wolfie09

Euro

Good stuff.. That's about a mile and a half away..

Haha thanks..Or you can just look at radar lol In and out of heavier burst.. Take what I can get I guess..

Starting to come down solid here even though the band is meh lol It's gotten a little stronger locally..

Well not at that price point lol I like Weather Bell but it $25 a month, can cancel at anytime though..Storm Vista is another one that will run you about$20 a month.. Just a heads up PW will be increasing membership cost starting January 1st..It will now be $9.99 a month.. On December 1st, 2021 to help our users forecast for the upcoming winter season we expanded our Euro model data to all our Plus members! A summary of new data and features that will be available are listed below. Finally, to allow us to continue to expand our solution offering and fund the new ECMWF data cost, new pricing for all Plus memberships will go into affect on January 1st, 2022.

Oh gotcha..Hmmmm I only use my laptop in my back pocket so maybe he's using PC lol Not sure why the difference.. Maybe subscription?

I'm using 24 hour just for that storm system..Your using "total" snowfall..And I posted 12z not 6z..

GFS still showing a rain to snow system on Saturday/Sunday but not so fast says the NWS lol Looking into the details... there remains uncertainty in an area of low pressure which would impact the region Christmas -Christmas night. The GFS has been persistent with a deepening area of low pressure tracking across NYS while other models show a much weaker system tracking to the south. The GFS isn`t favorable in the overall zonal pattern across the region Saturday.

Possibly another 1"-2" event tomorrow night/Friday AM..

Yeah Ggem focuses on a different wave.. That's why it's a day later..Shreds the one the GFS is showing just like the GFS shreds the one the Ggem is showing lol

Yeah a stinker of a year lol December An amazingly warm and virtually snow-free month developed as a ridge of high pressure remained locked over the eastern United States. Almost all days averaged above normal for the month across western and north-central New York. The average December temperature smashed the previous warmest December on record by an unheard of 4+ degrees Fahrenheit. This warmth also produced a few spring flowers, blooming a second time before the winter season was established. Storm systems passed by the region to the west and east this month, a common track thus far this winter. There was one moderate lake effect event. Behind a cold front on the 18th, lake effect snow generated east of the eastern Great Lakes, with the snow producing the first measureable snowfall for Buffalo on the 18th. On the 28th a powerful storm system passed across the Central Great Lakes region and sent an area of precipitation over western and north-central New York, which remained below freezing at the onset. Light snow and freezing rain occurred with this system, along with gusty winds of 50 mph. The beginnings of a second lake effect snow event started in the waning hours of the month.

Even while the weekend system will weaken the broad mid-level ridge in place over the Great Lakes, the persistent longwave pattern will likely re-establish its dominance thereafter. This is demonstrated by a high degree of model and ensemble concurrence concentrating deep troughing over western Canada and the western CONUS. A pattern as such will favor cold air slipping southward down the front range of the Rockies, however any eastward advection of said cold pool is not evident in any solution through not only the end of the long term period, it would seemingly be unlikely to occur even through the end of the year.

Off Lake Erie, the quick switch to 270-290 flow Wednesday morning will focus lake snows ESE of the lake. Guidance suggest that there may be some added upstream priming but the shorter fetch will likely keep accumulations in check. That said, the most likely scenario will be a brief burst of snow immediately behind the front then declining returns throughout the day as drier air filters into the region. Right now, expect snowfall accumulations of 1-3 inches in the most persistent snows across the higher terrain ESE of the Lake. Elsewhere, very little snowfall accumulation is anticipated with less than an inch. Off Lake Ontario, southwest flow will focus activity over the SLV in the morning then veers to 290-300 by mid afternoon. This will then focus lake snows in the late afternoon across Wayne, N. Cayuga, and Oswego county. Before this occurs, added upstream connections and the longer fetch coming into play will briefly enhance snowfall accumulations east of the lake across the Tug Hill as the band slowly shifts south. Snowfall accumulations still look light due to residence time of the band with 2-4 inches possible across the Tug Hill, lighter amounts elsewhere. Upper level trough axis overhead of far eastern New York State Wednesday night will support an area of surface low pressure over northeastern Maine. This will place the area under northwesterly flow, promoting 850mb temperatures to drop to a minimum of around -14C overnight Wednesday night. This will continue to promote upstream lake connections with a band of lake effect snow south/southeast of Lake Ontario. However, snow accumulations will be limited as the band will shift into an area of falling equilibrium levels, with up to an inch of snowfall possible southeast of lake Ontario.

You do realize I'm not a local right? Lol Just as many toothless crack heads in syracuse lol Actually probably more..The first thing I see when getting off 481 to clay is a bum begging for money lol

I'm probably the least likely to have a meltdown, I take my aggression out on my woman, shes been enjoying this rough stretch

Canadian pretty weak as it transfers to a weak coastal low.. Maybe a few snow showers changing to rain showers.. Only about a tenth or two wrt precipitation..

It looks like it has a follow up wave? It does show some snow for southern areas the following day..I'm not sure what it's trying to do lol

Wind swept lake effect snow will start this period as a cold front pushes across the region Wednesday morning. Off Lake Erie, veering winds will send this snow band down towards Ski Country. There is a wealth of dry air towards the top of the snow DGZ, and shallow cloud depth will yield around an inch of snowfall Wednesday here. East of Lake Ontario, a lake effect snow band starting near the SLV Wednesday morning will dip towards the Tug Hill post front by early afternoon. Slightly more favorable snow parameters, with deeper moisture within the snow DGZ...that will result in several inches of snow accumulating across the Tug Hill region. Upstream lake connections will continue Wednesday Night with a narrow band of lake effect snow south and southeast of Lake Ontario. The band of snow may move enough within a falling lake induced equilibrium environment to limit snow Wednesday Night to one to three inches southeast of Lake Ontario. Building surface high pressure from the Ohio Valley will send this snow band, now weakening further due to the influx of drier air, back east of Lake Ontario Thursday where it will diminish to flurries near Watertown

All I know is I better get my inch..

My point was you made it seem like we are model huggers that only show what we want it to show but in reality it's usually the complete opposite..

This is the thing bro..We aren't like the weenies down south..This is a weather board and we post maps from many different models..Good or bad.. Icon is actually usually the stingiest..For the most part we are pretty level headed. Having "stats" means nothing.. Canadian is garbage but has stats lol How it do last event? Lol Exactly..Icon was the only model to show mixing up here, only one. Even the NWS took mixing out of the forecast because of the"big boys"..

Nothing much, besides your icon giving us false hope lol

Maybe Xmas Eve but GFS has rain showers Christmas morning, doesn't look too heavy at least lol

Lol

Yeah sounds about right, you can clearly see who the WPC is siding with lol Quite a bit weaker though..