RogueWaves

Meanwhile, a near total whiff just a few miles SW of there. I watched that solid band of returns move almost due N to S just grazing me twice with it's western edge. 3-4" on the snow map. Another fail here. I don't see .3-.4" out there. Sidewalks are not even fully coated. Sad winter for mby.

Somehow, I knew that was too good to be true. Didn't even make half the lower-end here. And that was with a decent contribution from wave 2, lol. Worst blown forecast (snowfall wise) in a long long time.

Fluff on the slopes is better. I was just talkin about having a decent 6-10" OTG that's not so prone to sublimation, settling, etc. Dense foundation when it was RN-->SN low ratio is ideal base for snowmobiles. I had to drive a couple hours west and saw lots of sled tracks across fields and along the roads in the drifts along the north side of 94. "Drift busting" was my favorite riding years ago when I had sleds in SEMI, where there wasn't any real trail system available. Lots of great drifting winters back in the mid-80's.

Top shelf winter day across SMI. Upper 20s to low 30s and full sunshine. Fresh snow cover is high-moisture dense stuff, not fluff. Wish I could've been on the slopes.

I can wait til March for a 70 day. Dreaming of the day I go out and get in my car and it's actually warm in there, lol

That map is actually accurate for here at least. The other one wants to show 8+ around here when 5.6" was reality.

Hi. Last August. North part near Lilley and Warren Rds.

Hourly Obs would indicate a fairly brief intermission from the snows of wave #1 and the 2nd wave of only 4 hrs. That's actually not much of a lull.

I made it 7 years before heading back south. But I was outside of TC from Sept of '90 til summer of '97. First 2 winters were longer and snowier than SEMI where we had moved from, but not harsh in any category. Then we got '92, the summer that wasn't. 70F was a hot day. I had a 50 mile commute one way thru Kalkaska snow belt over to Grayling by that point and for the next 5 years. It was snowing on the regular inland by October of '92, but that winter didn't get "deep". Then 93 was mild. So mild in the autumn we were deep in December without snow, even Gaylord. Ended up that was a false flag as right around Christmas it got sharply colder and the LES set in. We got the "Big Freeze" for about 7 weeks to begin '94. Because the LES started so late, the regions nearer the shore did better than the high terrain and I peaked at 40" depth by mid-Feb. It was so bitter cold tho, -35 and -40F inland for the morning drive was pretty common. Hope I never experience that kind of cold again. Next winter went Nino and a brown holiday week, even in the UP! I took the entire week off of work Soley to ride and it was the first brown holiday season in decades. Sucky luck I had! It finally snowed the Sunday evening before my Monday back to work, lol. The next two winters were extremely long and record snowfall (you can see them as all-time snowiest for TC, Gaylord, and The Sault on the NWS chart). Snow was on the ground Sept 19th of '95. Snow was in the air 8 months of the calendar year. It's awesome fun to play in, but when you have to go to work, school, just normal life chores it wears on you week after week. I also suffered with a deadly disease in autumn of '96 into '97 which didn't help matters. The Ex and I decided it was time to sell the sleds and head south. Originally thought way south like Dixie or the Sunbelt, but as it ended up a really good job offer took us to South Bend which was close to our families. Like night and day tho wrt length of enjoyable warm season from the 3 years we'd just lived through. And we skied as well as had 3 sleds to ride any day for weeks on end. Can not imagine living through those long winters and not be into winter sports. That would be so difficult imo.

Wind didn't help estimating the snow that fell today, but I'm going with 1.5" here in Canton unless a map or report from DTX says otherwise.

Damn! nearly 2.5x my measly 5.6" score.

Yep, screw holed big time: 0700 AM SNOW 3 N CANTON 42.35N 83.48W 02/03/2022 M4.1 INCH WAYNE MI COCORAHS 24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL. If I run with that number, Nov 27th retains "top dog" at 4.2" LOL, autumn -> winter at my new digs!

IWX going 2-6" NW to SE across their CWA, with stiff winds and powdery snow. Today should be a true storm day anywhere outside of the cities where the winds have their way.

That's a 9.5" for Marshall. Wonder how Harry did in BC? Looks like Lansing was the winner at 12.9" that's a nice storm for SMI non-LES locale. Confirmation on the Marshall number via GRR's table of winners. Looks like the same person on the north side of town that reports in bigger storms. The one that had the 11.6" report during the 2016 storm when Marshall was in the bullseye.

So, per that I'm firmly in the 4-6" region. The CONUS map has a 5.1" a bit north of here. I suppose we may have nibbled our way to the 5" mark after we got home at 7:30 but the compaction of the lower layer, large puddles soaking up more on my sidewalks, etc it just isn't 5" out there on the level. More like 3.5 or so by eyeballing. Basically, it just restored the amount we had OTG from the clippers. Wash, rinse, repeat on our snow depth here this winter. Once a pattern establishes for a winter, they're very stubborn. Depth here has been stuck in a 2-4" rut it just can't seem to break free of.

Lots of trees where there's not buildings around here, so it's not open much and I've yet to see true drifting. Took my wife to the store about 7 tho, and noticed the stiff winds blowing the snow more sideways in the lights of businesses like car dealers, etc. Also snow blowing off roof tops. Certainly looked the "storm" part this evening, but then it was done an hour later, lol. Had that continued for several hours, perhaps this could've redeemed itself from the failed storm trash heap, lol.

That map from 7:44 pm

Work office is in Livonia (not far east of Plymouth township line) where it was just plain rain when I arrived at 6:30. I don't have a window I can see from my desk, but there are plenty to look out whenever I get up for anything and I'd say changeover occurred between 7:30 and 8. It was very slow, not a sudden white-out of huge flakes or anything dramatic. I came home for lunch about 12:30 so 4 hours later and only brushed about 3/4" of sloppy stuff off my car, while the parking lot was more like 1/2" during that 5 hours! Poor rates, small flakes, and a temp of 32.5F was just "one tick" above white rain. One of the lamest excuses for snowstorm I've ever witnessed tbh.

Hawkeye posted a map showing the entire CONUS storm totals to that time-stamp. It had the 4" line running right through here and was very accurate. At that point, it showed 3-4 south down your way. Guessing you continued to snow after map time, while we were pretty much finished at that point. Hence the differences.

Yeah, Saginaw's got a weird winter climo thing going. They're on the far northern edge of the SMI zone, so the storm centered in the zone will be tapering off up there. But occasionally, they score really big like that storm in 2008 that dropped 17 or 18". They will get help via Saginaw Bay when the NE winds are rocking and that has helped them put up huge numbers back in '67/'73/'76/'78/'84. When I was a teen/young adult back in the 80's living in Genesee, those mild winters 87/88/89/90 we'd get like 5" while they'd get 10". Was a definite gradient across that roughly 45 miles back then. They had a great winter in 04-05 too, with many storms, deep snow cover, that lasted almost into April. I was living up there at that time with fam.

So somehow, down river scored a couple more inches than here? I swear, Canton-Plymouth-Livonia's the new Macomb with every compass direction out-scoring me. Can we just move onto spring already. This is a mega-annoying place to be this winter.

Congrats on an over-achiever storm up there! Drove thru on 23 Saturday and snow at that point may have been a bit less than down here. Hard to say as the freeway median is notoriously a poor example of surrounding areas. I'm recently relocated to the west burbs (Plymouth-Canton) but seriously considering moving up to Fenton when my lease is up this July. Not because this is "Shaft City" when it comes to snowstorms. I have a sister in Fenton and other fam up that way (Genesee and Saginaw counties). Plus, my sister's apt is like an expensive custom-built home for 2/3rds the rent I'm paying. I'd be back to a sizeable commute, but other than the occasional day like today, mostly it's not a bad one if I stay away from the 96/275/696 triangle of congestion. After many years with often large commute distances, I have/am enjoying having just an 8 mile drive to work. But it's hardly worth "the rent", especially for this drafty old place. Fenton's a nice little community similar to Marshall where we moved from. I like the upscale touristy downtown. It also has all the chain stuff out by US23 that we didn't have in little tiny Marshall so there's another bonus.

Call it "warm nose" or last minute bump N. DTX's write-up this past evening (2/2) plainly said, the good forcing with higher qpf ended up 2 to 3 counties N of where the models said it would be for the past "X" number of days. The models were blind to this sudden over-achieving bubble of warmth. This may be the biggest screwing of the pooch by models since Dec 2012's bliz when the Euro insisted the SLP would traverse south of The Mitt over to KTOL. Was just laser-locked on that solution (until the SLP ran right up into SWMI and on top of our heads). As for inflated Kuchera maps, WxBell's Euro product seems to be the biggest offender in that category, one time showing a 29" total here for the Metro. Ofc, that's highly suspect knowing the climo and Big Dog history so easy to discount that/those maps. But, GFS was routinely showing this region (W Wayne) around 19 or 20". While still a bit of a reach, it was at least more believable that after necessary adjustments, we'd have a shot at a legit 15+ Big Dog level storm. That's exactly what it looked like right up to and including the Watch issuance, and subsequent forecasted totals map showing 12-16". There's no way you can paint this as anything BUT an epic FAIL on the part of the guidance that everyone, including the NWS Mets rely on to "get it right". Ofc I'm disappointed, but deep down a part of me never really bought into this map, so it's not as painful as it would've been.

I drive a 2x1 and had zero issues today. This was like a late Oct storm in NMI.

Very difficult to even imagine #1 happened. But I guess there are photos. I mean, it was the 1880's