This is exactly what I've been talking about this week. We've seen this time and time again. And especially on the EURO We've seen even colder solutions in the mid range. Some people are gullible.
Possibly the northern mountains but at this time the cold front looks dry. Unless your into skiing then somewhere like Beech mountain. But at this time the models aren't showing any winter weather around New Years.
The way the models have been adjusting especially with this upcoming cold shot because of the building negative NAO there will be some wild swings especially in the mid range.
The pattern has been showing up being volatile especially this past week. Things have become more clear this weekend especially the recent runs of both the gfs and the EURO. We will agree to disagree. We don't see eye to eye on multiple things anyways.
Im giving you my opinion in the way the models have performed in the long range this season. Honestly we could look decent, torch, or in the freezer. We are just seeing a lot of volatility in the models.
Obviously not. We had a warm period before Thanksgiving. We thought we'd torch right through Thanksgiving but no we had a very cold end to November and a cold start to December. We've been well below average for the better part of 3 weeks. So yes we've seen this several times across the board where yes the operational models and the ensembles have performed very poorly in the middle and long range multiple times this season.
If this trough verifies coming up that would mean non of the ensembles caught this outside day 7. Then the pattern again looks to be up and down. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
The 12z gfs rolls the trough up top with a backdoor front but amplifies a ridge out west. Yes this coming week is warm but the pattern does jumble up a bit after that. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
Well looking forward to severe weather this spring. At least yall already know this winter is cooked. No need to look off the side of the cliff. Just jump and enjoy the warm winter.
Some of yall on here actually like we just didn't go through an impressive 3 week cold and some snow stretch. It's comical and im laughing. All you can do. What's the saying. This is the only weather you've got so enjoy it. Something like that.