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Nelson

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Everything posted by Nelson

  1. Nelson
    It's a nice look - hopefully it's got some legs...
  2. Nelson
    I miss the medium range pattern discussions - where did all of those folks go?
  3. Nelson
    Damn, sorry to hear about the loss of your son. As a father, it's hard to imagine having to endure something like that so I hope you and your family can find some peace through all of it.
  4. Nelson
    Feels like it's been a while since we've had a legit ROF set up. NW flow never going away though..... ever
  5. Nelson
    MKX definitely been hit or miss with the AFDs as of late. I think Wood (if I'm recalling the name correctly) typically does a good job with the write ups. Sorry for the OT
  6. Nelson
    4.1" here. Maybe another .1 or so with some real light returns for the next hour. Pretty much right where I thought we would end up. Cool event overall. Really poured for a few hours.
  7. Nelson
    32.5F and +SN. Decent winds out of the SE. Gonna stack nicely if this keeps up for a few more hours.
  8. Nelson
    It's a good start.
  9. Nelson
    Somewhat of an odd storm evolution - if you simply looked at the SLP track, it looks like a classic mid-west snowstorm but surface features don't really play out that way (looks more like a glorified frontal passage). Much like the last storm, models have been fairly consistent with roughly .5 qpf for mby. I think 3-5" looks like a good call.
  10. Nelson
    Looks like we will finish with 3.8" here. Little lower than my prediction but sounds like some higher amount nearby. Overall, the forecasts did pretty well around here.
  11. Nelson
    Eyeballing 2" here. Winds still gusting and decent rates.
  12. Nelson
    Freezing rain for a good two hours to start. Looks like we are finally switching to snow... Also, stronger winds than I was expecting. Blowing pretty hard out of the SE
  13. Nelson
    Models have been pretty consistent with averaging around .5 qpf in SW Dane County. I'm going with a 5-6" call imby. Remarkable overall consistency for days now (outside of the usual wobbles) as opposed to the last system where we were still seeing some decent shifts leading into the event - so I don't know if we'll get that last minute shift north this time. I think the heaviest totals look to stay just south of the WI/IL border. Good luck everyone.
  14. Nelson
    6.9" final here in western Dane county. More than I thought when I first looked out the window. Couple of 10" drifts. Nice overachiever.
  15. Nelson
    At the end of the day, if you have a met tag there are high expectations for the content you post. Most of us expect to see folks with met tags posting analysis and helping the rest of us understand better. I've seen neither from you. Mostly what I see is complaining. So if you're going to carry that met tag, and continue to complain and otherwise not provide any meaningful analysis, you should expect to get trolled. It really is as simple as that.
  16. Nelson
    YES
  17. Nelson
    Very small flakes here but snowing at a decent clip. Up to about an inch so far. I'll stick with my initial thought of 6-7" for mby but I'm starting to think that may be on the high side. Good luck to the border areas where the highest totals look to be.
  18. Nelson
    Just as a general idea I completely agree with this comment. Nobody needs that kind of negativity in their lives. Appease the snow gods.
  19. Nelson
    Freakin' summer time low
  20. Nelson
    Also, with that look, and the agreement (which is a small feat in and of itself), something is going to pop. It may be too far west for most of us to care but it's something.
  21. Nelson
    Outside of the western portion of the MW, probably... but it's sooooo boring otherwise. I get pleasure in showing the trough slowly nudging east.
  22. Nelson
    It's coming....
  23. Nelson
    yeah, i guess 'better' is relative.
  24. Nelson
    Inching toward a better look over the last day or so. The western trough has been moving ever so slightly to the East each run.
  25. Nelson
    Hopefully the agreement in the 8-10 is a sign that things are settling down a little bit and we will have some better model handling in the long range. Doesn't look good in the 8-10 but maybe some signs of life after that if we can get that ridge to slide east.
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