wolfie09

Still holding on here, losing about 1"-1.5" per day lol The snow was more wet then usual for LES with 13" on 1" LE, gave it a little more staying power..

Been that type of year for the eastern great lakes..

Canadian went mode at 0z between both events..lol

Rgem with a decent front and end of the event..Messy in the middle lol

Nam takes the primary through CNY,need it more in SNY to have a shot at backend flakes..Need 40 miles on the NAM.. Still in its "Long range"..

Sunday

Friday/sat

850 low not helping the situation..

Gfs trend for Sunday Monday..

Here is the forecast for tomorrow..

I'm not expecting much but some passing snow showers, pretty week sauce lol Southern tug could see several inches..

I was using the 12z HRW guidance as well as the rgem/3k..They all have the band in a similar location but that doesn't mean it's correct lol

Little south little colder..

Well you won't be missing much unless you live on the tug lol 1"-2" on most guidance and it looks like Central Oswego county as it stands now, parish, mexico, Oswego etc.. That's why you see East-ESE" and not "SE" wrt the NWS wording..

With the colder air and a bit more moisture present farther north, the lake response will be better off of Lake Ontario. Further, hi-res guidance and the regional Canadian GEM indicate a decent plume of snow developing E and ESE of Lake Ontario on Thursday. This could result in a few inches of snow here, and an extension of the winter weather advisory may be necessary for this eventuality, however some better alignment of guidance would certainly aide in confidence of this development, so an extension will be put off for now.

You can see the cold trying to fight east of Ontario on the RGEM..I guess you have to smell the taint huh lol Still plenty of time for trends either direction.. European is light snow to light rain/mix and shuts off.. Maybe 1/2 total precipitation, better than a heavy rain..

European is a little south once again..Tries to pop a secondary over the delmarva region..

Yeah that's what I was wondering as well granted I don't know much about it lol Source

Just going to pay attention to track right now.. Global Canadian follows the regional..

Gfs sticking to it's guns.. Slightly more frozen that run..

3k at hr 60 east of the 12k..

Nam cuts through CNY and transfers off the coast of SNE.. Rgem takes it closer to the NY/PA border and transfers off the coast of SNE..That's the difference between more frozen or liquid..

6z Canadian was south as well..See what the European shows..

Rgem south once again..