Solak

12z GFS gives this location (KJNX) 0.07" from Wednesday through the duration of the storm. Really hard to buy into that.

11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 9 Location: 24.4°N 56.3°W Moving: W at 6 mph Min pressure: 984 mb Max sustained: 75 mph

Sunday morning recon - first pass.

"Very windy" has been added to the local NWS forecast for Fri/Sat. Haven't seen that in a while. Friday Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Very windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

That 96 over my house... that's the temp and not wind speed, right?

Another thing to keep in mind... with the incoming/stalling front dropping down from VA, there's a 30%-50% chance of showers/storms all week leading up to the potential landfall. Ground might be at least wet, possibly saturated before any effects of Florence show up.

Recon is in the outer fringes of Florence now. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/

Or more recently, Dennis/Floyd in 99

Then there's this potential fly in the ointment. Brad Panovich‏Verified account @wxbrad 4m4 minutes ago I shouldn't have talked about that thing earlier. ughhh!

What are the chances of the event being over before the snow hole fills in?

Ditto!

Most of us have our location in our profile - under our avatar.

RAH Disco The next s/w projected to lift newd out of the l/w trough late Thursday, crossing our region by Fri morning. After the relative lull in precip Thursday, expect areas of precip to regenerate across our region, especially overnight Thu night into early Fri. Precip will initially start out as rain, but could see a transition to a rain/snow mix after midnight over the NW Piedmont as the column aloft continues to cool, and lift becomes stronger in the favored dendrite growth zone. Where heavier precip rates occur, could see a brief burst of snow, though warm ground temperatures will cause any snow that accumulates to quickly melt. Appears the rain/snow mix will remain confined primarily across the NW Piedmont through mid morning Friday, afterwhich the boundary layer may warm enough to cause the mixture to go back to all rain. As night approaches Friday, and the s/w begins to exit our region, another surge of low level cold air will overtake the region. This will lead to a rain/snow mix to overspread central NC Friday night, with the precip ending as a little light snow across the Piedmont. Precip rates at this time appear too light and the ground temperatures relatively too warm to support nothing more than a dusting, if that. Across the coastal plain, light rain may end as a rain/snow mix late Friday night. High temps Friday will only warm to near 40-lower 40s. It's possible some locations across the Piedmont may stay in the 30s.

Had some light snow in central NC Dec 4, 2010 WRAL Slideshow... http://www.wral.com/weather/image_gallery/8726144/

Cha-ching. It's in the forecast...bank on it!!! Friday Night A chance of rain before 1am, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

That'll never change, no matter what season!

totals dropped again... now 1/2"-3/4". Temp lowered as well. Calling for 51 now.

Our 1"-2" overnight has been reduced to 3/4"-1". Previous low temp of 64 is now 55 - the current temp.

6:00PM --- Fishel said if there's a good snowpack and clear skies Sunday night, we could see ZERO degrees Monday morning. Brrrrrr!

Is this really likely? Meteostar (18z 1/4/17) is showing a high of 8° on Monday and a low of 3° for KJNX (Johnston County(NC) Airport). Is the airmass realy going to be that cold with the expected snowpack? http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KJNX

Deja vu... Monday night/Tuesday Convection over the Gulf Coast and Southeast States could impact the total qpf, something tough to discern this far out.

No - for many reasons. Hundreds of 80' pines on the property, 10s of thousands in the surrounding area. (development was an abandoned tree farm). On a well - power out, no water. Wife's medical situation - should she have another seizure or stroke or worse, lack of transportation. I hate the cleanup involved. I hate using a chain saw. I hate Winter for my own medical situation... had experimental chemotherapy at NIH in the early 80's, and one of the side effects from that is total numbness in the toes, fingers and other extremities when it gets below 45 or so when outside for any length of time. No studded tires or cleats for shoes It confuses the cats. I think that's all for now

Thought this was pretty cool - from www.Jayski.com this morning

I just want to add my thanks and gratitude to everyone who has contributed to this obviously unique thread, and especially to MoJo, who I only know through the postings. All of the reflections, memories, updates, and the renewed spirit of moving forward have really been an eye opener - a good one.