mahantango#1

Mark Margavage snrteoSodpc56184g68hfgu24988l1al14mc584h0h8mhfh2m0t7l7a1i151 · Weekend Storm Update Despite what you might have heard…I am STILL tracking the potential for a significant snow event this weekend. If it happens, the snow would arrive Sunday afternoon/evening. Model Guidance has been all over the place but I’ve been fairly consistent with my message: This looks like a Miller B Nor’Easter. Miller B storms typically have a mix line that sets up along I-78/I-80 in eastern PA and NJ. The European Model suggests that mix changes over to heavy snow as this storm strengthens. Whether or not that actually happens is pure speculation at this point. There are some non-linear processes that need to go exactly correct for this storm to produce significant snow. If not, the storm could miss off to the south. So nothing is set in stone yet, but the threat remains. ~Meteorologist Mark Margavage

Theres still time to score, no need for the hail-mary...yet.

I know, seems they are really downplaying the event this morn.

NWS will tend to disagree with you.

Were in the middle of a heatwave!

Decided to walk down to the creek and take some pictures while there still ice on the creek. That was the easy part. What wasn't easy was walking through that snowpack. Cardio workout for sure was not anticipated. I wonder just how thick the ice is? Questions remain. How long will the ice stay with warmer temperatures forecast? Will the ice slowly melt away? Will we get more snow adding to more water content to the snowpack? Or will we get a big sudden thaw with a huge rain storm? And then will we get the ice breaking up and producing ice jams and flooding? These questions will be answered in the coming weeks.

I have now lowered my confidence in them as they have increased confidence in lowering confidence.

Some tv mets. are writing the storm off.

Oh great!

I guess we'll know in over a month what that looks like.

Only -5 here might drop a degree till sunrise.

Only -5 here might drop a degree till sunrise.

Winds calmed down here, but you living near the river, I understand wind speed there will be higher.

Gonna be a very cold night tonight.

When is our next storm threat?

3.2 was my low. Looking forward to temperatures reaching the 30s this week. Seems like we have been in this ice box like forever.

Sounds like road up here in upper Dauphin county in the open field areas, where the wind has a unobstructed shot for drifting aren't in good shape this morning. Some are down to one lane with several inches of snow on the road.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 224 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 PAZ027-028-036-049>053-056>059-063>066-071000- /O.UPG.KCTP.CW.Y.0011.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/ /O.EXB.KCTP.EC.W.0005.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WI.Y.0002.260207T0900Z-260208T0300Z/ Mifflin-Juniata-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland- Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York- Lancaster- Including the cities of Danville, Shamokin, Harrisburg, Hershey, Selinsgrove, Lebanon, Lewisburg, Sunbury, Mifflintown, Lewistown, Chambersburg, Berwick, Gettysburg, Carlisle, York, Pottsville, Lancaster, Bloomsburg, and Newport 224 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026 ...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below expected. For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...A portion of south central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...For the Extreme Cold Warning, from 4 AM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday. For the Wind Advisory, from 4 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Persons are urged to stay indoors until conditions improve. If you must go outside, dress in layers. Several layers of clothes will keep you warmer than a single heavy coat. Cover exposed skin to reduce your risk of frostbite or hypothermia. Gloves, a scarf, and a hat will keep you from losing your body heat. && $$

overnight low was 5.

Everyday we are getting closer! How Many Days Until Spring? Time Remaining Until Spring: March 20, 2026 42 days 1 month 14 days 6 weeks 1,008 hours

I hope not.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1221 PM EST Thu Feb 5 2026 PAZ019-026>028-035-036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-060800- /O.EXB.KCTP.EC.A.0004.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/ Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Sunbury, Gettysburg, Carlisle, Hershey, Mifflintown, Selinsgrove, Chambersburg, State College, Newport, Mount Union, Lewisburg, York, Williamsport, Shamokin, Lewistown, Lebanon, Harrisburg, Pottsville, Danville, Lancaster, Berwick, McConnellsburg, Bloomsburg, Lock Haven, and Huntingdon 1221 PM EST Thu Feb 5 2026 ...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below possible. * WHERE...A portion of south central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could result in hypothermia or frostbite if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must go outside, dress in layers. Cover exposed skin to reduce your risk of frostbite or hypothermia