographs become rounded, the risk for deep convection that would also take advantage of the high helicity to produce supercells increases. This convection could start a couple hours earlier than climatologically-favored timing...more like a noon kickoff than early- to mid-aftn. The risk for discrete, spinning cells is highest over the Lower Susq, but is possible anywhere across the CWA with the warm front(s) and varied boundaries from earlier rain and differential heating playing roles to make the near storm llvl/blyr environment favorable. 70F+ dewpoints will arrive in the S with the first warm front, and the LCLs should be low and favorable for tornado development. The Sig Tor Parameter (STP) is highest over the SE, esp in Lancaster Co. Lower (l-m60s) dewpoints hang on across the N for much of the day. The NW will have the next-best chance for severe storms to develop. However, the increasing moisture and moderate-high shear and moderate-high CAPEs will mean we`ll have to watch all of the CWA for storm initiation in early and mid afternoon. These could also be supercells away from the SE - at least early in the event. The wind profile becomes more-aligned/straight hodographs that would be more favorable for storm clusters or a broken line, esp if a pre-frontal trough materializes.

252 µg/m3 Hazardous Avg262.4 Peak455 63.5° Dew Point 63.2°F From Yesterday 8.3°F Feels Like 63.5°F Yesterday afternoon was really bad here. with a peak of 455

Within the last half hour the thicker smoke showed up here, and you can smell it.

Didn't coach ask you to suit up?

96 here yesterday with a dp of 79 seen a heat index at times of 112

US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·sotpSrndoeaihc7u709m917g0gg799hl62f2af7c18c8u16a1h5h52aulg54 · HERE COMES THE SMOKE Massive wildfires erupted in Ontario & northern Minnesota on Monday. NW winds will carry that smoke across the Great Lakes, Northeast, & Mid-Atlantic today & tonight. Reduced visibility & degraded air quality may persist through the end of the week. https://www.facebook.com/100064725904699/videos/pcb.1458510112983172/1665007804603396

92 for the high here.

Is Willie Nelson and Snoop Dog around your area?

WGAL News Channel 8 Susquehanna Valley, Pa. stonpSorde383mc43fttcm5lcaf7c5i810404f8021tli2243icg6i52h16a · The U.S. has approved plans for an experimental satellite carrying a massive mirror, designed to test if “sunlight on demand” is possible by reflecting sunlight onto targeted areas on Earth. The project has drawn sharp criticism from astronomers and environmental scientists.https://www.wgal.com/article/fcc-approves-space-mirror-reflect-orbital/71919795?fbclid=IwY2xjawTC8E9leHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETEyWUk1bkFnTUI4eUI3ZkJPc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHvIX-pxjYfi4pQg_27rHtfuYb6YHFyPyH5-nyhvboPdnOeVPybIPBTyR54pr_aem_1hzWC-lEWX55Ae_f03FxTA

The latest information has a band of thick smoke moving into our area Wednesday afternoon. If this pans out, I wouldn't be surprised to see Air Quality Alerts issued. People with respiratory problems will want to watch this closely. www.fox56.com/weather

Smoke is back in the forecast. Wednesday Night Patchy smoke before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening.

It's the element of surprise. Just like winter snowstorms you go to bed feeling confident that NWS has an advisory out for 1 to 3 in of snow tomorrow. But you wake up tomorrow morning and it's a winter storm warning for 10 to 14 inches.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 204 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026 PAZ004>006-010>012-018-019-027-028-037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-140700- /O.NEW.KCTP.HT.Y.0004.260714T1500Z-260715T0000Z/ Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Mifflin-Juniata-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Including the cities of St. Marys, Laporte, Emporium, Wellsboro, Pottsville, Warren, Berwick, Hershey, Shamokin, Ridgway, Lewistown, Mansfield, Trout Run, Danville, Mifflintown, Sunbury, Lock Haven, Williamsport, Harrisburg, Lebanon, Renovo, Selinsgrove, Bloomsburg, State College, Philipsburg, Lewisburg, Coudersport, Newport, and Bradford 204 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heat index values of 96 to 103 degrees expected. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The Heat Advisory may need to be extended into Wednesday for a portion of central Pennsylvania as another hot day is looking increasingly likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay out of the sun, and stay in an air-conditioned room. Check up on relatives and neighbors, and provide pets with adequate water and shelter from the sun. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Review heat safety and preparedness information at weather.gov/safety/heat. If you do not have air conditioning in your home or lack shelter, you can call 211 or visit pa211.org for assistance locating appropriate shelter from the heat. && $$

Just heard some today.

I'm missing out on the rain. Had .09 this morning tean it got hot. I hope i can cash in o. Some beneficial rain.

Flood Watch National Weather Service State College PA 210 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 PAZ056-057-059-063>066-091915- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0006.260709T1600Z-260710T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Carlisle, Newport, Lancaster, Gettysburg, York, Lebanon, Harrisburg, and Hershey 210 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following counties, Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry and York. * WHEN...From noon EDT today through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of slow moving thunderstorms will be capable of producing torrential downpours, with rain rates potentially exceeding 2 inches per hour. While there is still some uncertainty regarding where the heaviest rainfall will occur, scattered instances of flash flooding will be possible. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ Bauco/Lambrech Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 408 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 PAZ057-059-065-066-100815- Dauphin-Lebanon-York-Lancaster- 408 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Showers and thunderstorms will produce very heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding. A few storms may produce strong to severe wind gusts. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall on Friday. Isolated instances of flash flooding will be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.