wolfie09

Yeah I'm surprised with the "cooler" air mass in place.. According to an article from USA today mosquitos start to become"lethargic" when temps get below 60° and start to die off under 50°..We had 1 day under 50° and the rest mainly mid-upper 50s which has definitely kept them at bay in this area.. Humidity and DPs have been good for the most part..

Windy AF out lol Ahead of these showers and storms..Rain starting to pick back up, 0.37° since yesterday AM, currently 59°..

...WATERSPOUTS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ON LAKE ONTARIO... The areas affected include... Lake Ontario from Braddock Bay to Cape Vincent... At 1257 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated a line of showers along a cold front capable of producing waterspouts and gusty winds up to 30 knots. These showers were located along a line extending from near Braddock Bay to near Galloo Island, moving east at 25 knots. Waterspouts are possible on the east half of Lake Ontario this afternoon as this line of showers moves east. A few showers may also produce gusty winds up to 30 knots. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Showers can produce waterspouts with little or no advance warning. Seek safe harbor if a waterspout is spotted.

Getting some decent showers this morning, only 0.13" in the bucket so far, 64°..

Looking at the euro the next 8 days or so are average"ish"-below average..We start to warm up towards mid month..The GFS has been flip flopping between A/B Normal.. What ever warm ups we have are brief on the GFS FWIW..

GFS starting early this year lol

CPC starting to raise those AN probabilities..

'Is this my life now?': Clemson defensive end Justin Foster's -- and my -- struggle with long-haul COVID https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/32127148/clemson-defensive-end-justin-foster-my-struggle-long-haul-covid

R.i.p David Patten https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/32139996/david-patten-three-super-bowl-winner-new-england-patriots-dies-47

Sizzle Sizzle

FWIW (not much lol) JB and the weatherbell team going with -1F anomalies for the winter and 125% of snowfall, eastern great lakes...

As of now CPC going with"neutral" probabilities mid month but warmer probs not far away..

The ridge axis will slide into the Northeast Saturday night which will allow the next trough to advance eastward toward the region. Meanwhile, a warm front will advance eastward across the region which will support a few warm advection showers. Aforementioned trough will remain overhead of the region Sunday through Monday. A few shortwave passages will allow for a couple of fronts to cross the region each day. The first frontal passage Sunday will increase the likelihood of widespread rain showers, and depending on the timing of the pre-frontal trough or the front itself there may be a few rumbles of thunder in the afternoon Sunday. A secondary front (ahead of the upper level trough axis) will pass across the region Sunday night into Monday, which will again support showers and a few thunderstorms. Behind the secondary front, another burst of cold air (850mb temperatures dropping to 8C) will push across the region Monday night. This will support the chances for a few lake enhanced and/or upslope rain showers east/southeast of Lake Ontario. Subtle ridging aloft and at the surface will move overhead Tuesday, though the next warm frontal passage will be advancing northeast toward the area. Even with the weak capping aloft, there may be enough low level moisture and forcing to initiate a few showers, especially with the added boost from diurnal heating. Meanwhile, further to the west ridging across the Rockies will expand and intensify, causing the mid-level pattern to amplify. This will cause the trough downstream over the upper Mid-West to dig across the Great Lakes and Northeast Wednesday through Thursday. The trough aloft will support an area of surface low pressure to cross southern Ontario and Quebec. As the low passes just north of the region, associated surface frontal features will pass across the region late Tuesday night through Wednesday. Another shot of cold air behind the front Wednesday will drop temperatures at 850mb to +6C to +8C, and support lake enhanced rain showers east of both lakes. Otherwise, the warm air advection Tuesday will support highs mainly in the low to mid 70s across the higher elevations, with mid to upper 70s across the lake plains. The cooler air behind the front Wednesday will drop temperatures and support highs in the low 70s both Wednesday and Thursday.

NYC mayor blamed"failing" weather forecast..

8 confirmed tornadoes in mount Holly CWA as of now..

Starting to see the slightest bit of color change lol I love ny updates start next week so it won't be long before more colors start to blossom..

Today definitely has that"fall" like feeling..Low-mid 60s and gloomy.. Actually dropped a couple degrees since this morning.. Currently 61/54..Good day to cut the grass lol

Another potential major hurricane in the in the Atlantic basin... Hurricane Larry.. Luckily this one looks to miss the east coast but it could travel close to Bermuda..

Made it to 49° overnight, few degrees below forecast.. Currently back up to 62°.. Today looks to be the coolest day of the next 7..

Clouds have dissipated and we are dropping ahead of schedule, forecast low of 52°, already down to 53°..Feels great lol

Yeah not sure I've ever seen a tornado emergency in NJ.. ..TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR Bristol Croydon and Burlington... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Mercer County in central New Jersey... Northwestern Burlington County in southern New Jersey... Southeastern Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 702 PM EDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was observed over Beverly, or 12 miles southwest of Trenton, moving northeast at 40 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for Bristol Croydon and Burlington. This is a 0 PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible.