RogueWaves

This thing's not bombing nearly the way the Euro showed it a day ago. Net result, less northward push of WAA and rain/mix into NMI. NAM is keeping them all snow. Looks like APX may well need to up their snowfall maps. Should be a nice thumper/wet front-ender. Wish I had the option to go north.

Snow pack in Canada never hurts, but barren turf up there can kill chances.

Couple days ago, WFO's pegged this as maybe a coating. Trend's been our friend. Sucks to sit the fence like Chicago Peeps are enduring. Hopefully y'all join the party soon.

The actual wx changed their minds lol. 3pm AFD's only reason not to was due to it being post rush hour. Since when is that the only time of day worth warning Peeps that dangerous driving is likely. Besides, tons of folks work non day shift jobs. It sounded like GRR logic when I read it. Glad somebody thought twice about it. Snow-on-snow in November. Did they relocate Motown to NMI when I wasn't looking??

1/2" only while we were there (a little bit disappointing tbh). They may have gotten more later on, idk.

That'd be great if it verifies. I'm just stoked to see snow plowed parking lots. Took until Jan 31st last winter for that to happen in Marshall. 2 weeks later winter was over. Three snows worth putting a blade on in 15 days. Last season in a nutshell for my locale.

Was watching it on radar expecting an SWS. When there was none I just forgot to check back and totally missed the SNSW which sucks since they aren't too common. The 2nd half of "sucks" is my hunch was right, it got shredded into a few flurries by the time it came over the higher terrain. Looked like a damned bow echoed derecho for bit tho. Arctic front squall lines are some of the coolest winter phenom around here. It's how you get a glimpse of true bliz conditions since actual events are so few and far between. I like our chances of seeing at least one good one this winter.

Hoping it holds together. Might be getting shredded a bit as it comes over the higher terrain a county north.

Models have been hinting at the MJO making a run at ph7. IF it happens, that's suddenly a much colder look for N CONUS.

Oddly, at times it's been waayy too wet here this autumn, and plenty moist (surely not a drought) as we turn the corner into winter.

@michsnowfreak NAM caught on last-minute with a slug of moisture blossoming in NOH and coming our way before sliding east. DTX mentioned the convective nature of this final batch of plaster. I arrived back from travels to Frankenmuth just after it had ended so I missed out on seeing those more impressive rates. Still, saw an entire day of steady snow falling and temps well below freezing. Really, you would have thought it was January. Appreciate your photos.

If sig snow that early is rare air up here, what is it in the deep South?? Are we talking 80F one day, and snow OTG the next?

Nice! Over-performed slightly from all the guidance I saw.

Wow, never knew that. Here in The Mitt, the jack-o-lanterns had just gone dim when that freakish storm dumped 8-12" Nov2-3 of '66. Went on to be a yuuge winter for SMI.

Tru dat. Blame it on the NWS tho, it was their graphic I commented on. I hope December comes through for all of us. It'd be nice to continue the theme set by November.

2017 Best Christmas to NY's since Idk, 2000?? Iirc, KFNT's new all-time snowiest winter at 85.3" beating out 74-75 and 13-14 for top spot. Even in Marshall I had 118% of avg. Yeah, horrible winter..

Unfortunately, it's a pattern of cold NW flow mostly moisture starved clippers, and the risk is when/if it flips (nothing locks all winter) we end up on the warm side of hard cutters. Tbd ofc, but this gradient is very much like Dec 2017 so far.

Dig a little deeper and show me which of those top 9 winters went that way? Just to sanity check my own memory, I briefly peeked at the years noted during the last 3 decades for my former region in SWMI. Of those 5, only 12-13 came near normal, most were substantially below, one 94-95 was a horrid 56% of normal. Not snowless winters by any means, but it's a game of avoid the cellar dwellers.

Dittos, but you don't want to go too deep waiting on accum's either. Basically, any year starting post-Dec 5th was pure garbage. I'd rather not roll those dice. Y'all need something on the board at ORD, unless ofc, you're rooting for a lame-ass winter.

OMG the top 9 latest years are a set of winters to forget! Better get some snow action ASAP over there

Yep, caught my eye for sure. So far, looking like an eastern lakes kind of winter.

Reminds me of Jan/Feb '94 in NMI. -25+ departures in the two coldest months (not autumn) is brutality to the body and useless in the sig snowfall dept. I'll take a hard pass on experiencing that again.

Don't look now, but are we about to add onto KDTW's November snow total?? 6 more days..6 more ways. So, what is "avg" for Nov here anyways? 1.9" was mine back in Marshall where LES could contribute in many early season cold outbreaks.

Really tho, nobody's been getting buried in the CONUS, so if the Euro wants to put 6-8" here with the next couple weak NW flow clippers. Well, I may just be inclined to let it. Heck an inch or two this time of year would set the spirit of the season. Took me til Dec 29th last winter to see that amount.

Going to re-live the Dec 2010 nightmare, are we??