wolfie09

European does the same thing, stupid wave on a CF lol

Keeping track of LR trends and day 8-10 has gone from northern stream with LES to a southern stream system..

Gfs is lost, no surprise this far out..

Game comes down to this, good game which is all I ask for when I don't have a dog in the fight lol

I know it seems that way but us and the buffalo crew have seen like 1 good LES event this year.. Even with the LES event on the 26th we have about the same amount of snow as syracuse and obviously pulaski averages more so technically it's been even worse here lol

Behind each northern stream disturbance it's cold enough for LES as it stands now.. Nothing crazy cold but cold enough..

Only good event of the year Imby .

So the old lady who is a sales manager at RAC ordered 4 NFL rugs, Bills, Packers, cowboys and giants..Well the first 3 sold within a couple of weeks but I guess people are to embarrassed to be giants fans these days lol Long story short I'm the proud owner of a new giants rug I had to take one for the team..

We have

Coldest night of the season so far..

For the European that's pretty good but relying on LES is always a dangerous game lol Especially with not much synoptic as a backup..

Small little event Monday.. Could be another one on Wednesday..

Gfs completely different look for the CF..

Nws has upper 30s with R/S for Friday.. Once colder air arrives LES will start but wind direction is obviously in question 7 days out.. Friday A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 40%. With that being said I don't see many more rain storms lol

We could see some rain ahead/during the CF..

Beginning with Thursday, a complex low pressure developing somewhere in the vicinity of the upper Great Lakes will steam off towards the Hudson Bay with its cold front plowing eastward towards Western NY. Most precip from the approaching system will likely not arrive until Thursday night and then continue into Friday. Have nudged several variables up (wind, temps, and POP) over the blended guidance with this update to reflect the system approaching and then entering the Lower Lakes on Friday. After Friday, a progressive pattern develops which sends the deep mid-level trough over the region quickly off to the east. Ridging building in aloft and at the surface then takes over for Saturday into Saturday night. Any left over snow showers or residual lake snows will more than likely diminish during the day Saturday and end Saturday night.

Obviously can't predict snowfall from the Globals but it could be 1-3/2-4 type deal if temps cooperate as it stands now..

Kinda fits my earlier post about the European and northern stream/LES.. I guess it could be right and it's not a big event but it's the only global with no LES Wednesday.. Weak high pressure at the surface and aloft will eventually lead to dry weather later Tuesday into Tuesday night. GFS and Canadian indicate that could more of a lake response off east of both lakes for Wednesday as another trough drops across with just enough cold in place. Though ECMWF is somewhat muted with that idea, went for low chance pops east of both Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Lake effect will diminish on Wednesday night as warm air advection begins to arrive.

I'm pretty sure today's forecast high was like 29°, sitting here a little after 2 and it's still in the low 20s( 21°).. WRT the European which I actually haven't looked at yet, I always assumed it was better with southern stream activity compared to the northern stream, I could be wrong though lol

If a storm does develop it's not going to be in a hurry to leave..

Para brings a squall line through before transferring off the coast with a little wrap around..It will be nice just to track something again lol

Cmc for the same time frame..By early next week we should be able to start looking at this more seriously..

Still about a week out from anything interesting..GFS did away with its long duration Wind flow as expected, at least behind the first front..Still would deliver some much needed snow though..

Just seen this comment.. Edibles are extremely strong and long lasting..I have been a smoker for about 20 years but I will never try edibles lol Weed helps me a lot with ADHD symptoms but at times can make you more anxious..