wolfie09

Proper placement of weather instruments according to wunderground and the NWS.. The most common error in installing a weather station is associated with misplacing the thermometer sensor. Meteorologists define temperature as the temperature in shade with plenty of ventilation. When placing your weather staion, make sure: The thermometer sensor never receives direct sunlight. The thermometer receives plenty of ventilation and is not blocked from the wind. If the thermometer is placed on a roof-top, make sure it is at least 5 feet above the roof-top. If the thermometer is placed above grass, again, it should be at least 5 feet above the grass surface. The thermometer is at least 50 feet from the nearest paved surface. Suggestion - use a radiation shield for your thermometer. This way, your weather station can be placed in direct sunlight, with the thermometer located inside the radiation shield.

It was tongue and cheek bro lol I was referring to the map BW posted that shows syracuse area with less +anomalies then other parts of the state..

Latest precipitation forecast Euro/WPC.. Only through Friday as we have more potential liquid after this..

Not seeing as much sizzle sizzle in the sizzlecuse, must be a glitch..

Discussion ..A Soaking Rain on the Far Horizon... The various deterministic guidance packages continue to struggle with the timing of a complex storm evolution that will take place over the Upper Ohio Valley/Mid western states during this period. The GFS has been...and continues to be...the most aggressive and is likely much too fast with the resulting significant weather for our forecast area. As mentioned in previous discussions...will discount this solution in favor of a blend of the ECMWF and NHCan. These models have a more climatologically consistent `view` of how the overall system will play out. Sharp troughs that lead to vertically stacked systems with tight west to east hgt gradients typically exhibit a slow eastward progression with a rather sharp edge to the main swath of rain. This should be no different. Will thus skew ensemble solutions towards the mean of the ECMWF and NHCan deterministic packages. The last of several strong H5 impulses will dig into a sharp longwave trough over the Mississippi valley Tuesday night. This will begin the process of forming a closed off low that will plague our region through the mid week period. Meanwhile...an inverted trough will extend northwards across Lake Erie. Much of Tuesday night should be rainfree...but there will be some showers around...mainly west of the Finger Lakes. Temps bumped up a bit to account for deep southerly flow and slower progression of upstream system. The closed low will significantly deepen over the Upper Ohio Valley/ Mid Western states Wednesday and Wednesday night...while a strong ridge will remain anchored some 500 miles east of Long Island. This will establish a strong southerly flow that will inhibit an eastward push of rain from the vertically stacked system. Showers will gradually give way to steadier rain...mainly over the far western counties where the rain could be moderately heavy at times. Have raised pops to near 100 for these areas. A strong sfc occlusion will slowly push to the east across our forecast area Thursday into Thursday night. A 50-75 mile band of moderately heavy rain will precede the feature...and this will be followed by a dry slot that will be followed by a pronounced dry slot that may be completely shut down the residual showers. The passage of this slow moving system should generate at LEAST a soaking rain for our region...and there could be the risk for problematic rains if the ECMWF/NH Can prove to be in line. Rainfall amounts from Wednesday through Thursday (when the rain could be steadiest/heaviest) will very likely exceed an inch and could eclipse 2 inches

HWO A complex storm system will develop over the Upper Ohio valley and mid western states on Tuesday. This slow moving system will cross our region Wednesday into Thursday. At the least, we can expect a soaking rainfall of an inch or more. There will be an elevated risk for rainfall that could exceed two inches.

Nam through Thursday..Like a conveyor belt of moisture out ahead of the LP/Front. As usual exact placement YTD..

Overall, guidance continues the slower trend with respect to the eastward progression of large storm system that will impact our region during the second half of this week. GFS remains the fastest, while the still preferred solution advertised by the Canadian NH/ECMWF remains on the slower side of the envelope. Large upper low will lumber northward from the Ohio Valley to the Central Lakes Thursday into Thursday night, before getting `kicked` well north toward James Bay on Friday owed to the next strong trough digging toward the upper Great Lakes. At the surface a strong cold front will approach then occlude as it slowly crosses the lower Great Lakes sometime later Thursday into Friday, while its` associated surface low mirrors the track of its` parent upper low. Strong LL jet, favorable UL jet placement and strong vorticity advection will provide ample forcing...and when combined anomalous deep moisture advection, will likely produce a period of moderate to heavy rain along and ahead of the boundary as it crosses the region during this timeframe. Cold front should finally get shoved completely east of our area by Friday night as the next powerful shortwave digs southeast across the upper Great Lakes, also accompanied by a strong surface cold front. Drier and cooler air will settle in toward the end of the work week in the wake of the first boundary, so depending on the exact timing, there will likely be a relatively short window of dry weather between the two systems from sometime Friday into the first part of the weekend. This will only be followed up by the next powerful system (mentioned above) to impact our region next weekend as well. There will again be plenty of forcing in play, however much less in the way of available moisture will really cut down on rainfall amounts and coverage. A reinforcing shot of cooler more seasonable air will also filter across the lower Great Lakes in the wake of this system.

Only two other Atlantic hurricane seasons have had 16 named storms by Sept. 19 since the satellite era began in 1966. Those were the 2005 and 2020 seasons, according to Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach. Meanwhile, tropical depression Seventeen formed Sunday. Forecasters said it was over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean, about 330 miles southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. The tropical depression had maximum sustained winds around 35 mph. The system was expected to become a tropical storm later Sunday or on Monday, however there were no immediate threats to land, forecasters said.

Equal chances for A/B in the med-LR, as it stands now..

Could be some decent rains mid-latter part of the week as well..

Look at the difference between the GFS and euro lol Thursday afternoon.. As NWS alluded to, GFS is quicker with the closed low/front..

Good agreement dry weather will prevail through Monday night all areas as omega block aloft holds sfc ridge over Northeast. H85 temps in mid teens and full sunshine results in aiming highs into the low- mid 80s on Monday, which is similar to continuity and above even warmest guidance. Ridge aloft starts to break down on Tuesday and could see some showers into far western NY on edge of warm conveyor belt moisture of system crossing the western Great Lakes. Showers should become better organized on Tuesday night, but again most focused over western NY. Will be back to mild nights with gusty southerly flow ahead of front. Readings on the lake plains will stay in the mid 60s. Forecast soundings Monday night through Tuesday Night point to wind gusts toward 30 mph at times, especially near shorelines of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Unfortunately, the decent agreement seen in the short term does not carry over into the long term. Main issue is how the models are handling splitting longwave trough that crosses the central CONUS. Primary trough which has a lot of jet energy within it, both ahead of, and in wake of the trough, eventually looks to cut off somewhere from Ohio valley to lower Great Lakes and Northeast. Still a lot of uncertainty with the upper low and associated sfc low/cold front. GFS remains much quicker than ECMWF and Canadian-NH with overall front and widespread precipitation Wednesday into Thursday. Current grids did not stray much from continuity, but would need to be adjusted toward wetter idea on Thursday versus Wednesday if the ECMWF idea ends up verifying. Hunch is ECMWF is probably the better idea, though such a far western solution with low center on Thursday is probably too much. Looking back, that solution has only been shown by ECMWF at 00z/12z today whereas before it looked a lot like current GFS solutions do. Time will tell. Moderate to heavy rain still a good bet as the front moves though. Thunder chances look minimal at this point though. Eventually, drier and somewhat cooler weather will prevail by Friday with another system working through by next weekend. Highs late this week will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s in wake of the cold front.

I'm on board with Matt here, do whatever makes you happy.. Obviously money isn't everything..If you are financially sound and enjoy what you do then why fix something that's not broke? Lol

Yeah I agree with most of what you said.. The thing about Barkley is he's still running behind a porous OL as well as missing almost all of last season due to a torn ACL..I'm not ready to give up on him just yet lol I agree about the defense as well, definitely taken a step back from last year's improvement.. Jones did play well and could of been even better if the WR could hold onto the ball lol Seeing KG screaming at DJ was comical, the guy probably runs a 5.0 40 and gets no speration, Jones isn't just gonna throw it up for grabs every play..Toney is already complaining about his role as well..These guys forgot their is only 1 ball lol You can see DJ has a better rapport with Shep and slayton, which he has obviously played with the last couple seasons.. Oh well, on to next week lol Hope the bears lose as well.. haha

We had a little convection overnight, picked up a quick 0.34" of liquid..

However, a pattern change during late fall should bring an earlier arrival to winter weather, and more winter weather leading up to the holidays than we have often seen over the past 20 years. This period of colder weather should also bring an abundance of lake effect snow to the traditional snowbelts east and southeast of the Great Lakes. The weather network

Continued surface high pressure under the upper level ridge building eastward into New England Monday and Tuesday will support mostly dry and warm weather both days. Highs will be 10-15 degrees above average with low 80s across the Lake Plains, mid to upper 70s on the higher terrain. Overnight lows Monday and Tuesday night will mainly settle in the low/mid 60s, with 50s east of Lake Ontario. Meanwhile, an amplifying upper level trough over the Rockies will deepen and eventually form a closed low. By Wednesday, the upper level pattern will have shifted further east, introducing deep southwesterly flow over the region. As the center of the low lifts northeastward into Canada, a cold front extending southward from the low will begin to approach the region. This will bring an increasing chance of showers from west to east beginning Tuesday night. Best chances for showers with this system currently look to be Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning as per the latest 12z ECMWF and Canadian solutions. Temperatures cool off for Wednesday and especially Thursday as cooler air associated with the front advects into the region.

I'm digging the new maps lol

Euro says some chillier days ahead..

Yeah definitely but it may have to be at a certain level for them to report it lol I've seen some change reported all the way down to LI..We had change before last week's initial report but it showed nothing here yet lol So who knows, maybe a lack of leaf peepers lol I just took a ride through the 1000 island region yesterday and they definitely have more vibrant colors then south of here.. Obviously I can't speak for your area..