wolfie09

Lucky to even get a flurry on the European.. Whatever snow falls is in the deep south..

At this rate we'll be trying to catch NYC.lol Could be some light south shore enhancement with the next event as seen on some of the SR guidance..

With that being said I'm in the same boat, I'd rather a northern stream disturbance with LES than another rip off coastal storm lol I picked up more snow in a a couple hours of lake effect than I have with every synoptic event combined lol

I knew you would comment haha..But in reality the storm is on the move and the band sinks south..Not that it matters lol Typical SW-NW event, gets everyone in on the fun..

Cmc keeps them separate as of now.. Some lake effect for most..

Sucks to live in the eastern great lakes these days lol

Crazy Texans vs Titans game.. Texans are pretty entertaining for a bad team lol Looks like the bills will be playing the colts? Philadelphia is missing 9 players tonight so it's going to be hard to beat washington, either way I'll be getting drunk lol

More of a white rain here, we have had some decent burst with big wet flakes but temp sits just above freezing..

Nice burst of snow moving through..

Well at least the GFS is showing an active period.. We'll see if it still there in a few days lol

Plenty cold enough for a lake response, good synoptic moisture.. Obviously it's a week out lol But I need something to follow lol

Next threat of snow on the GFS/European is a D 7 LES event..Gfs behind a coastal storm and European behind a clipper/CF..

Syracuse had more snow by dec 2nd last year then we have a month later this year lol And last year sucked..

Would probably be rain or a mix anyway thanks to the low in the lakes .Winds out of the south..

This is what off the coast storms do lol We need them inland just not to inland..

Just under an inch and a half, few pellets starting to mix in again..

Mix line is south again..

Sunday will bring the next opportunity for wintry weather. A trailing southern stream upper wave sharpens northeast into the upper Ohio Valley/eastern Great Lakes as it phases with a shallow longwave Northern Stream trough. The resulting low pressure system will bring a weak warm front across the area. There is model discrepancy with regards to the track of the system and how much isentropic upglide occurs, as the newest model guidance has temperatures aloft trending towards warmer, more marginal values. Areas on the higher terrain in the Southern Tier could see some freezing rain or a wintery mix early Sunday morning, before the secondary cold front moves in from the west and brings a changeover to mostly snow. As the upper level low passes over the associated surface low, it will become vertically stacked and weaken, causing precip to become more spotty through the day and into the evening. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Lingering snow showers will be possible as the area of low pressure and trough continue to slowly track east. Temperatures will be marginal in the mid to low 30s on Monday, some rain mixing in with any snow is not out of the question. Any precip that does fall should be light across the area. From Tuesday onward is where some of the spread in the model guidance begins to become more noticeable. A deepening longwave trough and sfc wave drop southeast and bring a cold front across the Great Lakes for Tuesday into Wednesday. Latest model guidance has noticeable discrepancies with the timing and intensity of this feature, with the GFS and Canadian predicting a much more progressive system. However, most guidance follows the sfc low with some form of lake effect that could linger all the way through Wednesday morning. Went with chance POPs for the WNY area for Tuesday and tapered off to slight chance POPs through Wednesday morning. Model guidance diverges further going into Thursday and Friday, as an upper level closed low potentially forms near the Oklahoma panhandle and tracks Northeast. This feature looks to stay south of the area for now, but will need to keep an eye on the track as newer data comes in. Temperatures during the Monday through Thursday period should generally be in the mid to upper 30s for the lower elevations, and in the low to mid 30s for the higher elevations.

Back to Mostly all snow here after switching to Mostly sleet..

Mix line flying north now, fun while it lasted lol

Hard to see in pic but some monster flakes falling..

Dropped from 32 to 29 since the snow started, gives me a little more room to breathe lol At least wrt frozen precipitation..

Will this be snow or sleet? Right now continues to snow well, probably 1/2" or so..

Keep breaking those yellows up..