mahantango#1

I'll change them according to the models. If the model determines i'll have a crappy day, then yes i'll change them.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 457 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025 PAZ006-012-018-019-026>028-035>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>058- 063-250900- Potter-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon- Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Cumberland- 457 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and small hail are possible late this afternoon into early tonight. Thunderstorms with very heavy rain are possible as well. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$

Yes they change more than I change my underwear. We'll have to wait to see what happens. And tally it up to see if it verified.

.18 rain today.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 355 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025 PAZ006-011-012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-210800- Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset- Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- 355 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered, slow-moving and potentially training thunderstorms could produce locally heavy rainfall over one inch in less than an hour. A few instances of flooding in poor drainage areas, and along small streams and adjacent roads is possible later this afternoon and evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather, including heavy rainfall over one inch and any flooding. $$

Looks like I'll be batting zero in the rain dept today while less than 3 miles from me they got .24 today.

Could it be that our beloved heat and everyone's favorite high dewpoints are gone? This would be catastrophic for some of us. From NWS State College: Today will likely be the warmest day in the next 7 (maybe for the rest of the month?) with max temps peaking +5-10 degrees above the historical average for mid/late August in the mid 80s to low 90s across the central ridges and mid/lower Susquehanna Valley.

National Weather Service State College PA 511 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025 PAZ028-036-049-050-052-056>059-063>066-160915- Juniata-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Northumberland-Perry-Dauphin- Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 511 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Slow moving thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are possible this afternoon and evening. The heavy rain may lead to highly localized flash flooding particularly in urban areas and other places that can experience rapid runoff. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

In a few month we'll be suffering from an endless wind and cold. I'll (and a few other ones on here) will enjoy of what summer has to offer us.

Looks like I missed out on the rain today.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 415 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-140815- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming- Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- 415 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Thunderstorms with very heavy rain are possible today and early tonight. The heavy rain may cause isolated incidents of flooding.

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 416 AM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025 .SYNOPSIS... -- Changed Discussion -- * Humid with locally heavy thunderstorm downpours tonight and Wednesday * Mainly dry with above normal temperatures all weekend -- End Changed Discussion -- && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion -- Patches of lower clouds have started to form over the Lower Susq and Laurels. While not a widespread deck yet, it is expanding. Much of the area could have these clouds (which are currently 1500-2000ft aloft). That could make it more difficult for us to reach the NBM mean MaxTs. But, mixing should help break these clouds up for the most part. Without much confidence in the persistence of the clouds, we`ll hang close to guidance for the time being. Many of the CAMs pop taller cu and even isolated showers this afternoon, mainly S of UNV. They`ll get tallest over the ridges/high ground and only drift away slightly. Coverage of any showers is expected to be pretty sparse, and only worthy of a 20-30 PoP. -- End Changed Discussion -- && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- All of the pop-up showers around this afternoon will die off around sunset. The advancing upper trough will really break down the ridge and drag a cold front into OH overnight. There will be some showers and possibly a thunderstorm get into the western zones before sunrise Wed. Lows tonight will be milder, especially in the Lower Susq where they should stay in the 70s. Pre-frontal weaknesses in the pressure field will allow storms to continue going during the morning hours as the front nears the CWA. The afternoon heating will increase the coverage of the storms with skinny but tall CAPE NW, and fatter CAPE as you move SE. 0-6km shear will be around 30kt for BFD, but only 20kt at UNV and MDT. These numbers aren`t enough to cause concerns high enough to the SPC outlooks, but a strong-er storm is possible. The high PWAT (1.7-2.0") and slow moving storms may make heavy downpours. That shouldn`t be much of a concern, either due to the very dry conditions of the past week plus. It`s been about two weeks since Happy Valley has had measurable rainfall. Lancaster and Bedford counties had very heavy rain ~10-12 days ago, but not much (if anything) since then. The front seems like it moves only slowly when it gets into Central PA, and should yield more showers and storms. Expect these to drag in the southern zones until the middle of Wed night. The dry air does make inroads across the north. -- End Changed Discussion --

Hard to believe with all the rain the last few months, that this is happening. https://www.abc27.com/news/multiple-dauphin-county-areas-announce-voluntary-water-restrictions/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook_abc27_News&fbclid=IwY2xjawMH2ptleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHm4UIfmxNklzCR8u_6jK8My845BbUBFxPKbq01SDok7xSpiDaTtq3Zsa0Y68_aem_GTqxn89hJvPMaAoFaAyD_w

Why u telling me?

Now I could use some rain, as the ground has been drying out. I have .04 rainfall for the month so far. The Mahantango Creek is reflecting the diminished trend.

Getting dark ar5pm is depressing, especially if it's cold and a bitter cold wind is gusting.

I have a feeling some others, won't be so optimistic about the heat. But i'm sure they'll sweat through it.