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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. mattinpa
    Some progress tonight. Hopefully we see more tomorrow.
  2. mattinpa
    Still time to be a good hit, but it is a volatile setup according to what’s being posted, Need quite a few pieces to be in place. Still not dug out from this storm either.
  3. mattinpa
    Now some sleet is mixed in
  4. mattinpa
    Still snow in Royersford. Haven’t measured but looks like at least the 7 to 8” being reported by others. Good storm with very fine snow.
  5. mattinpa
    That’s true. So far this winter has surprised in good ways so maybe that continues.
  6. mattinpa
    Might as well stick to it. I’m a lot older now than when I first joined here and sleet/ice is no fun at all.
  7. mattinpa
    My forecast says 7-13”. 7” could happen with a lot of sleet. Higher totals with less sleet would actually be easier to deal with.
  8. mattinpa
    Still calling for 6-10” here though may still be higher if the mix line is off. Seems some compromising is happening on the models.
  9. mattinpa
    Wow - didn’t expect that. Is this even more than the GFS.?
  10. mattinpa
    I was thinking 10-12” before, but 7 to 8 may be more likely now.
  11. mattinpa
    Overall except for the NAM doesn’t look so bad tonight. Maybe the GFS is the right one for a change.
  12. mattinpa
    I think there’s definitely a path. Hard to nail down that warm tongue and air temps are very cold. I personally think it was an off run from the NAM. If it does that again tonight and we see some trending, then I’ll worry.
  13. mattinpa
    The NAM looked similar for a while and then maybe showed its range. I remember it before some big storms it scared people. Just have to let the runs play out.
  14. mattinpa
    I wouldn’t trust it unless it gets support. The NAM can be prone to extreme runs both ways.
  15. mattinpa
    Sounds good for now - could get a little more but likely not less than 6”.
  16. mattinpa
    Ukie did have a dry slot limiting totals a bit but the sleet comes late.
  17. mattinpa
    Not so sure we get that much sleet. The UKMet looks like extended snow also.
  18. mattinpa
    That’s the one thing I dislike about heavy snow.,
  19. mattinpa
    Maybe we do get a compromise, which would still be nice. The floor for this one looks to be 6 inches plus sleet which is a high floor.
  20. mattinpa
    Is the GFS just slower? Looks ok in the map I saw in the MA forum.
  21. mattinpa
    Most models are saying at least 8 which is pretty significant. I think 8-12 inches for all the big cities.
  22. mattinpa
    I like the fact that models are slightly weaker with the primary. Could lead to close to the GFS eventually. It should be at least 6-12 inches area wide regardless.
  23. mattinpa
    It can definitely overamp but the possibility of some sleet is real. Still should be a good front end regardless.
  24. mattinpa
    It’s just not as amped as some but gets decent snow here. Looks like more Monday.
  25. mattinpa
    Still a significant snow and heard the EPS looked better. So hope that’s a good sign for the 0z runs.
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