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WeatherMonger

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  1. A lot of pictures I have seen remind me of some of those from Greensburg, KS but haven't heard it mentioned in comparisons. Greensburg was a smaller and more compact town, but not so different than some of these denser populations of bigger towns/cities.

     

    I'm not an expert or even educated in the field, so not ssying such is so.

  2. 38 minutes ago, e pluribus unum said:

    Death toll in the Edwardsville tornado is now up to 6. 

     

    It's horrible. 

     

    Watched the briefing on it. They have no idea how many are unaccounted for. Amazon has not reached out to any of the responders or emergency agencies. They have already put an end to rescue efforts and are now recovery only from 7am to 5pm daily, basically only working in daylight conditions.

     

    They said part of the reason for not knowing how many are still unaccounted for was it occured during a shift change and there was also part time employees involved. They did not know if there was a designated storm shelter in the facility.

     

    Only mention of Amazon corporate was that Pritzker had said he contacted them and told them they need to step up and help the community and victims families. No one from Amazon had been on site to assist.

    • Sad 2
  3. 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

    central IL confirmed

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A     * TORNADO WARNING FOR...   MENARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...   SOUTHEASTERN CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...   SOUTHEASTERN MASON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...     * UNTIL 845 PM CST.     * AT 754 PM CST, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VIRGINIA,   MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.     HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.     SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  

     

    Have a coworker who lives in Virginia, he said it is rain and wind currently. Had a funnel cloud reported with it when it was nearing Arenzville. May have dropped after Virginia if it did.

  4. 2 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

    It has a long ways to go before it gets there. It can happen, though. Anyone remember the six-state supercell from 3/12/06?

    Vividly :lol:

     

    just wish I was on a forum like this or accuweather at the time. 5 days later we were in a Blizzard warning

  5. I'm not sure I like this Baker's attitude.....

     

    Heading into the start of next week, the upper flow is forecast to
    become more zonal. This would open the doorway for another
    weather system to develop and slide through the mid-latitudes
    Monday night into Tuesday morning. This is also the first look at
    possible frost development across a decent amount of land in the
    central Illinois area, as lows Tuesday and Wednesday mornings drop
    into the mid 30s Tuesday and low to mid 30s Wednesday. With
    temperatures falling towards the freezing mark, and precipitation
    chances Tuesday and Wednesday mornings, we`ll have to keep an eye
    out for possible pesky white dendrites falling from the sky...but
    for now we will think positive

     

    LONG TERM...Baker

     

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  6. mcd1831.gif.209dfae7815416ff3dabcca463e3b7fc.gif

     

    Mesoscale Discussion 1831
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       0906 AM CDT Mon Oct 11 2021
    
       Areas affected...eastern MO...western and central IL
    
       Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 
    
       Valid 111406Z - 111630Z
    
       Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
    
       SUMMARY...Trends will be monitored this morning for surface-based
       thunderstorm development.  The initial area of concern will be over
       central MO and areas northeastward towards the MS River.  A tornado
       watch will likely be needed by midday for portions of eastern MO
       into western IL.  It is uncertain whether surface-based storms and a
       subsequent tornado risk will develop as far north as extreme eastern
       IA.
    
       DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite imagery shows a compact/intense
       mid-level shortwave trough over the lower MO Valley.  Weak
       convection has been maintained this morning within the warm conveyer
       belt from southeast MO through the Saint Louis area and into western
       IL.  A surface trough/windshift is analyzed this morning arcing from
       near the low through central and south-central MO.  A small area of
       cloud breaks is noted in visible-satellite imagery over central MO
       where forcing is maximized and over the location of greatest concern
       this morning.
    
       Model forecast soundings show gradual destabilization this morning
       into the midday hours as temperatures slowly rise into the lower 70s
       with a moist boundary layer.  Very strong low-level flow noted at
       the Saint Louis 88D VAD is resulting in a large low-level hodograph
       (400+ m2/s2 0-1 km SRH).  Once sufficiently strong updrafts can
       develop/persist, a severe risk will likely ensue with an isolated
       risk for tornadoes and damaging winds being the primary concerns.
    
       ..Smith/Hart.. 10/11/2021
    
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