wolfie09

Mix line actually dropped south a little.. Coming down nicely..

Just started to snow here, see how long it hangs on for..

Let's get rid of that yellow lol

Yup going to be a mix to start..

So far N Redfield has 55" on the year (20" in November, 35" in December) with 12" of precipitation lol

Last map before the event.. Added an inch to the Fulton area but besides that pretty much the same.. Snow depth this morning holding strong at 3"

European is dry and seasonal temps from Monday night on..

European pretty weak with the Sunday/Monday system, brief period of light snow, has more out ahead of our rain maker..

So after the last lake effect event we are now up to 3 "Notable" events on the year (tug, buffalo, southern Oswego), I'm pretty sure the average is 8-10 annually..So while none have been"blockbusters" we are not far from where we should be.. When it comes to synoptic it's just been bad luck lol Every system has been dumping snow somewhere just not on us.. Pulaski largest synoptic snowfall is 1.3"..I mean NYC has almost as much snow as syracuse/Rochester lol The next 2 events once again favor places to our east..So while the warmer than average temps have influenced lake effect we have had plenty of chances to score snow but luck plays a big part in that..

Gfs looking like some of the Canadian runs with some weak wrap around..

I'm hoping we can see a nice burst ahead of the mix line..

Fitzmagic tested positive..

Para looks better than the GFS op.. Region wide 4"-6"+ obviously depending on thermal profiles..

Fwiw NAM/Rgem for Sunday/Monday.. This is how much liquid falls in the form of snow not necessarily what sticks lol (still snowing)

Rgem is snow to rain and back to snow..

Nam of course is colder with very little rain verbatim..lol

Disorganized and east for Sunday..

European with a little front end snow before it gets washed away..

At least the GFS isn't showing many more cutters, they just all miss us to the south now lol

Synoptic hybrid events Those are the best lol A strong cold front crossed the Lower Great Lakes from west to east during the day of the 19th. The airmass was only marginally cold by late in the day on the 19th, with lake effect rain mixed with wet snow developing off Lake Erie near Buffalo, changing to all snow across the higher terrain south of the city during the evening. The heavier snow did not develop until a secondary cold front crossed the area on the morning of the 20th, bringing a strong push of arctic air into the region. A strong area of low pressure developed over New England on the 20th and moved very slowly north into southern Quebec on the 21st. Abundant moisture and lift associated with the strong low pressure system produced widespread light to moderate snow across much of the region from the Genesee Valley into Central and Northern New York. The close proximity of the strong low and the associated deep moisture and lift made this a hybrid lake effect snow event. Lake enhanced snow covered a much larger area than in our typical lake effect snow events that feature very narrow bands of heavy snow. The most persistent lake enhanced snow was found east and southeast of Lake Ontario, with storm totals of over one foot in a large area from Rochester eastward to the Tug Hill region and Watertown. Upstream connections to lake effect snow off Georgian Bay also enhanced snowfall across parts of Central NY. Very persistent upslope flow into the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau played a critical role in producing the highest totals from this event, with a few locations seeing 3 to 4+ feet of snow over a 3 day period. This event also produced unusually heavy amounts of lake effect snow outside of our area across the Finger Lakes and Southern Tier. The Binghamton airport and several other locations in the Finger Lakes and Syracuse area received over 2 feet of snow over the 3 day period.

37/25 with 16" so far this month, most of that coming in 1 event..I should be hooking my weather station back up soon..

Rgem abandoned us for the next event which is why I don't use it much for synoptics lol Expect the GGEM to move north as well..

1"-3" type event on the NAM for Sunday/Monday, temps below freezing away from the lake..